Attached-Configuration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

112

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$2.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$104

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-05 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

44% 92% +$12

Other

37% 99% +$8

Crypto

16% 100% +$3

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes		+107	$103	98¢	$104	+$1	11-05 19:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	4	$228	159	78	+80	No	+$3	08-28 07:30
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$192	97	97	+0	No	+$1	10-29 13:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$174	88	88	+0	No	+$1	09-07 12:19
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$156	78	78	+0	No	+$0	08-13 09:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$144	100	100	+0	open	—	11-04 08:28
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	3	$103	107	0	+107	open	—	11-05 19:52
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$99	101	0	+101	Yes	+$2	10-25 23:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	1	$98	103	0	+103	Yes	+$5	11-04 02:36
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$89	89	0	+89	Yes	+$0	09-22 12:39
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$83	83	0	+83	Yes	+$0	10-05 01:09
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$79	80	0	+80	Yes	+$1	08-16 20:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$1	08-15 14:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$78	79	0	+79	No	+$1	08-13 23:51
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$78	78	0	+78	Yes	+$0	08-05 08:10
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	1	$70	71	0	+71	No	+$1	09-27 14:31
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$62	63	0	+63	No	+$0	06-27 12:09
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$59	32	32	+0	open	—	10-17 12:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$0	04-30 19:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	05-31 02:38
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	1	$53	55	0	+55	No	+$2	10-09 03:45
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	07-30 15:36
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$45	48	0	+48	Yes	+$2	08-20 20:04
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	6	$40	64	64	+0	Yes	$0	10-17 19:09
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	05-25 23:13
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-13 06:55
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-28 12:27
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$17	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	02-28 22:33
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	10-12 20:39
will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-26 15:02
Will Solana reach $160 in September?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	09-26 07:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:52:39	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x9d31e0…
11-05 19:08:12	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x40c9be…
11-05 19:08:10	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x9d3243…
11-04 08:28:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x9410ea…
11-04 02:36:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0x5984b9…
10-29 13:19:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x281e73…
10-29 03:09:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xad6df4…
10-29 02:56:34	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff5f71…
10-29 02:56:31	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xaaa26c…
10-29 02:56:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf512d4…
10-27 19:18:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xbfe607…
10-25 23:46:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x3d97a0…
10-25 22:08:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0x708ba8…
10-25 21:41:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	94	74¢	$69	0xbc4be4…
10-24 00:15:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	386	0¢	$0	0x41e1ad…
10-24 00:15:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xe5a196…
10-20 10:37:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	94	70¢	$66	0xe108f4…
10-17 19:09:50	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x705726…
10-17 17:55:23	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	55	31¢	$17	0x73c205…
10-17 12:52:48	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	92¢	$30	0x3ae955…
10-14 12:34:45	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc3d9f7…
10-14 11:56:10	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x3f8e69…
10-14 10:09:37	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x7c570a…
10-14 09:28:49	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x2d6d98…
10-12 20:39:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb6843d…
10-09 03:45:18	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xf0db22…
10-06 18:18:30	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0xe81e6a…
10-05 01:09:28	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xec9e1a…
10-03 16:32:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f5b49…
09-27 14:31:12	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x0d7a2f…
09-26 18:12:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f0e1b…
09-26 07:12:35	Will Solana reach $160 in September?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x59f4a1…
09-22 12:39:55	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xfb5926…
09-12 19:59:42	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0888b4…
09-12 06:23:39	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x163696…
09-07 12:19:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$87	0xa08cbf…
09-04 14:15:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x581f39…
09-01 01:37:49	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1b19a…
08-28 16:16:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29d88c…
08-28 07:30:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x9c5f5c…
08-26 19:29:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xd64855…
08-26 16:38:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0x71f971…
08-24 07:38:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x94a91d…
08-23 20:11:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x530f76…
08-21 21:14:43	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74b4c8…
08-21 20:43:03	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3967bf…
08-20 20:04:34	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x11d968…
08-20 14:29:01	will spy dip to 670 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb38d3…
08-16 20:35:48	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x7b321a…
08-15 14:27:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	79	99¢	$79	0xc3fb7c…
08-13 23:51:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x98f91d…
08-13 09:02:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x3f4163…
08-10 10:25:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x64c9ae…
08-05 08:10:48	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa9846d…
08-03 19:43:51	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3d0a57…
07-30 15:36:51	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x9ba031…
07-30 01:05:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb9107f…
07-28 11:18:02	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbc4edf…
07-27 19:22:55	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4396a2…
07-27 17:27:34	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x49f2c9…
07-27 12:31:33	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x45feff…
07-27 06:30:57	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc000d3…
07-24 20:44:12	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5a72a3…
07-24 04:37:31	will bitcoin dip to 45k in july 2026 597	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd1b3a9…
07-22 05:29:40	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96fdad…
07-22 05:16:49	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x678ec5…
07-17 16:54:43	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x924d34…
07-06 00:26:58	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x340386…
07-02 10:24:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x828afa…
06-30 09:27:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x397f19…
06-29 09:47:53	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb0badd…
06-29 01:07:43	will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99b47c…
06-28 17:35:31	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd6dcb5…
06-28 12:27:44	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x09f2cf…
06-28 09:18:25	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x4602c5…
06-28 07:16:55	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x13cef5…
06-28 05:13:58	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x81fced…
06-27 22:20:14	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xd23cf0…
06-27 12:09:47	Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$62	0x279412…
06-26 15:02:47	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5c88d9…
05-31 02:38:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x88f749…
05-25 23:13:02	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x617fc7…
05-13 06:55:39	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0bcdc9…
05-10 08:43:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x56ef42…
05-09 00:33:37	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9eaf38…
05-08 23:30:37	Will Solana dip to $30 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb9fe5a…
05-07 22:51:18	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7dfacb…
05-07 15:24:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a0514…
05-07 12:15:18	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x93106b…
05-07 09:23:06	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x602c89…
05-05 22:18:42	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa8204a…
05-05 11:34:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5ee28f…
05-05 05:30:10	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa82e59…
05-05 04:03:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2827fc…
05-05 00:42:40	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x133539…
05-04 22:17:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x66023e…
05-04 18:34:54	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1a5a7e…
04-30 19:12:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x879366…
04-26 02:53:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1a5cc8…
04-22 05:55:14	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4ecf1c…