Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
57
Trades
129
lifetime
Volume
$1.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$109
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 10-28 13:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 74% -$60
Other
28% 62% +$62
Politics
21% 57% +$27
Tech
1% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -20 -$18 97¢ $-19 -$1 06-12 20:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +18 $15 84¢ $15 $0 08-20 07:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +13 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 08-06 15:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-28 13:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +13 $10 82¢ $10 +$0 08-06 15:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 08-20 07:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +15 $11 64¢ $10 -$1 06-17 16:19
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 80¢ $6 +$1 08-06 15:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$1 09-23 16:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 10-28 13:49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -18 -$8 20¢ $-4 +$4 06-17 16:19
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-05 19:59