Capital-Mouth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.79K

Unrealized P&L

-$676

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

1,931

Trades

27,590

lifetime

Volume

$1.35M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$37

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 69% -$1,478

Politics

39% 72% +$10,619

Other

19% 64% -$737

Tech

1% 81% +$876

Sports

1% 67% -$686

Pop-Culture

0% 67% +$197

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 1478 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+1,060	$753	3¢	$32	-$721	10-27 06:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-5	-$86	94¢	$-5	+$81	05-04 13:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	-5	-$1	6¢	$-0	+$1	05-02 15:06
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	+0	-$24	99¢	$0	+$24	04-30 11:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+0	$0	92¢	$0	+$0	05-13 10:00
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	+0	$62	15¢	$0	-$62	06-30 05:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	394	$46.9K	110,717	106,587	+4,130	Yes	+$3,112	06-15 04:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	201	$34.0K	30,961	24,723	+6,238	No	+$1,456	03-27 03:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	431	$27.6K	53,961	51,686	+2,275	Yes	+$580	04-12 14:36
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	174	$25.2K	16,766	11,925	+4,842	No	+$968	04-23 18:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	216	$24.5K	46,971	40,866	+6,105	Yes	-$763	04-04 22:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	151	$20.6K	15,525	14,306	+1,220	No	+$400	04-21 22:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	128	$17.5K	32,678	33,057	-379	Yes	-$292	04-07 23:28
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	77	$11.7K	12,739	10,962	+1,777	Team Spirit	-$2,442	08-23 13:24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	31	$8.7K	8,016	5,856	+2,161	No	+$1,005	05-31 21:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	77	$8.6K	5,785	5,795	-10	open	—	05-04 13:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	48	$8.4K	53,400	53,400	+0	Yes	+$301	02-28 20:42
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	146	$8.3K	77,647	77,647	+0	No	-$304	10-04 22:34
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	67	$8.0K	6,691	6,691	+0	Yes	+$373	06-13 17:12
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	92	$7.7K	9,371	9,371	+0	No	-$271	08-27 21:22
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	23	$7.4K	3,970	3,970	+0	No	+$199	07-13 12:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	31	$7.3K	4,016	3,640	+376	No	+$108	05-23 00:39
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	34	$7.1K	3,776	3,776	+0	No	+$148	07-19 21:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	73	$7.0K	6,303	5,232	+1,072	Yes	-$136	03-23 12:15
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	92	$6.9K	7,155	7,155	+0	Yes	+$33	10-26 00:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	155	$6.7K	5,124	4,939	+186	Yes	-$148	03-23 11:44
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	8	$6.4K	3,335	3,335	+0	No	+$57	07-25 09:59
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	128	$6.1K	3,242	3,242	+0	No	+$107	08-11 19:28
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	80	$6.1K	4,779	4,491	+288	Yes	-$214	07-01 19:23
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	65	$5.8K	4,727	3,976	+750	Yes	-$107	05-15 23:05
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	24	$5.7K	3,472	3,472	+0	No	-$32	07-11 14:54
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	114	$5.5K	3,062	3,062	+0	open	—	04-30 11:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	59	$5.4K	5,145	4,725	+420	Yes	+$349	06-14 23:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	101	$5.3K	6,601	4,420	+2,181	Yes	-$502	04-27 18:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	16	$5.0K	2,776	2,776	+0	No	+$33	10-09 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	107	$4.9K	4,337	4,337	+0	Down	-$893	08-23 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:14:56	Will AP call US Senate control by November 13, 11:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x1cf78e…
10-27 06:37:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	612	71¢	$434	0x5cf441…
10-27 06:29:51	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	448	71¢	$318	0x21e38e…
10-27 06:10:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,030	73¢	$752	0x93a978…
10-27 04:58:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,030	73¢	$752	0xea8c4a…
10-27 02:01:53	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	756	100¢	$755	0xbf1482…
10-26 04:19:03	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	75	77¢	$58	0x8c98f1…
10-26 04:18:54	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0x7097e3…
10-26 03:18:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0xf6593f…
10-26 03:18:38	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x0f899d…
10-26 03:14:35	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x007324…
10-26 03:14:29	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdbd7f0…
10-26 03:14:17	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	118	23¢	$27	0x45a8b6…
10-26 03:14:05	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x83220d…
10-26 03:14:03	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xae6105…
10-26 03:14:03	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	111	25¢	$28	0xa8b02d…
10-26 01:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	318	51¢	$162	0x643ede…
10-26 01:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xb22a4b…
10-26 01:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc62427…
10-26 01:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf1ad8d…
10-26 01:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb33da0…
10-26 01:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x83a2a3…
10-26 01:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	169	80¢	$135	0xd8ba42…
10-26 01:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	46	82¢	$38	0x6df6f4…
10-26 01:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xe807a8…
10-26 01:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x4a4d21…
10-26 01:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x2d11f5…
10-26 00:58:48	Will AP call US Senate control by November 18, 11:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xef5f1f…
10-26 00:57:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x92a8b2…
10-25 17:56:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	455	82¢	$372	0x22c84e…
10-25 17:36:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x0cef1d…
10-25 17:36:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	91	44¢	$40	0x7338e4…
10-25 11:36:08	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	111	52¢	$58	0x1cb921…
10-25 11:34:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	333	51¢	$170	0x809695…
10-25 11:34:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	111	52¢	$58	0xda5b02…
10-25 11:34:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	154	50¢	$77	0xdd7835…
10-25 11:34:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xdb18a0…
10-25 11:34:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0xc4bfdd…
10-25 11:34:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	75	52¢	$39	0xba34b7…
10-25 11:34:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	187	51¢	$96	0x49bbee…
10-25 11:33:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x3654a6…
10-25 11:26:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xb0bde2…
10-25 11:25:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	95	49¢	$47	0x0be946…
10-25 11:24:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	141	49¢	$69	0x96e5b7…
10-25 11:24:26	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	48	49¢	$24	0x12ce65…
10-25 11:22:21	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xc1f3c9…
10-25 11:22:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	42	48¢	$20	0xb2a5ed…
10-25 11:21:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	42	48¢	$20	0xf99597…
10-25 11:21:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	204	48¢	$98	0xca0bc3…
10-25 11:21:42	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	62	48¢	$30	0x0fcdb1…
10-25 11:21:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xff0b9e…
10-25 11:21:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	102	48¢	$49	0xfea700…
10-25 11:21:21	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x9711de…
10-25 11:21:15	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	21	48¢	$10	0x56effe…
10-25 11:21:09	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x84b104…
10-25 11:21:06	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xfbdc46…
10-25 11:20:23	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	222	48¢	$107	0xe6dfa1…
10-25 11:20:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x07ad76…
10-25 11:19:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	134	48¢	$64	0x21865e…
10-25 11:19:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9e6a5b…
10-25 11:18:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xac54d3…
10-25 11:18:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	74	48¢	$36	0x6166a3…
10-25 11:18:42	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xdab605…
10-25 11:16:48	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x702b60…
10-25 11:16:06	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xe0e8f0…
10-25 11:16:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	55	49¢	$27	0x4b6b51…
10-25 11:15:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0x110727…
10-25 11:15:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	261	47¢	$123	0x498ce1…
10-25 11:14:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	333	46¢	$153	0xd17142…
10-25 11:12:23	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	102	49¢	$50	0x135a69…
10-25 11:12:03	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x085ee4…
10-25 11:11:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	183	48¢	$88	0x9c0801…
10-25 11:11:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	39	48¢	$19	0x287387…
10-25 11:10:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	222	50¢	$111	0xb8d2d6…
10-25 11:05:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	289	51¢	$147	0x74a322…
10-25 11:04:54	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	62	52¢	$32	0x4aae33…
10-25 11:04:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xdc9467…
10-25 11:04:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xdc2c2c…
10-25 11:04:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xa8a7b6…
10-25 11:04:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x355ead…
10-25 11:04:21	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x9d9287…
10-25 11:04:21	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x3d53b9…
10-25 11:04:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x9307e6…
10-25 11:04:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x896d63…
10-25 11:03:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	388	54¢	$210	0xaccb8a…
10-25 11:02:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	333	51¢	$170	0xabebb1…
10-25 11:01:57	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	444	52¢	$231	0xc42ed6…
10-25 11:01:15	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	121	55¢	$66	0x77683a…
10-25 11:01:12	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	212	55¢	$117	0x3b76aa…
10-25 11:00:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	182	55¢	$100	0x70e6dc…
10-25 10:57:09	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	666	51¢	$340	0x9ac569…
10-25 10:56:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	457	53¢	$242	0xed85b7…
10-25 10:56:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	320	53¢	$170	0x13a714…
10-25 10:53:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	320	47¢	$150	0x076f00…
10-25 10:52:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	102	53¢	$54	0xd3e37a…
10-25 10:52:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	26	52¢	$14	0x7f8a3e…
10-25 10:43:54	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	47	44¢	$21	0xe73db6…
10-25 10:43:54	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0x2ff9e7…
10-25 10:43:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	168	44¢	$74	0xc9c932…
10-25 10:43:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x427dd0…