Realized P&L
-$529.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$432
Hit rate
50.6%
Resolved
4,660
Trades
138,103
lifetime
Volume
$8.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$22.3K
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 10-31 21:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 200 days
Categories
Other
72% 32% -$309,330
Sports
21% 42% -$158,491
Crypto
4% 10% -$51,077
Politics
3% 28% -$10,581
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +18,300 $12,276 72¢ $13.1K +$808 10-31 21:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,536 $4,329 72¢ $4.7K +$344 10-24 12:09
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +1,560 $1,006 100¢ $1.6K +$553 09-03 20:38
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -38,687 -$946 4¢ $-1470 -$524 06-21 21:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,706 $1,174 18¢ $824 -$350 10-24 06:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $536 16¢ $318 -$218 05-01 14:31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +529 $173 36¢ $190 +$18 08-06 16:51
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,569 $100 10¢ $150 +$50 10-15 06:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +100 $51 51¢ $51 $0 10-30 22:59
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,229 $260 1¢ $11 -$249 05-15 01:33