Realized P&L (30d)
-$372
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
40.1%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
14
14 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$854
$854 lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$268
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-10 11:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
88% 25% $-372
Politics
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes +109 $100 92¢ $99 $-1 05-08 14:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? No +101 $77 76¢ $76 $-1 05-10 11:16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Yes +109 $55 58¢ $64 +$9 05-10 08:01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Yes +79 $24 36¢ $28 +$4 05-10 08:03