Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

126

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$61

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-24 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

52% 78% +$133

Tech

18% 91% +$148

Crypto

14% 92% -$50

Politics

8% 44% -$307

Sports

7% 54% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+58	$40	82¢	$48	+$8	10-05 20:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+58	$15	12¢	$7	-$8	09-05 12:56
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+68	$15	5¢	$3	-$12	08-07 09:35
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$15	3¢	$3	-$12	09-05 12:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	1	$706	719	0	+719	No	+$12	01-04 03:16
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$449	450	0	+450	No	+$0	05-02 11:38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$415	423	0	+423	No	+$8	07-22 08:10
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$407	408	0	+408	No	+$0	07-11 11:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$405	413	0	+413	Yes	+$7	03-26 10:44
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	1	$391	392	0	+392	No	+$1	03-08 06:12
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$389	390	0	+390	Yes	+$1	02-03 05:58
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$385	386	0	+386	No	+$1	02-03 05:57
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$352	352	0	+352	No	+$0	08-07 09:38
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$339	303	37	+266	No	+$1	04-21 11:17
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$336	337	0	+337	No	+$0	06-04 11:44
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$294	296	0	+296	No	+$1	09-05 12:59
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$287	290	0	+290	Yes	+$3	03-06 04:46
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$280	281	0	+281	No	+$1	03-26 10:44
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$260	263	0	+263	No	+$3	02-11 03:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$244	257	0	+257	Yes	+$13	01-12 05:58
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$240	253	0	+253	Yes	+$13	01-12 05:57
Superform FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$236	237	0	+237	No	+$0	02-11 03:33
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$231	203	31	+172	Yes	+$2	01-27 04:12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	3	$222	193	30	+163	No	+$0	10-18 14:28
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$1	05-18 04:25
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$198	201	0	+201	Yes	+$3	01-12 05:59
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$187	194	0	+194	Yes	+$7	06-14 09:57
will the us next strike iran on february 1 2026 et	2	$156	80	80	+0	No	+$4	02-03 05:56
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	1	$153	153	0	+153	No	+$0	02-23 16:05
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$147	133	133	+0	No	+$107	03-26 05:17
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$144	72	72	+0	No	+$0	02-25 08:35
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$134	171	0	+171	Yes	-$134	02-27 14:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$127	76	76	+0	Yes	+$25	01-31 15:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$120	143	0	+143	Yes	+$23	07-22 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 09:42:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	62¢	$36	0x0c1d68…
10-18 14:28:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x8aa5b7…
10-18 14:28:35	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdbd557…
10-16 11:11:21	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0x1fd436…
10-16 11:10:55	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x3be200…
10-14 18:32:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x07b4ff…
10-14 18:31:42	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdb9491…
10-05 20:26:44	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0xb4ac69…
10-05 20:26:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x807506…
10-05 20:26:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x7bb4fa…
10-05 20:25:47	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x136184…
10-05 20:25:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x675b27…
10-05 20:25:11	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x19dca1…
10-05 20:24:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xe7e275…
10-05 20:23:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x6e3fcb…
10-05 20:23:17	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xbc1533…
09-05 12:59:15	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$294	0x851e1a…
09-05 12:58:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	49¢	$34	0xaeafcc…
09-05 12:58:19	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	58	70¢	$41	0x1dccf7…
09-05 12:58:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0xc61639…
09-05 12:57:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0xde721f…
09-05 12:57:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0x2adf5a…
09-05 12:56:39	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xdc645e…
09-05 12:56:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x0294fd…
08-10 16:07:37	Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x89d00f…
08-07 09:38:28	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$352	0x8c9ba6…
08-07 09:37:55	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x8371ef…
08-07 09:37:40	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xd4fc35…
08-07 09:37:21	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0xb667d0…
08-07 09:37:01	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0x5f7118…
08-07 09:36:48	Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	BUY	73	94¢	$68	0xfbf0f0…
08-07 09:36:33	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x6c4d82…
08-07 09:36:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	78	87¢	$68	0x7dc170…
08-07 09:36:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	89¢	$68	0xccffac…
08-07 09:35:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc0d797…
08-07 09:35:25	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x11dbe8…
08-07 09:34:51	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xe5127e…
08-07 09:34:15	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xbbf046…
07-22 08:10:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	423	98¢	$415	0xadc60a…
07-22 08:09:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	66	74¢	$49	0x32eb7d…
07-11 11:30:17	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	408	100¢	$407	0x3cc838…
07-11 11:29:52	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xd2b3fc…
07-11 11:29:37	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0xec714d…
07-11 11:29:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	76	93¢	$71	0xe386e7…
07-11 11:29:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0xea4c82…
07-11 11:29:04	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0xc663d5…
07-11 11:28:50	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xa27006…
07-11 11:28:23	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x4cd485…
07-11 11:28:05	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xaa7974…
06-14 09:57:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	194	96¢	$187	0x72b235…
06-04 11:44:07	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	337	100¢	$336	0x6770e7…
06-04 11:43:28	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xcc69cb…
06-04 11:43:12	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xe2da95…
06-04 11:42:58	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0xc83624…
06-04 11:42:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	78	90¢	$70	0xa81b81…
06-04 11:42:19	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	63¢	$70	0x33e7f1…
06-04 11:41:42	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x1c5d52…
06-04 11:41:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	82¢	$80	0xbba834…
06-04 11:40:52	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	205	17¢	$35	0x8e8eac…
05-30 07:42:07	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0xef7d0b…
05-18 04:26:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xa75b02…
05-18 04:26:02	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xec635c…
05-18 04:25:21	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x0433bb…
05-02 11:38:12	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x590b10…
05-02 11:37:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x204cb1…
05-02 11:37:18	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0xee28e4…
05-02 11:37:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	80¢	$71	0x6d7f0f…
05-02 11:36:36	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	84¢	$71	0x8f5c5a…
05-02 11:36:06	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0x2fc4a6…
05-02 11:35:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0xab929f…
05-02 11:35:12	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xcfdc68…
05-02 11:34:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xd7363d…
05-02 11:33:28	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x752e57…
04-21 11:17:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0x09c5b2…
04-21 11:17:00	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xc48a5c…
04-19 05:34:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0xf7b5c9…
04-19 05:33:50	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5b0794…
04-14 05:57:31	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	41	69¢	$29	0xecd99b…
04-14 05:57:11	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xdbf5dd…
04-14 05:56:57	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x34ae87…
04-14 05:56:37	nba por phx 2026 04 14	Suns	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xbb750f…
04-14 05:56:07	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x89c102…
04-07 14:55:27	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0x486c9d…
04-07 14:55:03	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x23ab07…
04-07 14:54:45	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x331bf7…
04-07 14:54:27	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xcf6d2f…
04-07 14:54:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xa1542f…
04-04 06:25:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x7b71fb…
04-04 06:25:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x82a09f…
04-04 06:24:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	114	96¢	$109	0x3e856e…
04-04 06:23:59	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0x0117c7…
04-04 06:23:35	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	78¢	$73	0x710809…
04-02 04:44:09	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x2237ee…
04-02 04:43:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x883d2e…
04-02 04:43:43	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	92	78¢	$72	0xd1166b…
03-26 10:44:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xe21f54…
03-26 10:44:39	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0xe03c20…
03-26 05:17:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	133	95¢	$127	0x370dde…
03-09 11:20:29	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x60053e…
03-09 11:20:11	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xcc98ca…