Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$28

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

29 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$337

$337 lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$75

7 positions

First seen

2026-09-08

last 11-13 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

71% 50% +$28

Tech

18% — —

Politics

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	+32	$22	99¢	$32	+$10	11-01 07:17
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.02% in November?	No	+33	$21	92¢	$31	+$10	11-06 11:24
Will Vox receive 22% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+6	$6	93¢	$6	$0	11-13 19:09
Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October?	No	+3	$3	95¢	$3	+$0	11-08 07:32
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.5 million?	No	+2	$2	86¢	$2	$0	11-13 19:10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in November?	Yes	+33	$9	5¢	$1	-$8	11-06 11:25
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	+31	$8	1¢	$0	-$8	11-01 07:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	11-12 08:05
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?	2	$37	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	09-11 06:55
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	1	$23	43	0	+43	No	+$20	10-04 14:15
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	1	$22	32	0	+32	open	—	11-01 07:17
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	1	$22	51	0	+51	No	-$22	10-06 12:37
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.02% in November?	1	$21	33	0	+33	open	—	11-06 11:24
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	1	$18	54	0	+54	Yes	+$35	10-06 12:37
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	1	$18	23	0	+23	No	+$5	11-03 17:06
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$18	21	0	+21	No	-$18	10-19 18:18
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of September 2026?	1	$17	22	0	+22	No	+$4	09-11 07:19
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $170 end of October?	1	$17	41	0	+41	No	-$17	10-04 14:16
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	1	$13	16	0	+16	Yes	+$3	09-08 03:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in November?	1	$9	33	0	+33	open	—	11-06 11:25
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	1	$8	31	0	+31	open	—	11-01 07:18
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	2	$8	22	22	+0	Yes	+$5	09-11 06:55
Will Vox receive 22% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	11-13 19:09
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	2	$5	37	37	+0	open	—	11-12 08:05
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	10-20 16:25
Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	11-08 07:32
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?	1	$3	21	0	+21	No	-$3	09-11 07:19
Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	1	$2	16	0	+16	No	-$2	09-08 03:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$2	21	0	+21	Yes	+$19	10-19 18:19
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.5 million?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	11-13 19:10
Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	1	$2	27	0	+27	No	-$2	11-03 17:06
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	10-20 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 19:10:52	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.5 million?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcebf59…
11-13 19:09:07	Will Vox receive 22% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x99d624…
11-12 08:05:25	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x539166…
11-12 08:05:10	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xcc02b8…
11-11 19:31:43	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$2	0x30475a…
11-11 19:31:31	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$28	0x3a607f…
11-08 07:32:36	Will UK annual inflation be between 4.0% and 4.2% in October?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xfe41ef…
11-06 11:25:15	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in November?	Yes	BUY	33	28¢	$9	0x8dfd57…
11-06 11:24:06	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.02% in November?	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x8cd173…
11-03 17:06:39	Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0x399374…
11-03 17:06:24	Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xddeaf6…
11-01 07:18:16	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x4f231a…
11-01 07:17:48	Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x4edfbe…
10-20 16:25:20	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x4990b9…
10-20 16:25:06	Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb1237c…
10-19 18:19:42	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xe30e70…
10-19 18:18:38	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x655606…
10-06 12:37:15	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	54	34¢	$18	0x1390f3…
10-06 12:37:01	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?	Yes	BUY	51	42¢	$22	0xfe6867…
10-04 14:16:40	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $170 end of October?	Yes	BUY	41	42¢	$17	0x25b9b6…
10-04 14:15:31	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x569ad3…
09-11 07:19:39	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x5de70d…
09-11 07:19:10	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x4d368b…
09-11 06:55:52	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$18	0xaf669b…
09-11 06:55:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	Yes	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x1e2e7c…
09-08 03:52:18	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xdf51e4…
09-08 03:52:10	Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xe2376f…
09-08 03:27:43	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x76bda1…
09-08 03:26:54	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$1	0xd0bb09…