Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$253

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

57 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.87K

$6.95K lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

$1.09K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-05 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

41% 27% -$657

Tech

22% 0% -$239

Politics

20% 17% -$227

Crypto

11% 0% -$620

Sports

6% 20% -$136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	-450	-$425	97¢	$-436	-$11	10-28 18:32
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-267	-$191	91¢	$-244	-$53	10-12 20:25
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+1,223	$132	14¢	$165	+$33	10-12 20:33
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	+169	$122	77¢	$130	+$8	11-04 22:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+350	$111	32¢	$114	+$3	11-05 17:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	2	$1.0K	595	595	+0	No	-$78	02-06 15:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$890	455	455	+0	Yes	+$2	03-09 13:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$570	3,415	3,415	+0	open	—	08-26 23:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$509	11,730	0	+11,730	No	-$509	06-02 17:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$425	0	450	-450	open	—	10-28 18:32
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$394	263	263	+0	No	-$50	02-05 18:39
Databricks IPO before 2027?	2	$383	212	212	+0	open	—	10-12 20:25
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?	1	$222	1,388	0	+1,388	No	-$222	07-19 03:38
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	4	$217	410	410	+0	No	-$3	11-03 23:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$191	0	267	-267	open	—	10-12 20:25
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$167	0	167	-167	Yes	$0	01-03 07:43
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$132	1,223	0	+1,223	open	—	10-12 20:33
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	1	$122	169	0	+169	open	—	11-04 22:43
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	1	$111	401	0	+401	No	-$111	09-09 20:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$111	445	0	+445	No	-$111	07-29 16:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$111	350	0	+350	open	—	11-05 17:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$111	1,603	0	+1,603	No	-$111	03-13 17:52
will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	1	$111	228	0	+228	Yes	-$111	03-27 21:36
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	1	$99	132	0	+132	Seahawks	+$33	01-26 02:34
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$93	112	112	+0	No	-$17	01-14 22:04
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	1	$77	275	0	+275	No	-$77	06-28 00:02
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	1	$77	84	0	+84	No	+$7	10-28 17:48
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$77	208	0	+208	No	-$77	01-07 02:47
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$77	523	0	+523	No	-$77	03-27 01:48
will netanyahu tweet again by saturday	1	$77	87	0	+87	No	+$10	03-14 19:08
will prodzy win the legend trade series	2	$63	212	212	+0	No	-$3	04-16 23:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$55	423	0	+423	No	-$55	09-15 00:23
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	1	$55	556	0	+556	No	-$55	11-04 01:54
will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	1	$55	611	0	+611	No	-$55	01-04 21:01
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$48	347	0	+347	Yes	-$48	02-08 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:57:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	350	32¢	$111	0xfc0706…
11-04 22:43:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	169	72¢	$122	0x41f9da…
11-04 01:54:31	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	10¢	$55	0xb0241e…
11-03 23:59:28	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	26¢	$53	0x80735c…
11-03 23:59:15	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	27¢	$55	0xae05ff…
11-03 23:56:01	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	26¢	$54	0x1e1c9d…
11-03 23:55:37	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	27¢	$55	0x4344b4…
10-28 19:09:47	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0xe80caa…
10-28 18:32:50	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	196	96¢	$188	0x330c5e…
10-28 18:32:40	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x6b1e2b…
10-28 17:50:20	Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	54	61¢	$33	0xc28c42…
10-28 17:50:05	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0x777a67…
10-28 17:48:17	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	84	91¢	$77	0x1d449b…
10-12 20:33:56	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	523	11¢	$55	0x2a37af…
10-12 20:27:11	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	254	93¢	$237	0xe04c7a…
10-12 20:25:50	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	212	97¢	$206	0x1421a7…
10-12 20:25:42	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	267	72¢	$191	0x5a81aa…
09-15 00:23:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	423	13¢	$55	0xa175d6…
09-15 00:22:28	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	700	11¢	$77	0x49d1c8…
09-09 20:13:13	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	401	28¢	$111	0xc9d54e…
08-26 23:39:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,415	4¢	$126	0x89ca9f…
07-29 16:50:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	445	25¢	$111	0x326c12…
07-19 03:38:27	Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,388	16¢	$222	0x1298ce…
06-28 00:21:44	Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xdf33ca…
06-28 00:02:59	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	275	28¢	$77	0xe7c1bd…
06-17 19:17:35	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	212	83¢	$177	0x35fea4…
06-02 17:29:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,000	1¢	$77	0x828b07…
06-01 15:17:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	262	42¢	$111	0xa4427a…
06-01 13:41:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	64¢	$144	0x153bb7…
06-01 13:20:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	72¢	$177	0x43cec8…
05-17 23:56:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,415	13¢	$444	0x868093…
04-16 23:47:56	will prodzy win the legend trade series	Yes	SELL	212	14¢	$30	0x9d16ec…
04-10 02:22:03	will prodzy win the legend trade series	Yes	BUY	212	16¢	$33	0xb078c2…
03-27 21:36:39	will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	No	BUY	228	49¢	$111	0x8836d8…
03-27 01:48:01	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	523	15¢	$77	0xc7077d…
03-14 19:08:43	will netanyahu tweet again by saturday	No	BUY	87	88¢	$77	0x2299bc…
03-13 17:52:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1,603	7¢	$111	0xd288dd…
03-09 13:13:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	455	98¢	$446	0xe937f6…
03-08 15:46:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	455	98¢	$444	0x12da67…
02-26 04:58:56	zachxbt investigation post over 14m views on day one	Yes	BUY	92	48¢	$44	0x71d94d…
02-23 19:08:50	will company c be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	884	5¢	$44	0xed1b59…
02-08 23:33:13	will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	347	14¢	$48	0xe49df8…
02-06 15:02:13	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	595	80¢	$477	0x4415e1…
02-05 18:39:29	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	SELL	263	65¢	$172	0x8199a2…
02-03 13:51:08	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	BUY	263	84¢	$222	0x281bd6…
02-03 13:50:16	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	595	93¢	$555	0x5793c5…
01-26 02:34:34	nfl la sea 2026 01 25	Seahawks	BUY	132	75¢	$99	0xe83516…
01-17 23:19:36	nfl buf den 2026 01 17	Bills	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0x358f37…
01-14 22:04:58	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	SELL	112	34¢	$38	0x119a30…
01-14 21:57:14	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	112	49¢	$55	0xb5cee3…
01-07 02:47:15	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	208	37¢	$77	0x427ad5…
01-06 03:14:31	over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	Yes	BUY	210	21¢	$44	0x25ba42…
01-06 03:14:19	over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	Yes	BUY	153	29¢	$44	0x03e1dc…
01-04 21:19:25	will the carolina panthers win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	1,222	2¢	$22	0xd9889c…
01-04 21:02:11	will the carolina panthers win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	1,439	2¢	$22	0x5dcc3b…
01-04 21:01:59	will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	611	9¢	$55	0xb30afa…
01-03 07:43:29	lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	Yes	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x93129f…