Pushy-Military — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$372

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$854

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$268

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-10 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

88% 25% $-372

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	+109	$100	92¢	$99	$-1	05-08 14:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	+101	$77	76¢	$76	$-1	05-10 11:16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	+109	$55	58¢	$64	+$9	05-10 08:01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	+79	$24	36¢	$28	+$4	05-10 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 11:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	101	76¢	$77	0x5a8b12…
05-10 08:03:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x86be3b…
05-10 08:02:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xfd4690…
05-10 08:01:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	51¢	$55	0xa013bd…
05-09 15:52:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x6cf825…
05-08 14:49:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6341a1…
05-08 07:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xb6945c…
05-08 07:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8ec4ec…
05-08 07:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x77ac0f…
05-08 05:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xdaf3e7…
05-08 05:44:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	84	71¢	$60	0x6b8d25…
05-08 05:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	268	72¢	$191	0xcbfe4d…
05-08 05:43:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	28¢	$17	0xe14c73…
05-05 13:15:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	301	19¢	$58	0x6daa44…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	6	$11.7K	265	05-10 11:41
Ondra 0x849c…4009	6	$920	25	05-10 11:32
Careful-Providence 0xf993…cd9d	5	$7.52K	7	05-10 05:47
Serpentine-Maggot 0x6964…ef53	5	$5.26K	14	05-10 10:25
Slight-Campaign 0x7505…2978	5	$2.36K	25	05-10 11:51
Far-Acid 0xf6e6…e0bb	5	$2.25K	10	05-08 07:05
Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b	5	$616	40	05-10 11:37
(anonymous) 0xbe46…8b21	5	$583	9	05-10 09:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$298	165	352	-187	No	$-147	05-08 05:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$240	261	0	+261	Yes	+$21	05-08 07:14
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	05-08 14:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$77	101	0	+101	open	—	05-10 11:16
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$58	0	301	-301	Yes	$-243	05-05 13:15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$55	109	0	+109	open	—	05-10 08:01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$24	79	0	+79	open	—	05-10 08:03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$3	300	0	+300	Yes	$-3	05-09 15:52