Poor-Tissue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$68

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-04 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

44% 83% -$2

Politics

37% 100% +$6

Tech

11% 100% +$0

Sports

9% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	11-04 08:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	10-19 08:07
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	08-31 03:36
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+3	$2	74¢	$2	$0	09-29 02:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$2	39¢	$2	-$1	07-25 02:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+2	$2	81¢	$1	$0	06-24 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 08:34:28	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xcd6d1d…
10-28 03:05:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x2840c5…
10-19 08:07:27	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x527b27…
10-10 03:42:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9323a3…
09-29 02:52:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x8d195f…
09-21 07:30:42	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb32641…
09-16 02:40:27	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x10ecf4…
09-05 02:26:00	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x55983c…
08-31 03:36:25	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfc2fd5…
08-24 07:44:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4750a0…
08-14 03:00:19	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4fb21c…
08-07 07:24:55	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x853dae…
07-25 02:39:57	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x4c749a…
07-20 02:51:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf7f5e6…
06-27 06:49:58	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x4cc8c9…
06-24 03:14:02	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x378beb…
06-15 06:16:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x53d727…
06-05 13:27:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2c2631…
06-02 02:48:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xded060…
05-25 06:46:07	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x15ebbb…
05-19 03:42:46	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7c4f4e…
05-12 06:18:41	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf1575c…
05-07 06:42:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc32a2a…
04-11 07:18:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x218395…
04-01 08:45:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x75909e…
03-18 08:42:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe16cc5…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-05 13:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-18 08:42
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	05-25 06:46
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	08-07 07:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	11-04 08:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-19 08:07
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-19 03:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-02 02:48
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	08-24 07:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	04-11 07:18
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	07-25 02:39
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	09-29 02:52
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$0	06-27 06:49
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-21 07:30
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-16 02:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	07-20 02:51
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-05 02:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	10-28 03:05
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	08-31 03:36
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	08-14 03:00
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-24 03:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	10-10 03:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	+$4	06-15 06:16