Shameful-Subsidiary — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$574

Unrealized P&L

-$1.42K

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,323 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.13K

$83.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$230

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 00:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Sports

77% 44% +$741

Other

14% 47% +$457

Politics

8% 50% -$2,405

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,050	$1,499	8¢	$174	-$1,325	11-02 22:18
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+3,508	$73	1¢	$25	-$48	11-04 00:04
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+1,110	$27	2¢	$18	-$9	11-04 00:11
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+580	$39	1¢	$6	-$33	11-03 12:13
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	+400	$6	1¢	$5	-$1	11-03 16:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	+490	$5	0¢	$2	-$3	11-03 12:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	+500	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	11-03 12:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	11	$3.0K	3,848	3,848	+0	No	-$2,809	06-03 23:55
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	3	$1.6K	2,100	50	+2,050	open	—	11-02 22:18
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 40 41f	5	$1.4K	1,554	0	+1,554	No	+$144	02-21 03:14
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	15	$1.2K	1,980	1,980	+0	No	-$134	05-10 11:05
highest temperature in nyc on february 17 2026 48 49f	4	$1.1K	1,126	94	+1,032	No	+$147	02-17 22:48
highest temperature in nyc on february 16 2026 42 43f	1	$1.0K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$30	02-16 20:20
highest temperature in nyc on february 22 2026 38 39f	14	$1.0K	1,156	306	+850	No	-$30	02-22 14:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$1.0K	1,580	0	+1,580	Yes	+$559	10-17 23:15
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 42 43f	2	$954	1,020	0	+1,020	No	+$66	02-20 14:23
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	5	$863	998	0	+998	Yes	+$135	10-08 14:33
highest temperature in nyc on february 22 2026 36 37f	7	$760	833	121	+711	No	+$71	02-22 08:18
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 56 57f	31	$728	485	481	+3	No	-$102	04-22 18:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?	44	$601	620	620	+0	Yes	-$403	06-10 17:59
highest temperature in nyc on february 18 2026 44 45f	3	$554	645	0	+645	No	+$90	02-18 16:10
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$538	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$38	01-19 23:37
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	26	$478	1,287	688	+600	Yes	+$466	04-28 19:08
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$461	658	658	+0	No	-$39	01-11 00:51
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	2	$451	550	0	+550	Yes	+$99	06-03 09:02
nhl col tb 2026 01 06	3	$392	607	264	+343	Lightning	-$128	01-07 00:59
highest temperature in seattle on february 18 2026 44 45f	6	$351	396	0	+396	No	+$45	02-18 21:11
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	2	$312	250	250	+0	Yes	+$112	10-04 20:35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$301	2,175	0	+2,175	No	-$301	07-13 16:15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$301	1,455	0	+1,455	No	-$301	07-11 14:55
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$246	2,904	0	+2,904	No	-$246	07-06 08:11
nhl fla ott 2026 01 10	2	$235	240	240	+0	Panthers	-$5	01-10 16:40
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$218	490	490	+0	No	+$2	06-04 13:13
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$216	1,370	1,370	+0	No	+$5	06-06 18:26
mlb tb nyy 2026 05 23	2	$216	260	260	+0	New York Yankees	-$18	06-09 20:50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$204	230	230	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$6	05-12 23:12
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	8	$202	630	0	+630	No	-$202	03-16 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 00:11:58	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0xc9f45e…
11-04 00:04:12	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc40678…
11-03 18:30:39	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xba193a…
11-03 18:04:30	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7be986…
11-03 18:03:58	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x42ae10…
11-03 18:03:49	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x4cf42b…
11-03 18:01:06	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xd231a9…
11-03 17:40:04	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa198c3…
11-03 17:26:57	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	220	2¢	$4	0x6507b1…
11-03 17:14:51	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0x2d7a9c…
11-03 16:54:37	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xa1cf70…
11-03 16:37:42	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$6	0x6bd5ea…
11-03 15:52:16	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$7	0x2cfa74…
11-03 15:51:46	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0xadfe29…
11-03 12:15:16	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x06d6f8…
11-03 12:14:46	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x3f5fb4…
11-03 12:13:27	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	180	6¢	$11	0xcfe73d…
11-03 11:42:21	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$3	0x3ac956…
11-02 23:33:13	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	633	2¢	$16	0xbde65e…
11-02 23:33:12	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,833	2¢	$46	0xbc2f95…
11-02 23:31:28	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x392672…
11-02 23:31:03	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xdc04b5…
11-02 23:29:36	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$4	0x6923bf…
11-02 23:29:34	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$4	0x1b78d1…
11-02 22:18:36	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xe8bc67…
11-02 22:16:36	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0x9f4630…
10-30 18:44:54	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	816	73¢	$596	0xd7dd0b…
10-30 18:44:54	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,284	73¢	$937	0x9bf0c0…
10-17 23:15:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	853	65¢	$551	0x42288f…
10-17 22:39:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xc9df8c…
10-17 22:38:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xb3ee44…
10-17 22:38:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	668	65¢	$432	0x216d68…
10-15 18:12:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	153	1¢	$1	0x3893bf…
10-15 18:04:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xc4dfa0…
10-15 18:03:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0xd31c79…
10-15 13:57:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x792e45…
10-15 13:55:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	136	5¢	$7	0x1ce45c…
10-08 14:33:27	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	320	88¢	$282	0x59d2c5…
10-08 14:23:59	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x40df7a…
10-08 13:33:00	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	507	86¢	$436	0x9ca4da…
10-07 19:19:12	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	133	85¢	$113	0x9688c4…
10-07 14:44:37	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	28	85¢	$23	0x45e742…
10-06 23:22:19	Islanders vs. Rangers	Islanders	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x938245…
10-06 20:30:33	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x5cede7…
10-06 20:21:48	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x1ef491…
10-04 20:35:59	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	250	85¢	$212	0x7e0390…
10-04 20:15:13	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xea7d99…
09-30 16:22:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$21	0x60c316…
09-09 20:22:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x584c51…
09-06 16:30:12	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2bbcf4…
08-16 15:56:48	mlb wsh nym 2026 08 16	Washington Nationals	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x45c9ea…
08-13 14:09:54	mlb pit mia 2026 08 13	Miami Marlins	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x78c37a…
07-28 17:59:44	mlb bal det 2026 07 28	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0x0f463f…
07-20 21:44:00	mlb min cle 2026 07 20	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0x5cc505…
07-20 21:38:04	mlb min cle 2026 07 20	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x4cdcbc…
07-20 20:39:27	mlb lad phi 2026 07 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x4e3fd6…
07-20 20:38:51	mlb sf kc 2026 07 20	San Francisco Giants	BUY	98	46¢	$45	0xef48eb…
07-20 20:37:22	mlb lad phi 2026 07 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xaa6ebe…
07-19 16:44:03	mlb tb bos 2026 07 19	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	90	47¢	$42	0xa354cb…
07-13 16:15:40	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	140	22¢	$30	0x007ef0…
07-12 21:24:49	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	470	22¢	$101	0x90352a…
07-12 21:20:40	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$165	0xf7de49…
07-12 14:32:40	mlb atl stl 2026 07 12	Atlanta Braves	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0x15ce74…
07-12 14:32:23	mlb phi det 2026 07 12	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	180	47¢	$85	0x1fa542…
07-12 14:32:02	mlb mil pit 2026 07 12	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0x1cb3c5…
07-12 02:57:16	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	633	2¢	$13	0xb2587f…
07-12 02:49:31	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0x5ab6d6…
07-12 01:58:19	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x56e6f1…
07-11 14:55:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x8c9022…
07-11 14:53:38	mlb bos nym 2026 07 11	Boston Red Sox	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x3595f6…
07-11 14:50:01	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	508	6¢	$30	0xbe86c8…
07-11 14:49:56	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	205	15¢	$30	0x208137…
07-10 15:12:34	mlb hou tex 2026 07 10	Texas Rangers	BUY	190	44¢	$84	0x78f623…
07-10 15:12:17	mlb bos nym 2026 07 10	Boston Red Sox	BUY	180	45¢	$81	0x1379ca…
07-09 08:38:59	mlb sea mia 2026 07 09	Miami Marlins	BUY	190	43¢	$82	0x3dea6d…
07-09 08:38:43	mlb chc bal 2026 07 09	Chicago Cubs	BUY	180	46¢	$83	0x280f26…
07-09 08:38:23	mlb cle min 2026 07 09	Minnesota Twins	BUY	180	46¢	$83	0xec06ae…
07-08 20:19:25	mlb ari sd 2026 07 08	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	190	44¢	$84	0x0ca757…
07-08 20:17:53	mlb phi cin 2026 07 08	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	190	44¢	$84	0x566783…
07-08 20:17:34	mlb oak det 2026 07 08	Athletics	BUY	190	44¢	$84	0xf0d652…
07-08 20:17:14	mlb chc bal 2026 07 08	Chicago Cubs	BUY	180	46¢	$83	0x3a453e…
07-07 17:17:46	mlb bos cws 2026 07 07	Chicago White Sox	BUY	170	47¢	$79	0x551ab2…
07-07 17:17:05	mlb atl pit 2026 07 07	Atlanta Braves	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x5e6289…
07-06 15:40:16	mlb ari sd 2026 07 06	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0xda467b…
07-06 15:39:56	mlb mil stl 2026 07 06	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xd6d9e5…
07-06 08:13:04	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	417	5¢	$20	0xe83fff…
07-06 08:12:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x57738f…
07-06 08:11:41	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	323	6¢	$20	0xcbfd8d…
07-06 08:10:04	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,030	3¢	$100	0xf6d851…
07-05 16:14:59	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x1aad45…
07-05 13:09:43	mlb mia oak 2026 07 05	Miami Marlins	BUY	180	47¢	$85	0xaeb4dc…
07-05 13:08:59	mlb det tex 2026 07 05	Texas Rangers	BUY	170	48¢	$82	0xff87a5…
07-05 13:07:34	mlb pit wsh 2026 07 05	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	180	46¢	$83	0x72d42c…
07-04 14:38:08	mlb sf col 2026 07 04	Colorado Rockies	BUY	180	46¢	$83	0x85a23f…
07-04 14:37:44	mlb bal cin 2026 07 04	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	190	46¢	$87	0x5aabae…
07-04 14:37:01	mlb pit wsh 2026 07 04	Washington Nationals	BUY	190	42¢	$80	0xadadfc…
07-04 00:55:32	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	137	36¢	$50	0x21c192…
07-04 00:55:02	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x6bbce9…
07-03 21:45:04	mlb cws cle 2026 07 03	Chicago White Sox	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0x3b41c7…
07-03 01:39:23	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	303	7¢	$20	0x139cce…