Closed-Mechanism 0xe6337c…ebf68f Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$366
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved (90d)
77
Trades (90d)
417
710 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$11.7K
$26.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$50
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 11-06 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
73% 47% -$1,169
Crypto
25% 80% +$253
Tech
1% 25% -$68
Sports
0% 100% +$65
Politics
0% 0% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +400 $10 7¢ $28 +$18 10-17 13:08
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-26 13:24
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +13 $10 44¢ $6 -$4 10-26 13:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +125 $5 2¢ $3 -$2 09-19 07:30
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 09-18 12:49
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +50 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 09-29 17:55
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +6 $2 3¢ $0 -$1 05-25 14:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +130 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 10-30 18:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +100 $24 0¢ $0 -$24 10-09 10:36