Realized P&L
-$1.65M
Unrealized P&L
+$872
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
49
Trades
692
lifetime
Volume
$4.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6.18K
Open exposure
$9.39K
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-11 07:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
60%
61%
-$866,534
Politics
17%
57%
-$319,035
Crypto
12%
100%
+$1,502
Sports
11%
0%
-$465,871
Tech
1%
100%
+$309
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +5,979 | $4,783 | 94¢ | $5.6K | +$807 | 04-29 06:29 | |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | +3,022 | $2,346 | 72¢ | $2.2K | -$171 | 04-29 06:26 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | +1,692 | $1,388 | 96¢ | $1.6K | +$236 | 05-14 22:23 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | 13 | $761.6K | 424,706 | 340,620 | +84,086 | Yes | +$1,526 | 06-17 18:47 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 4 | $499.1K | 500,583 | 0 | +500,583 | No | +$1,502 | 06-03 23:07 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 248 | $465.9K | 1,429,819 | 0 | +1,429,819 | No | -$465,871 | 07-11 07:07 |
| fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5 | 121 | $433.0K | 636,789 | 0 | +636,789 | Cabo Verde | -$433,016 | 07-03 21:45 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 12 | $258.0K | 294,117 | 0 | +294,117 | Yes | +$36,163 | 04-29 06:24 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | 5 | $182.8K | 344,978 | 0 | +344,978 | No | -$182,838 | 06-18 09:25 |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | 47 | $149.2K | 242,950 | 0 | +242,950 | Yes | +$93,740 | 06-17 18:49 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | 3 | $148.8K | 165,079 | 0 | +165,079 | No | -$148,772 | 06-15 15:59 |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | 20 | $136.4K | 176,765 | 0 | +176,765 | No | -$136,382 | 06-18 00:55 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 10 | $129.3K | 161,955 | 21,122 | +140,833 | No | +$53,587 | 04-29 06:19 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 7 | $105.1K | 123,908 | 0 | +123,908 | Yes | -$105,111 | 02-27 23:25 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 25 | $96.7K | 222,419 | 0 | +222,419 | Yes | -$96,682 | 07-11 07:05 |
| will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election | 10 | $86.5K | 120,754 | 0 | +120,754 | Yes | +$34,292 | 04-11 16:22 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 55 | $85.2K | 297,827 | 297,827 | +0 | Yes | -$84,002 | 03-01 07:00 |
| fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5 | 2 | $77.5K | 180,138 | 0 | +180,138 | Under | -$77,459 | 06-29 23:53 |
| will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election | 8 | $72.0K | 99,907 | 0 | +99,907 | No | +$27,912 | 04-11 16:22 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 2 | $60.1K | 38,455 | 32,000 | +6,455 | No | +$6,540 | 01-20 15:07 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 20 | $57.2K | 221,553 | 221,553 | +0 | Yes | -$56,322 | 03-01 07:01 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 4 | $44.3K | 23,000 | 23,000 | +0 | Yes | +$769 | 01-23 17:00 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 2 | $43.6K | 22,384 | 22,384 | +0 | Yes | -$22 | 02-27 23:25 |
| fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5 | 1 | $37.0K | 88,002 | 0 | +88,002 | Cabo Verde | -$36,961 | 07-03 21:23 |
| fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 3pt5 | 1 | $34.3K | 163,499 | 0 | +163,499 | Cabo Verde | -$34,335 | 07-03 21:27 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | 3 | $29.1K | 33,525 | 0 | +33,525 | Yes | -$29,073 | 02-27 11:55 |
| us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31 | 2 | $27.9K | 22,336 | 5,958 | +16,378 | No | +$360 | 01-21 22:16 |
| will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985 | 4 | $24.1K | 8,555 | 16,055 | -7,500 | Yes | +$309 | 01-26 12:26 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 5 | $23.3K | 24,869 | 0 | +24,869 | No | +$1,560 | 02-27 11:59 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | 10 | $22.7K | 22,953 | 0 | +22,953 | Yes | +$237 | 06-14 17:57 |
| odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645 | 4 | $22.4K | 12,800 | 11,570 | +1,230 | No | +$1,371 | 02-28 20:04 |
| will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026 | 1 | $21.5K | 22,186 | 0 | +22,186 | No | +$700 | 01-12 11:54 |
| trump x greenland deal signed by march 31 | 4 | $17.7K | 24,461 | 0 | +24,461 | No | +$6,759 | 01-26 12:31 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||