Pushy-Military — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$372

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$778

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$184

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-10 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

87% 25% $-372

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	+109	$100	90¢	$98	$-2	05-08 14:49
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	+109	$55	54¢	$58	+$3	05-10 08:01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	+79	$24	34¢	$27	+$4	05-10 08:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$298	165	352	-187	No	$-147	05-08 05:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$240	261	0	+261	Yes	+$21	05-08 07:14
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	05-08 14:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$58	0	301	-301	Yes	$-243	05-05 13:15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$55	109	0	+109	open	—	05-10 08:01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$24	79	0	+79	open	—	05-10 08:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$3	300	0	+300	Yes	$-3	05-09 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 08:03:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x86be3b…
05-10 08:02:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xfd4690…
05-10 08:01:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	51¢	$55	0xa013bd…
05-09 15:52:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x6cf825…
05-08 14:49:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6341a1…
05-08 07:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xb6945c…
05-08 07:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8ec4ec…
05-08 07:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x77ac0f…
05-08 05:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xdaf3e7…
05-08 05:44:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	84	71¢	$60	0x6b8d25…
05-08 05:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	268	72¢	$191	0xcbfe4d…
05-08 05:43:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	28¢	$17	0xe14c73…
05-05 13:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	301	19¢	$58	0x6daa44…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	5	$10.6K	221	05-10 09:34
Careful-Providence 0xf993…cd9d	5	$7.52K	7	05-10 05:47
Serpentine-Maggot 0x6964…ef53	5	$5.26K	14	05-10 10:25
Slight-Campaign 0x7505…2978	5	$2.31K	17	05-10 10:05
Ondra 0x849c…4009	5	$806	21	05-10 10:55
Far-Acid 0xf6e6…e0bb	4	$2.23K	9	05-08 07:05
Idealistic-Freezing 0x878a…a429	4	$2.21K	19	05-09 14:58
Dark-Chafe 0x7712…155a	4	$1.99K	15	05-10 01:00