Purple-Sty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

76% 94% -$6

Politics

10% 88% -$6

Tech

8% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	05-29 16:30
highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 11c	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-16 10:38
will elizabeth taylor get between 2pt75 and 3 million views in the first week	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-09 05:28
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-05 03:59
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 23c	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$1	03-19 11:38
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 20:17
Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:13
highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 2c	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-17 21:16
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 19:21
highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 38c	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-18 10:30
highest temperature in ankara on march 17 2026 13c	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-16 18:57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58.5 and 59 million views in week 1?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-20 06:02
will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 11:07
Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	06-01 06:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-27 08:12
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	07-12 16:23
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 16:00
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 21:06
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-25 11:15
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-11 00:52
ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:23
Will Oh Joong-ki win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-04 02:46
Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-05 19:08
white house of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 160 179	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 15:36
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	04-27 03:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-31 19:16
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	06-15 10:48
will anthropic have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-30 00:01
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-23 00:02
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:55:58	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a1395…
08-31 02:49:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x332b03…
07-12 16:23:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x786ec7…
07-10 21:03:47	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xd0afb4…
07-02 16:23:02	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3d92cc…
06-25 13:23:29	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4e014b…
06-25 12:13:14	Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x044445…
06-25 12:12:52	Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0aeeaf…
06-20 06:02:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58.5 and 59 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3b1280…
06-19 21:59:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 58.5 and 59 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x98d9a9…
06-15 10:48:30	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2be283…
06-14 01:14:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x150c9c…
06-08 21:06:22	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x13719d…
06-07 18:16:43	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xb0c8ff…
06-04 02:46:37	Will Oh Joong-ki win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9f16bc…
06-02 07:20:21	Will Oh Joong-ki win the 2026 Gyeongsangbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xdc8f32…
06-01 06:33:05	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa4e674…
05-31 19:16:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0fd2b1…
05-30 18:21:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x05a31f…
05-29 16:30:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x23335b…
05-29 07:31:15	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7a117c…
05-23 00:02:23	Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x244a77…
05-19 03:42:28	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x499e4a…
05-17 20:17:36	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x9ec6f8…
05-17 14:26:52	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x9fa2b2…
05-11 19:29:30	Will monthly inflation increase by 1.0% in April?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xb49397…
05-11 00:52:46	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7f4edf…
05-09 00:54:32	Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x5b9528…
05-05 19:08:50	Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1cc9bc…
05-05 03:59:56	Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x13c38d…
05-04 22:09:50	Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x2d0c1d…
05-04 08:06:24	Will "Unchosen" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x27d4d7…
04-30 16:00:56	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x155250…
04-29 20:46:32	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xa4e117…
04-27 03:30:32	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb831d3…
04-26 12:47:20	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x9bd567…
04-23 00:00:18	will choosin texas ella langley be the 1 song on us spotify this week 894	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcf8ed5…
04-17 03:26:08	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 15 19	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x239c22…
04-13 19:21:23	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xcd36ef…
04-13 09:20:13	will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x0f9610…
04-09 05:28:11	will elizabeth taylor get between 2pt75 and 3 million views in the first week	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x6c27a7…
04-08 12:48:19	will elizabeth taylor get between 2pt75 and 3 million views in the first week	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xa86f4c…
04-05 06:27:47	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2f434b…
03-31 15:36:51	white house of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 160 179	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa38088…
03-31 11:07:03	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xde374b…
03-31 03:39:39	white house of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x759564…
03-30 00:01:04	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd5f89d…
03-30 00:01:04	will anthropic have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc99563…
03-30 00:01:04	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6b4265…
03-28 21:05:56	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5ab095…
03-27 16:00:13	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x08bac9…
03-27 08:12:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x8c84e7…
03-26 17:19:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x26290f…
03-26 14:39:35	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x28407a…
03-25 11:15:59	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xad7892…
03-24 23:00:25	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xf24887…
03-19 11:38:19	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 23c	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x6aae4e…
03-19 09:25:25	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 23c	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xe4775b…
03-18 13:29:51	highest temperature in chicago on march 19 2026 56forhigher	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x632449…
03-18 10:30:37	highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 38c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1152d6…
03-18 00:50:15	highest temperature in wellington on march 18 2026 22c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbbe445…
03-17 21:16:07	highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 2c	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x3b01c4…
03-17 15:53:25	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x62803d…
03-17 13:14:47	highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 38c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd01587…
03-17 04:04:15	highest temperature in toronto on march 17 2026 neg 2c	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xb03592…
03-16 18:57:23	highest temperature in ankara on march 17 2026 13c	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x55e7d3…
03-16 18:31:55	will jensen huang say ai or artificial intelligence 10 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4e8583…
03-16 13:40:49	highest temperature in ankara on march 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x579907…
03-16 10:38:03	highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 11c	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x568485…
03-16 09:10:59	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 30corhigher	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfdab42…
03-16 03:50:05	highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 11c	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf66c2c…
03-15 22:20:25	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbddd1e…
03-15 18:25:05	will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x21375d…
03-15 00:00:51	will jensen huang say ai or artificial intelligence 10 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdfd372…
03-15 00:00:51	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x88b9fb…
03-15 00:00:51	will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x7bcb90…
03-15 00:00:51	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x02d618…
03-13 12:31:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4321e6…
03-13 10:59:05	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4b4289…
03-12 00:01:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x792176…
03-11 03:02:07	will bennie thompson be the democratic nominee for ms 02	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xef3de0…
03-10 19:15:23	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt0 or less in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5b926d…
03-10 09:31:57	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt0 or less in february	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd55df6…
03-10 00:28:25	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa3bdb4…
03-09 18:58:31	will bennie thompson be the democratic nominee for ms 02	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf79f0a…
03-09 00:42:21	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe8e225…
03-08 20:40:47	will mrbeasts next video get 50 million or more views on day 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6b020c…
03-08 09:19:21	will mrbeasts next video get 50 million or more views on day 2	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x28e5e6…
03-06 16:22:11	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf9e47b…
03-06 13:38:15	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf91f43…
03-05 22:50:49	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt6	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf71e40…
03-04 00:00:53	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xef7417…
03-03 19:41:17	highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe88b0f…
03-02 17:53:41	highest temperature in chicago on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8c971c…
03-02 15:14:53	highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x64640d…
03-02 11:34:25	highest temperature in paris on march 2 2026 15c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdcb350…
03-02 03:56:37	highest temperature in paris on march 2 2026 15c	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x412bb9…
03-01 17:55:23	highest temperature in chicago on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3aa87…
02-28 21:30:53	will antti paalanen win umk 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x462c22…
02-28 15:35:53	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 12c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xeda6e2…