Realized P&L
+$128
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
74.7%
Resolved
653
Trades
837
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$715
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-04 12:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
53% 45% -$205
Politics
45% 83% +$327
Sports
2% 100% +$30
Crypto
0% 0% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $200 96¢ $241 +$41 11-04 12:18
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +141 $100 97¢ $138 +$38 05-23 15:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +136 $106 78¢ $107 +$1 05-23 15:34
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 94¢ $104 +$4 05-22 17:10
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +103 $100 95¢ $98 -$2 11-04 11:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -111 -$17 12¢ $-13 +$3 08-23 11:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -105 -$9 7¢ $-8 +$1 08-23 11:22
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -125 -$9 5¢ $-6 +$3 08-20 01:07
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -333 -$1 0¢ $-1 $0 08-14 23:12