Upright-Snug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$556

Unrealized P&L

+$1.37K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,612

lifetime

Volume

$11.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.52K

Open exposure

$74.8K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$16

Politics

36% 100% +$540

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	-53,764	$-52,530	96¢	$-51802	+$729	07-01 19:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+25,471	$22,221	90¢	$22.9K	+$703	07-21 16:52
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+506	$116	10¢	$51	$-66	05-29 20:32
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+8	$7	96¢	$8	+$0	05-28 21:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	06-04 00:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	841	$2.27M	1,525,925	763,497	+762,428	open	—	03-17 04:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$888.7K	891,400	0	+891,400	open	—	04-29 22:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	92	$884.3K	889,723	4,723	+885,000	open	—	04-07 01:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	183	$882.3K	888,826	0	+888,826	open	—	04-22 09:34
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	62	$841.1K	853,085	0	+853,085	open	—	02-20 15:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	75	$820.0K	857,020	0	+857,020	open	—	01-18 13:52
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	25	$818.1K	819,800	0	+819,800	open	—	01-03 05:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	323	$794.7K	807,943	0	+807,943	open	—	03-28 08:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	30	$670.7K	674,019	0	+674,019	open	—	06-04 00:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	44	$539.5K	540,000	0	+540,000	Yes	+$540	05-09 10:01
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$479.5K	480,000	0	+480,000	open	—	07-01 05:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	41	$318.7K	148,431	172,031	-23,600	open	—	05-30 01:48
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	67	$244.8K	249,941	0	+249,941	open	—	05-12 12:07
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	73	$206.6K	208,515	0	+208,515	open	—	06-15 19:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	28	$148.6K	150,000	0	+150,000	open	—	06-25 14:51
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	14	$132.7K	132,789	0	+132,789	open	—	05-29 00:04
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	86	$103.2K	104,110	0	+104,110	open	—	05-14 07:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	16	$96.2K	23,388	77,152	-53,764	open	—	07-01 19:38
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	82	$73.0K	49,921	24,823	+25,099	open	—	03-25 06:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	18	$68.6K	56,006	13,031	+42,975	open	—	05-30 00:19
iran closes its airspace by june 8	13	$65.7K	32,941	32,941	+0	open	—	06-08 05:03
new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	26	$64.7K	32,599	32,599	+0	open	—	02-16 09:58
new stranger things episode released by march 31 299	10	$48.4K	48,568	0	+48,568	open	—	03-21 20:29
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	21	$46.5K	46,830	0	+46,830	open	—	05-28 01:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	39	$44.5K	27,738	27,738	+0	open	—	07-16 21:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	53	$34.0K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	06-04 00:47
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	12	$30.2K	30,525	0	+30,525	open	—	05-15 23:52
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	95	$23.2K	26,929	0	+26,929	open	—	07-21 16:52
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$21.6K	10,846	10,846	+0	open	—	05-15 17:38
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	6	$18.1K	9,166	9,051	+115	open	—	05-22 20:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:52:22	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x497265…
07-21 16:06:45	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6e8ae7…
07-21 15:50:10	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	129	90¢	$116	0x10177e…
07-21 15:37:00	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x7db61f…
07-21 10:40:58	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0xa167b9…
07-21 08:10:46	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xed5489…
07-20 04:12:45	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	152	90¢	$137	0x362adf…
07-19 16:55:48	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa47370…
07-19 14:47:43	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1987ee…
07-19 12:50:51	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	596	90¢	$536	0x64d90d…
07-16 21:04:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	22	77¢	$17	0xc13778…
07-16 19:58:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9,644	78¢	$7,522	0x38d573…
07-16 19:57:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x4a3ca1…
07-16 19:54:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xac9c75…
07-16 19:53:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x96b223…
07-16 19:45:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x307a59…
07-16 19:45:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x5af773…
07-16 19:45:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x7f4697…
07-16 19:39:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,782	78¢	$1,390	0xfc019f…
07-16 19:35:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xce2f19…
07-16 19:35:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x01a3ea…
07-16 19:35:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x70b61a…
07-16 19:29:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xa4877c…
07-16 19:28:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x2adf47…
07-16 19:28:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x19df70…
07-16 19:22:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8,498	78¢	$6,628	0xcc83f0…
07-16 08:46:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x4e2f09…
07-16 08:41:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x277519…
07-16 03:03:46	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	92	90¢	$83	0x90829a…
07-16 00:46:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20,000	78¢	$15,600	0x81f506…
07-15 21:18:05	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x617882…
07-15 21:17:52	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	832	90¢	$749	0x1a45d0…
07-15 21:07:32	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0xe2b7e8…
07-15 19:52:46	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	127	90¢	$114	0x51d8ca…
07-15 16:24:46	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	307	99¢	$305	0x8c7583…
07-15 16:04:59	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x60b456…
07-15 14:16:35	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f8c23…
07-15 09:43:53	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	789	90¢	$710	0xb595e6…
07-15 09:31:52	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xee8a51…
07-13 04:57:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	2,700	98¢	$2,635	0x0269c1…
07-13 04:41:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xf06afb…
07-08 23:34:52	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	3,492	86¢	$3,010	0xc15d3a…
07-08 21:34:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,846	0x5a05f5…
07-07 18:51:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7,716	87¢	$6,713	0xd82ecf…
07-05 05:08:47	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	2,708	89¢	$2,410	0xd6bfa4…
07-05 04:09:26	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	80	89¢	$72	0xcc2113…
07-05 03:29:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	178	89¢	$159	0x108cb6…
07-05 01:46:28	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x4b169f…
07-05 01:26:55	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaff236…
07-05 01:13:07	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x49382e…
07-04 23:38:04	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0x4780db…
07-04 23:37:55	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0xac6126…
07-04 23:37:55	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xab7c42…
07-04 23:37:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	956	89¢	$851	0x0c2301…
07-04 23:37:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	369	89¢	$328	0xa5f465…
07-04 23:37:13	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	53	89¢	$47	0xfe6ced…
07-04 23:37:10	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	58	89¢	$52	0x9c5abd…
07-04 23:37:08	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x8d7f46…
07-04 23:37:08	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x75f45b…
07-04 23:37:07	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0x177c6f…
07-04 23:37:05	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xf83aca…
07-04 23:01:28	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	66	89¢	$58	0x32d1fc…
07-04 20:43:26	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xbdfdff…
07-04 16:20:37	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	236	89¢	$210	0xd18c8e…
07-04 15:19:35	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x4ce853…
07-04 15:05:07	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xd091a6…
07-04 08:29:02	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x52db7d…
07-04 08:27:37	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x8b7fdf…
07-04 08:26:28	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x4f8469…
07-04 08:09:55	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x8dfa0c…
07-04 07:59:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x11918e…
07-04 04:42:52	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$8	0x19445c…
07-04 04:34:13	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x880637…
07-04 04:08:26	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x53e7c4…
07-04 04:08:25	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	95	89¢	$84	0x88d2c9…
07-04 03:49:19	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x5b1ae2…
07-04 02:51:16	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x07d5d4…
07-03 18:20:31	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	7,678	98¢	$7,524	0x05bbc1…
07-03 16:15:50	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0f2e33…
07-03 16:15:34	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x3ab5e2…
07-03 15:47:43	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	2,522	89¢	$2,245	0x045e39…
07-03 15:39:13	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	1,736	89¢	$1,545	0xd4ecb6…
07-03 14:43:19	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	585	89¢	$521	0xfa196c…
07-03 08:02:08	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x801e7d…
07-01 22:18:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	919	97¢	$891	0x0bbd9a…
07-01 20:23:07	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,880	0xc19683…
07-01 19:38:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	77,152	96¢	$74,374	0x609497…
07-01 14:08:10	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$0	0x68926a…
07-01 12:47:01	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xae577b…
07-01 11:55:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x74f402…
07-01 11:39:53	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x64ae70…
07-01 11:27:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	2,322	98¢	$2,276	0x4e3d14…
07-01 11:05:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x70a6cc…
07-01 11:03:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3c5ea3…
07-01 10:57:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xf58107…
07-01 10:45:44	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	277	89¢	$246	0x04813b…
07-01 10:19:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0x529ca3…
07-01 09:48:47	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	230	89¢	$205	0x5d140e…
07-01 09:24:02	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	121	89¢	$108	0x76f128…
07-01 09:06:56	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xc91b85…