Upright-Snug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$556

Unrealized P&L

+$1.19K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,522

lifetime

Volume

$11.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.62K

Open exposure

$69.8K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 14:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$16

Politics

36% 100% +$540

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	-53,764	$-52,530	97¢	$-52044	+$487	07-01 19:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+12,209	$10,389	90¢	$11.0K	+$660	07-01 14:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+7,716	$6,559	86¢	$6.7K	+$116	07-01 11:05
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+506	$116	10¢	$48	$-68	05-29 20:32
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+8	$7	96¢	$8	+$0	05-28 21:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	06-04 00:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	841	$2.27M	1,525,925	763,497	+762,428	open	—	03-17 04:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$888.7K	891,400	0	+891,400	open	—	04-29 22:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	92	$884.3K	889,723	4,723	+885,000	open	—	04-07 01:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	183	$882.3K	888,826	0	+888,826	open	—	04-22 09:34
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	62	$841.1K	853,085	0	+853,085	open	—	02-20 15:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	75	$820.0K	857,020	0	+857,020	open	—	01-18 13:52
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	25	$818.1K	819,800	0	+819,800	open	—	01-03 05:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	323	$794.7K	807,943	0	+807,943	open	—	03-28 08:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	30	$670.7K	674,019	0	+674,019	open	—	06-04 00:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	44	$539.5K	540,000	0	+540,000	Yes	+$540	05-09 10:01
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	1	$479.5K	480,000	0	+480,000	open	—	07-01 05:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	41	$318.7K	148,431	172,031	-23,600	open	—	05-30 01:48
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	67	$244.8K	249,941	0	+249,941	open	—	05-12 12:07
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	73	$206.6K	208,515	0	+208,515	open	—	06-15 19:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	28	$148.6K	150,000	0	+150,000	open	—	06-25 14:51
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	14	$132.7K	132,789	0	+132,789	open	—	05-29 00:04
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	86	$103.2K	104,110	0	+104,110	open	—	05-14 07:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	16	$96.2K	23,388	77,152	-53,764	open	—	07-01 19:38
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	82	$73.0K	49,921	24,823	+25,099	open	—	03-25 06:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	18	$68.6K	56,006	13,031	+42,975	open	—	05-30 00:19
iran closes its airspace by june 8	13	$65.7K	32,941	32,941	+0	open	—	06-08 05:03
new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	26	$64.7K	32,599	32,599	+0	open	—	02-16 09:58
new stranger things episode released by march 31 299	10	$48.4K	48,568	0	+48,568	open	—	03-21 20:29
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	21	$46.5K	46,830	0	+46,830	open	—	05-28 01:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	53	$34.0K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	06-04 00:47
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	12	$30.2K	30,525	0	+30,525	open	—	05-15 23:52
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$21.6K	10,846	10,846	+0	open	—	05-15 17:38
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	6	$18.1K	9,166	9,051	+115	open	—	05-22 20:11
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	18	$15.5K	15,524	0	+15,524	No	+$16	05-13 18:53
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$14.9K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	05-12 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 22:18:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	919	97¢	$891	0x0bbd9a…
07-01 20:23:07	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,880	0xc19683…
07-01 19:38:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	77,152	96¢	$74,374	0x609497…
07-01 14:08:10	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$0	0x68926a…
07-01 12:47:01	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xae577b…
07-01 11:55:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x74f402…
07-01 11:39:53	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x64ae70…
07-01 11:27:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	2,322	98¢	$2,276	0x4e3d14…
07-01 11:05:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x70a6cc…
07-01 11:03:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x3c5ea3…
07-01 10:57:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xf58107…
07-01 10:45:44	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	277	89¢	$246	0x04813b…
07-01 10:19:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0x529ca3…
07-01 09:48:47	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	230	89¢	$205	0x5d140e…
07-01 09:24:02	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	121	89¢	$108	0x76f128…
07-01 09:06:56	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xc91b85…
07-01 07:32:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6,215	85¢	$5,283	0x5c1626…
07-01 07:26:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe3239d…
07-01 07:17:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xb41a91…
07-01 06:48:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xffe08e…
07-01 06:47:34	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x27c749…
07-01 05:37:19	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x1ce6e5…
07-01 05:01:52	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	480,000	100¢	$479,520	0x269df8…
07-01 03:50:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	919	96¢	$885	0xdf5fef…
07-01 03:14:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0781bb…
07-01 03:13:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xba2d66…
07-01 03:13:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x64af3b…
07-01 03:13:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0x3899ee…
07-01 01:58:16	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	227	89¢	$202	0xe13e0f…
07-01 01:41:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,024	85¢	$870	0x47f8df…
07-01 01:21:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x924a2e…
06-30 23:13:01	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2632c1…
06-30 22:17:26	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x62ab32…
06-30 22:11:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xa1c051…
06-30 21:25:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x998646…
06-30 21:19:25	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x633111…
06-30 21:02:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xc4f616…
06-30 20:55:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc98ed4…
06-30 20:50:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	97	85¢	$82	0x50459c…
06-30 20:44:53	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x708dc0…
06-30 19:58:35	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xf20859…
06-30 08:38:08	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	2,021	89¢	$1,799	0x838c86…
06-30 07:30:16	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	417	89¢	$371	0x910067…
06-30 07:19:46	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	182	89¢	$162	0x922239…
06-30 05:18:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	6,557	98¢	$6,459	0xc29b9e…
06-30 04:24:04	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x4291c4…
06-30 04:22:59	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	4,956	89¢	$4,411	0xc6b67a…
06-30 03:32:56	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x2b999f…
06-25 21:11:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	No	SELL	42	18¢	$7	0x404364…
06-25 21:05:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x914045…
06-25 21:04:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	SELL	17	27¢	$4	0x0488cc…
06-25 21:03:10	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x48ad0a…
06-25 21:02:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0xb869de…
06-25 20:46:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	SELL	149	27¢	$40	0x4dc268…
06-25 20:20:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	No	BUY	42	14¢	$6	0x6132da…
06-25 20:19:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 17 2026 458 893 534	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xd119dc…
06-25 14:51:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	7,089	99¢	$7,025	0x00c01e…
06-25 13:14:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	17,870	99¢	$17,709	0x761e4c…
06-25 12:22:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	11,323	99¢	$11,221	0x1ca623…
06-25 12:22:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	13,718	99¢	$13,595	0xfa9982…
06-24 18:17:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,880	0xc59b12…
06-24 18:12:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	9,403	99¢	$9,300	0xce98ea…
06-24 18:04:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1e063…
06-24 18:04:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7311d8…
06-24 18:03:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	2,271	99¢	$2,248	0x22e02d…
06-24 17:54:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	2,079	99¢	$2,058	0x35bec1…
06-24 17:46:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0x6030a9…
06-24 17:45:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x079837…
06-24 17:32:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,980	0x961be7…
06-24 17:20:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,226	99¢	$1,214	0x4dd5dd…
06-24 17:15:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x35c0d8…
06-24 17:09:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	238	99¢	$235	0x9a8773…
06-24 17:03:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,588	99¢	$1,573	0x7ccf57…
06-24 17:03:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	8,412	99¢	$8,337	0x0a036f…
06-24 17:00:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,101	0x56bcc9…
06-24 16:33:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	8,576	99¢	$8,499	0x0613c3…
06-24 03:27:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	11,891	99¢	$11,784	0xa00503…
06-24 03:22:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,856	99¢	$1,840	0x675f7e…
06-24 02:11:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,101	0xbbfa1a…
06-24 01:20:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	8,454	99¢	$8,378	0x011e85…
06-24 01:20:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	11,889	99¢	$11,782	0xf8caa9…
06-24 00:36:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	14,798	99¢	$14,665	0x12b2fd…
06-20 16:06:14	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc788c9…
06-20 10:02:19	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x400812…
06-20 08:48:46	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xef9cd1…
06-20 08:13:44	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xe36e60…
06-20 05:33:01	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf51084…
06-19 20:08:23	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x97ccf1…
06-19 20:05:10	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1e5fd1…
06-18 12:57:41	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe725e7…
06-18 12:11:41	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	874	100¢	$873	0x7d1212…
06-15 19:11:37	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	21,639	100¢	$21,531	0x325297…
06-15 19:01:01	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,975	0x538d4b…
06-15 13:46:46	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	15,241	100¢	$15,165	0x59d1b6…
06-15 13:40:12	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3009a0…
06-15 05:19:21	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	1,238	100¢	$1,232	0xcdac0a…
06-15 04:13:18	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1c5443…
06-15 03:15:25	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58e177…
06-15 03:13:10	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,482	0x7b528d…
06-15 02:11:28	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,900	0xbc9a13…