(anonymous) 0xe503c2…c122b1 Create alert
bot 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$41
Unrealized P&L
+$233
Hit rate
0.5%
Resolved (7d)
43
Trades (7d)
0
2,611 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$19.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$2.15K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-23
last 10-04 01:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
69% 3% -$105
Politics
19% 6% -$58
Tech
4% 0% -$22
Crypto
4% 100% +$1
Sports
3% 20% -$2
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No one announced as next James Bond? No +260 $212 92¢ $240 +$28 09-27 20:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +227 $173 94¢ $212 +$40 09-14 22:46
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No +160 $48 81¢ $130 +$82 09-03 11:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +150 $118 84¢ $125 +$7 10-02 17:40
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +100 $88 100¢ $100 +$11 09-28 18:58
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +100 $87 98¢ $98 +$11 09-03 23:46
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +105 $93 93¢ $97 +$4 10-02 08:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $92 87¢ $96 +$4 09-16 07:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +115 $87 73¢ $84 -$3 09-20 17:15
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +82 $69 96¢ $79 +$10 09-21 12:55
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? No +69 $58 99¢ $68 +$10 09-16 21:48
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +72 $60 94¢ $68 +$8 09-11 07:04
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +104 $74 65¢ $68 -$6 09-01 19:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +70 $48 91¢ $64 +$16 10-03 22:35
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No +55 $35 99¢ $54 +$19 09-15 07:10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +55 $49 96¢ $53 +$3 09-11 10:22
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +60 $41 72¢ $44 +$2 09-20 19:29
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +55 $31 76¢ $42 +$11 09-18 02:49
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? No +60 $44 66¢ $40 -$4 09-06 12:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $34 78¢ $39 +$6 09-16 16:05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +40 $33 98¢ $39 +$6 09-03 19:43
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $10 76¢ $39 +$29 09-15 14:55
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +55 $48 68¢ $38 -$10 09-18 03:43
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? No — +52 $45 70¢ $37 -$8 09-21 22:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +55 $12 66¢ $37 +$24 09-07 05:06
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +104 $31 35¢ $36 +$6 09-01 22:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +115 $39 27¢ $31 -$8 09-20 16:47
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +50 $11 62¢ $31 +$20 08-31 01:10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? Yes +160 $114 19¢ $30 -$84 09-04 12:43
US recession by end of 2027? No +40 $29 68¢ $27 -$1 09-04 13:35