Novel-Architect — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,861 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$16

$9.74K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-30 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 70% -$288

Other

3% 60% -$40

Politics

0% 33% -$1

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:30 UTC	9	$242	306	306	+0	Down	-$18	09-30 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	6	$113	111	59	+52	Down	+$5	09-30 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:00 UTC	6	$90	125	125	+0	Down	-$20	09-30 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:45 UTC	5	$89	93	67	+26	Down	+$5	09-30 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$84	89	89	+0	Up	+$4	09-10 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$81	84	84	+0	Down	+$1	09-10 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$73	53	53	+0	Down	-$7	09-10 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:15 UTC	3	$65	77	77	+0	Up	+$5	09-30 20:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:15 UTC	4	$65	66	66	+0	Down	+$5	09-30 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	6	$64	44	44	+0	Down	+$4	09-10 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$62	44	44	+0	Down	+$2	09-07 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:15 UTC	4	$62	65	14	+52	Up	+$3	09-30 22:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 22:45 UTC	4	$59	99	72	+27	Down	-$24	09-30 22:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:45 UTC	2	$57	51	51	+0	Up	+$7	09-30 21:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 16:30 UTC	2	$57	81	80	+1	Down	+$5	01-28 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:35 UTC	2	$56	43	43	+0	Up	+$6	09-30 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	2	$54	68	68	+0	Up	+$4	09-30 19:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:00 UTC	2	$50	56	0	+56	Down	-$50	10-01 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	2	$48	50	50	+0	Down	+$6	09-30 21:32
atp alcaraz michels 2026 09 29	5	$46	27	27	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	+$4	10-01 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	4	$45	48	48	+0	Down	+$5	09-09 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$44	50	50	+0	Up	+$4	09-10 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$44	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	09-10 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$44	37	37	+0	Down	+$4	09-10 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$44	40	25	+15	Down	-$1	09-11 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$44	37	37	+0	Down	+$4	09-10 12:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-10 08:00 UTC	5	$44	41	28	+13	Down	-$7	09-10 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$43	37	37	+0	Down	+$3	09-10 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$43	50	50	+0	Down	+$3	09-07 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$43	45	45	+0	Down	+$3	09-10 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:45:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x546a51…
10-30 11:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1d212e…
10-30 11:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x940948…
10-30 11:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x4efa5c…
10-30 11:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xf4cd7a…
10-30 11:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x562945…
10-30 11:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2c2706…
10-30 11:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x906d55…
10-30 11:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x7b48e4…
10-30 11:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4b66df…
10-30 11:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbc6cfb…
10-27 10:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x13ffa3…
10-27 10:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe8163e…
10-27 10:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x86fa91…
10-27 10:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x977e54…
10-27 10:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x72ef81…
10-27 10:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0a8824…
10-27 10:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x51ff73…
10-27 10:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9df9af…
10-27 10:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x695568…
10-22 13:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xbb05b3…
10-22 13:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xeb3633…
10-22 11:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x951e38…
10-22 11:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x71e686…
10-22 11:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9556e8…
10-22 11:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xb527b1…
10-22 11:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa00803…
10-22 11:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc68130…
10-22 11:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x84cc38…
10-22 11:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x484d42…
10-22 11:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe1a248…
10-16 13:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xc77512…
10-16 13:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0e1eb1…
10-16 10:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb84806…
10-16 10:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0xf1a0a4…
10-16 10:06:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb640e6…
10-16 10:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x56bc18…
10-16 09:55:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x32dbee…
10-16 09:53:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x676e91…
10-16 09:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x2432ba…
10-16 09:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9515bd…
10-16 09:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x7c2e89…
10-16 09:38:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x3d2d32…
10-16 09:37:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc468ef…
10-16 09:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x37fb75…
10-16 09:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1323c1…
10-16 09:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x5caf31…
10-16 09:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x830b4e…
10-16 09:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x8a1ec9…
10-16 09:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x43c882…
10-16 09:17:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x554520…
10-16 09:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5e7032…
10-16 09:13:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x115158…
10-16 09:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1e8074…
10-16 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xdc3a96…
10-16 08:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb634f5…
10-16 08:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ee887…
10-16 08:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x148972…
10-16 08:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x7eeb4b…
10-16 08:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xed3f7e…
10-16 08:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x697012…
10-16 08:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x8d872c…
10-16 08:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xeb7594…
10-16 08:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x82a8e6…
10-16 08:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcb7e24…
10-16 08:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x64a931…
10-16 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x851f2c…
10-16 08:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf43232…
10-16 08:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x5dbba4…
10-16 08:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x61aaaf…
10-16 08:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x68ed1d…
10-16 08:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35469c…
10-16 07:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe159ab…
10-16 07:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4d0761…
10-16 07:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x084cd9…
10-16 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1aab40…
10-16 06:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xd2f73f…
10-16 06:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb6deb2…
10-16 06:10:13	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe29f7e…
10-16 06:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xedce5a…
10-16 06:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x09b8c3…
10-16 05:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xf5099f…
10-16 05:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x21b0cd…
10-16 05:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec3bee…
10-16 05:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe03aba…
10-16 05:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6beff1…
10-16 05:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc73503…
10-16 05:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x31341f…
10-16 05:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x842bc2…
10-16 05:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x19b538…
10-16 05:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x935319…
10-16 05:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9af8c5…
10-15 08:16:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xba2d69…
10-15 08:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1d19e7…
10-15 08:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x91742e…
10-15 08:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb57ad7…
10-14 07:52:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xbfe379…
10-14 07:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd039e4…
10-14 07:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x1eb6d1…
10-14 07:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7af4ee…