Brisk-Binoculars — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

9.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$58

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-16 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

73% 25% -$1,024

Other

25% 0% -$218

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	-964	-$25	2¢	$-21	+$4	10-15 23:42
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+10,038	$20	0¢	$10	-$10	10-16 18:08
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+5,506	$10	0¢	$8	-$2	10-16 18:08
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+5,038	$10	0¢	$8	-$2	10-16 18:08
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+2,962	$10	0¢	$7	-$3	10-16 18:08
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+2,927	$10	0¢	$4	-$6	10-16 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$581	14,152	0	+14,152	No	-$581	04-10 23:29
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$400	16,061	0	+16,061	No	-$400	05-13 01:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$303	2,170	2,170	+0	open	—	10-15 23:41
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$132	132,050	0	+132,050	open	—	10-16 18:09
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$131	3,925	3,925	+0	No	+$3	04-09 23:20
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	2	$116	5,164	910	+4,254	No	-$104	04-08 19:28
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$115	7,052	2,051	+5,001	No	-$45	04-08 19:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$77	38,500	0	+38,500	open	—	10-15 23:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$46	1,211	0	+1,211	No	-$46	04-05 18:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$40	431	0	+431	No	-$40	04-04 14:55
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	1	$28	390	0	+390	No	-$28	07-18 21:30
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$25	0	964	-964	open	—	10-15 23:42
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$20	10,038	0	+10,038	open	—	10-16 18:08
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	10-16 18:09
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$10	5,506	0	+5,506	open	—	10-16 18:08
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$10	5,038	0	+5,038	open	—	10-16 18:08
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	10-16 18:10
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$10	2,962	0	+2,962	open	—	10-16 18:08
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$10	2,927	0	+2,927	open	—	10-16 18:08
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	10-16 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 18:10:00	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6f52c3…
10-16 18:09:54	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xbe5da1…
10-16 18:09:38	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76,000	0¢	$76	0xb5deb1…
10-16 18:09:02	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xff15f8…
10-16 18:08:56	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,506	0¢	$10	0xfb2e46…
10-16 18:08:50	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,038	0¢	$10	0xd32be0…
10-16 18:08:44	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x7951c3…
10-16 18:08:35	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,038	0¢	$10	0x0c5186…
10-16 18:08:29	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,927	0¢	$10	0xe835b8…
10-16 18:08:23	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,962	0¢	$10	0x2b9e1e…
10-16 10:53:45	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56,050	0¢	$56	0x4cd6f5…
10-15 23:49:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38,500	0¢	$77	0xe75319…
10-15 23:42:19	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$9	0xd85229…
10-15 23:41:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$72	0x6c13be…
07-18 21:30:04	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	390	7¢	$28	0x9a6098…
07-18 21:25:39	Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	464	3¢	$16	0x8c7e59…
07-18 21:24:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	8¢	$14	0xee96da…
05-13 01:07:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x89cdfe…
05-13 01:07:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,170	10¢	$117	0x6f5421…
05-13 01:06:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16,061	2¢	$400	0x3bedfa…
04-10 23:29:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,019	4¢	$518	0x45058d…
04-09 23:20:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,276	4¢	$51	0x224858…
04-09 23:20:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,001	2¢	$51	0xe28934…
04-08 19:28:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	924	2¢	$16	0x5746d9…
04-08 19:28:03	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	910	1¢	$6	0x655e74…
04-08 19:27:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,051	2¢	$35	0x923f71…
04-06 15:14:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	857	1¢	$12	0x0db576…
04-05 18:59:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,211	4¢	$46	0x14f650…
04-04 15:35:55	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,164	2¢	$110	0x860b2b…
04-04 15:04:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,925	2¢	$64	0xb25d7f…
04-04 14:55:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	431	9¢	$40	0x390965…
04-04 14:54:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7,052	1¢	$80	0x48421a…