Chief-Editorial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$286

Unrealized P&L

+$102

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$372

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 11-03 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

42% 56% +$29

Politics

27% 67% +$22

Sports

19% 100% +$217

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	+148	$100	72¢	$107	+$7	09-17 06:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+217	$50	36¢	$77	+$27	10-24 16:19
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+100	$50	74¢	$74	+$24	08-10 09:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+77	$50	76¢	$58	+$8	10-19 06:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+321	$20	17¢	$55	+$35	11-03 09:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	7	$310	1,280	959	+321	open	—	11-03 09:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$259	265	265	+0	Yes	-$1	09-05 13:31
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$203	156	156	+0	Yes	-$23	07-07 12:42
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	4	$184	336	336	+0	open	—	09-13 14:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$157	127	127	+0	open	—	09-04 12:52
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$157	602	602	+0	No	+$57	07-10 08:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$150	179	0	+179	Yes	+$29	10-12 08:26
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$147	247	247	+0	No	+$33	07-10 08:19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$141	150	150	+0	Yes	+$21	09-03 12:57
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$137	72	72	+0	Yes	+$7	06-20 07:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$131	106	49	+57	Yes	+$8	07-22 12:35
will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$118	77	77	+0	Yes	+$18	08-19 16:33
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	2	$108	254	254	+0	open	—	06-08 16:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$107	610	610	+0	open	—	08-13 11:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$104	59	59	+0	No	+$12	06-28 08:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$102	57	57	+0	open	—	06-20 06:57
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	1	$100	148	0	+148	open	—	09-17 06:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$99	312	312	+0	open	—	11-03 09:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$98	62	62	+0	open	—	10-19 06:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	2	$94	556	556	+0	open	—	08-01 06:46
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	2	$91	87	87	+0	Yes	-$11	07-22 09:36
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$81	262	262	+0	Yes	+$8	07-10 08:19
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$76	281	281	+0	No	+$26	10-24 16:08
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$73	136	0	+136	Yes	+$63	05-26 13:19
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$70	119	0	+119	Yes	+$49	06-19 21:26
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?	1	$60	71	0	+71	Yes	+$11	08-17 05:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	2	$50	217	0	+217	open	—	10-24 16:19
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	10-19 06:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	08-10 09:32
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	1	$25	208	0	+208	No	-$25	07-25 08:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:22:13	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	321	16¢	$50	0x614b0d…
11-03 09:21:51	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	312	16¢	$49	0x7e2c52…
11-03 09:21:36	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x51a55c…
10-24 16:19:08	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xbf281a…
10-24 16:08:47	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x5f26e8…
10-24 16:08:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	281	18¢	$51	0x6c828c…
10-19 06:24:12	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x24ffea…
10-19 06:18:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	62	77¢	$48	0xfca3ca…
10-13 09:25:04	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	347	14¢	$50	0xcd5423…
10-12 08:26:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	179	84¢	$150	0x6748ef…
10-12 08:25:55	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xef232d…
09-17 06:25:58	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x07c86c…
09-13 14:12:28	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	47¢	$40	0x49fa7d…
09-05 13:31:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	182	49¢	$89	0x88941b…
09-04 12:52:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	53¢	$67	0x08aaac…
09-03 13:01:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	44¢	$80	0xb899ab…
09-03 12:57:28	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	54¢	$81	0x1d3f4a…
08-22 06:32:16	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	45¢	$37	0x011516…
08-22 06:17:13	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	347	14¢	$50	0x23f073…
08-19 16:33:18	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	77	89¢	$68	0x7751c6…
08-17 05:59:55	Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xffd0e7…
08-17 05:56:48	Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x232687…
08-15 09:16:16	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	34¢	$57	0x959355…
08-13 11:36:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	306	15¢	$47	0x38817c…
08-13 11:36:39	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	610	9¢	$57	0x5fa0c5…
08-13 11:36:15	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	15¢	$50	0xa61e9f…
08-10 09:33:33	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	306	16¢	$49	0x37f1ba…
08-10 09:32:46	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x1d5fd1…
08-06 08:22:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	281	9¢	$25	0x65ede6…
08-05 06:03:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	48¢	$40	0x776448…
08-01 06:46:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	556	8¢	$44	0x5e53a7…
08-01 06:43:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xbbf19c…
08-01 06:42:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	71¢	$90	0xd22ae9…
07-25 08:17:57	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x778246…
07-25 08:17:43	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xc454f0…
07-22 12:35:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	49	83¢	$41	0x222061…
07-22 09:36:12	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	46¢	$40	0x10b7cb…
07-21 16:17:27	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	610	8¢	$50	0x70c6f2…
07-20 07:33:36	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	177	14¢	$25	0x6314e7…
07-20 07:31:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xf012ce…
07-20 07:26:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x67aa1f…
07-10 08:19:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	262	17¢	$45	0x6dafa6…
07-10 08:19:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	295	18¢	$54	0xa8efd4…
07-10 08:19:08	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	153	38¢	$59	0x454789…
07-07 12:42:49	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x1a2146…
07-06 08:13:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	94	33¢	$31	0x06dbf0…
07-04 07:42:56	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x73f0ba…
07-04 06:23:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	307	17¢	$53	0x66033b…
06-28 08:59:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	247	23¢	$57	0xf2e37c…
06-28 08:58:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xcdc967…
06-25 05:35:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	262	14¢	$36	0xc8c841…
06-25 05:32:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xdc64c0…
06-25 05:27:55	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	435	9¢	$40	0x3376df…
06-23 07:06:10	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x104ccc…
06-22 07:29:35	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	106	38¢	$40	0x9d9657…
06-20 07:36:22	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	106	69¢	$73	0x815d17…
06-20 07:34:46	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x650071…
06-20 07:02:47	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	87	59¢	$51	0xbaec43…
06-20 06:57:59	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	57	90¢	$52	0x9c2cf4…
06-19 21:26:14	Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0x4b481a…
06-19 21:25:35	Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0x4a9407…
06-08 16:12:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	59	78¢	$46	0x83eb21…
06-08 16:03:07	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	254	19¢	$48	0x766cb6…
05-26 13:19:23	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	136	54¢	$73	0x3415e5…
05-26 13:17:56	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	602	8¢	$50	0xf35318…
05-26 13:17:12	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	254	24¢	$60	0x193f6c…
05-26 13:15:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x244c6b…
05-26 13:14:20	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x1d9c3c…