Barren-Sleuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.72K

Unrealized P&L

+$973

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

956

lifetime

Volume

$397.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$416

Open exposure

$18.7K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-30 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

63% 91% +$2,805

Politics

31% 96% +$1,539

Sports

6% 100% +$374

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No		+19,102	$17,079	94¢	$18.1K	+$972	10-27 20:31
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No		+670	$657	98¢	$657	+$0	10-30 18:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	34	$52.0K	35,339	17,299	+18,040	No	+$283	03-24 21:53
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	29	$44.9K	23,165	23,165	+0	No	+$903	03-15 08:38
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$33.6K	17,654	17,654	+0	No	+$376	03-16 18:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	76	$33.3K	17,607	17,607	+0	open	—	08-12 18:49
Trump out as President by April 30?	28	$31.7K	18,482	13,636	+4,846	No	+$324	04-30 16:31
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	7	$27.0K	13,514	13,514	+0	No	+$26	06-25 09:46
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	55	$21.2K	21,330	2,228	+19,102	open	—	10-27 20:31
italy nordio reform referendum passes	73	$16.7K	17,612	0	+17,612	No	+$873	03-23 15:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	10	$13.0K	7,430	7,430	+0	open	—	07-03 18:26
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$12.8K	6,485	6,485	+0	Yes	+$181	02-21 19:27
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	30	$12.0K	6,112	6,211	-99	Yes	+$248	05-12 16:07
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	59	$11.8K	7,877	5,215	+2,662	open	—	10-26 17:10
will italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$6.5K	6,497	0	+6,497	Yes	+$19	02-21 19:28
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	1	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$61	05-21 22:12
will trump speak to ursula von der leyen in june	22	$5.7K	3,222	3,222	+0	Yes	+$323	06-16 07:51
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	14	$5.6K	2,914	2,939	-24	No	+$113	05-07 09:33
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	14	$4.9K	2,481	2,518	-37	Yes	+$68	05-13 03:59
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?	23	$4.5K	4,832	0	+4,832	Yes	+$324	06-03 17:23
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?	9	$3.1K	1,562	1,561	+0	No	+$24	05-17 17:57
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$10	05-29 17:52
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	19	$3.0K	2,038	2,038	+0	Yes	+$29	06-16 09:52
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?	14	$2.8K	1,023	2,008	-984	Yes	-$68	06-16 07:13
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	19	$2.7K	1,506	1,499	+7	Yes	+$13	05-17 23:37
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in june	15	$2.7K	2,786	0	+2,786	Yes	+$101	06-10 18:09
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	7	$2.2K	1,275	1,274	+1	Yes	+$95	08-26 18:32
Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	12	$1.8K	2,339	2,339	+0	No	+$36	07-23 09:20
will jannik sinner have 15000 atp points before 2027 20260731033231532	10	$1.8K	1,567	250	+1,317	open	—	08-21 14:17
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	7	$1.7K	1,460	401	+1,060	No	+$56	09-20 07:11
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	20	$1.6K	1,794	0	+1,794	No	+$178	08-26 21:46
Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?	28	$1.5K	3,000	706	+2,294	Yes	-$870	07-24 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:36:03	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	670	98¢	$657	0x830c1e…
10-30 18:34:21	Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x01bead…
10-28 17:07:40	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xf20cc6…
10-28 15:02:40	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	457	83¢	$380	0x1e5c09…
10-28 14:57:14	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x7ed7c1…
10-28 14:56:10	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0xb38b85…
10-28 14:56:10	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x49f142…
10-27 20:31:30	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8a47c5…
10-27 05:26:33	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x865544…
10-27 04:57:00	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xafe457…
10-27 04:56:59	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xe20ce1…
10-27 04:56:59	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xc85197…
10-27 04:56:59	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	1,100	92¢	$1,015	0xa3568c…
10-26 18:03:32	Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xedc48e…
10-26 17:49:57	Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x757851…
10-26 17:40:06	brazil presidential election annulled by december 31 20261026114556736	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x8f2bf3…
10-26 17:40:05	brazil presidential election annulled by december 31 20261026114556736	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xee30fb…
10-26 17:10:17	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x587145…
10-26 08:07:15	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	74	90¢	$66	0xf0198b…
10-25 14:31:26	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	24	90¢	$22	0x7cfbec…
10-24 08:07:12	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	442	84¢	$371	0x111387…
10-22 14:18:12	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc90cd8…
10-19 16:40:29	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	101	93¢	$94	0xa429eb…
10-17 08:22:05	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x0f350d…
10-16 21:25:54	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x922c86…
10-16 07:09:15	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	344	80¢	$275	0xa43918…
10-15 13:11:02	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xfc9c05…
10-15 12:32:20	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x51ea9b…
10-15 12:32:19	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xdfb736…
10-15 12:32:19	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xc2ae0e…
10-15 12:32:19	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x90d9f3…
10-15 12:32:19	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	102	80¢	$81	0x006f65…
10-15 01:43:22	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x0948ce…
10-12 22:53:15	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0xe410ea…
10-12 21:18:41	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x6f2387…
10-12 21:06:38	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xd5efe4…
10-12 21:02:30	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2027? (copy)	No	BUY	311	64¢	$198	0x2e6894…
10-10 12:29:16	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x561ec9…
10-09 15:08:49	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0xb2edba…
10-09 07:54:21	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	217	92¢	$201	0x1c0aa6…
10-09 07:41:57	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	231	92¢	$213	0xf5fd84…
10-08 23:41:53	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xa2ee7b…
10-08 16:46:59	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x5908e0…
10-08 01:05:56	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	448	92¢	$412	0xe20c41…
10-08 00:17:29	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xa9ec7c…
10-07 16:58:29	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x1baa6b…
10-07 16:58:13	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x2d2f8a…
10-07 16:58:07	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?	No	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0xeaae57…
10-07 16:57:49	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x46c37a…
10-07 16:57:10	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?	No	BUY	420	85¢	$357	0x89273f…
10-05 22:27:58	Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb17562…
10-05 14:50:49	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	66	93¢	$61	0x7ffe6a…
10-05 11:12:08	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	76	45¢	$34	0x80e60f…
10-04 16:50:52	F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?	Yes	SELL	243	53¢	$128	0xbcd0ff…
10-03 18:22:09	Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	No	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x19ee1b…
10-01 00:25:50	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	81¢	$51	0x95a319…
09-29 18:26:35	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	190	81¢	$154	0xf58353…
09-29 16:23:02	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	247	92¢	$228	0x26a9d2…
09-29 15:07:09	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	104	92¢	$96	0xda1ae4…
09-29 13:09:24	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	67	92¢	$62	0xef9f1f…
09-28 22:43:24	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xde07b4…
09-28 20:40:36	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xc2ccde…
09-28 20:40:36	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xa7f764…
09-26 17:27:05	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	144	92¢	$133	0xd4358f…
09-26 08:07:51	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	67	92¢	$62	0x706178…
09-24 18:26:27	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	BUY	154	45¢	$69	0x699b09…
09-24 01:01:11	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x0634cb…
09-23 19:15:47	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x2ff0f4…
09-23 19:15:28	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	SELL	178	46¢	$82	0xc25b27…
09-23 19:15:05	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	SELL	90	47¢	$43	0x3c57fb…
09-23 19:14:32	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	SELL	66	49¢	$32	0x597547…
09-23 18:34:31	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0xc0d069…
09-23 18:15:05	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x269d6e…
09-23 18:14:56	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xb68846…
09-23 18:14:56	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x543dfa…
09-23 18:14:55	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xb39b32…
09-23 08:47:17	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	900	92¢	$831	0x8881b4…
09-23 08:38:07	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	125	92¢	$115	0xdf1e9b…
09-23 05:25:40	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x156de5…
09-23 05:09:20	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	5,700	92¢	$5,244	0xe068aa…
09-22 15:29:49	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4d38d4…
09-22 15:29:45	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9a5802…
09-22 07:19:03	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x49b2e9…
09-22 06:04:46	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	Yes	BUY	66	47¢	$31	0xa78642…
09-22 02:26:47	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x813eec…
09-21 23:19:45	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	111	50¢	$56	0x2bd08c…
09-21 22:19:12	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xe8fef1…
09-21 22:19:06	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	127	50¢	$64	0xc93af2…
09-21 21:59:57	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x724f99…
09-21 21:51:04	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x4b290d…
09-21 21:49:00	Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x126e00…
09-20 18:29:36	Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x62b4a9…
09-20 07:11:42	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	293	97¢	$285	0x1064f8…
09-19 20:25:30	will the greenland agreement text be released by september 23 2026 copy copy	No	SELL	52	59¢	$31	0x165e9e…
09-19 13:31:30	will the greenland agreement text be released by september 23 2026 copy copy	No	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0x203924…
09-19 13:31:08	will the greenland agreement text be released by september 23 2026 copy copy	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x73cea7…
09-19 07:15:15	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	113	81¢	$92	0xda9e40…
09-18 22:33:43	Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe45c1e…
09-18 22:30:45	Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x63b0ba…
09-18 19:46:16	Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xeea0d6…