Realized P&L
-$593
Unrealized P&L
-$172
Hit rate
2.9%
Resolved
21
Trades
2,396
lifetime
Volume
$143.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$98.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-20 13:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
58% — —
Other
30% 0% -$83
Sports
12% 47% -$510
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +26,541 $24,480 83¢ $22.0K -$2,437 10-09 05:41
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +17,755 $17,113 96¢ $17.1K +$3 10-08 22:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +16,898 $13,179 82¢ $13.8K +$601 10-19 06:59
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +10,708 $10,275 96¢ $10.3K -$16 10-18 16:13
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +6,204 $5,895 98¢ $6.1K +$201 09-29 15:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,448 $4,654 84¢ $4.6K -$75 09-10 06:20
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26,541 $2,135 17¢ $4.5K +$2,363 10-09 10:04
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,260 $3,977 94¢ $4.0K +$42 10-17 17:19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +16,898 $3,767 18¢ $3.1K -$650 10-18 02:06
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,234 $2,764 79¢ $2.6K -$195 10-19 00:56
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,944 $1,798 94¢ $1.8K +$30 09-30 10:55
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,631 $1,549 95¢ $1.5K -$5 10-20 00:43
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,306 $1,274 98¢ $1.3K +$12 10-20 02:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,448 $798 16¢ $869 +$71 09-11 00:26
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +842 $788 94¢ $787 -$1 10-18 23:29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,234 $479 21¢ $664 +$185 10-19 15:04
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +17,755 $669 4¢ $639 -$30 10-09 06:16
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +502 $489 98¢ $494 +$4 10-18 15:06
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,708 $494 4¢ $450 -$44 10-20 04:20
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +316 $285 91¢ $289 +$4 09-30 18:06
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +268 $241 99¢ $265 +$23 08-20 06:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,260 $279 6¢ $241 -$38 10-19 09:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +260 $230 90¢ $235 +$4 08-21 00:37
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +254 $211 78¢ $197 -$14 08-21 04:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +1,944 $134 6¢ $117 -$17 09-25 17:43
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +6,204 $312 2¢ $109 -$203 09-29 07:39
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,631 $86 5¢ $87 +$1 10-18 17:19
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +254 $43 22¢ $57 +$14 08-20 00:57
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +842 $53 6¢ $55 +$2 10-20 13:40
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +316 $35 9¢ $27 -$7 10-10 02:26