Qualified-Patio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$168

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-04 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

80% 57% -$37

Crypto

15% 33% +$224

Sports

3% 33% -$26

Other

1% 50% +$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$458	253	253	+0	Yes	+$13	02-28 06:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$355	795	700	+95	No	+$45	02-01 05:29
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	2	$101	1,220	1,220	+0	No	-$99	03-01 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$100	112	0	+112	Up	+$12	04-28 12:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$100	75	75	+0	open	—	04-29 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	6	$61	92	53	+39	Down	+$20	05-04 08:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$41	28	28	+0	No	+$1	04-29 17:02
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$40	24	24	+0	No	$0	04-30 09:23
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$30	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$15	53	0	+53	Down	-$15	05-05 10:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$9	132	132	+0	No	-$1	04-30 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$8	0	10	-10	Up	-$2	05-05 10:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:25 UTC	3	$7	230	0	+230	Up	+$223	04-04 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$6	9	4	+5	Down	-$1	05-25 10:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	-$5	04-28 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:40 UTC	5	$5	50	0	+50	Up	-$5	04-04 06:43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	0	32	-32	Yes	-$27	04-30 09:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$4	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	02-20 01:23
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Up	-$4	04-28 12:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$3	15	15	+0	open	—	08-01 07:30
atp erhard pieczko 2026 08 03	1	$2	10	0	+10	Mathys Erhard	+$8	08-04 14:13
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$2	4	0	+4	Knicks	+$2	05-25 10:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	06-14 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 14:13:42	atp erhard pieczko 2026 08 03	Mathys Erhard	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x21c709…
08-01 07:30:08	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x830d16…
06-14 08:30:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7c8e42…
05-25 10:27:15	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7a18f4…
05-25 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf7dcbf…
05-25 10:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xd4cee9…
05-25 09:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xddb41c…
05-25 08:01:31	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x076b82…
05-05 10:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xbff0e4…
05-05 10:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x64943c…
05-05 10:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8de6fc…
05-05 10:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xaaaa3b…
05-04 08:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x6ab8b7…
05-04 08:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x34a585…
05-04 08:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x649924…
05-04 08:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x047ee6…
05-04 08:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3edef5…
05-04 08:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2e92c8…
04-30 09:23:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	132	3¢	$4	0xb99f24…
04-30 09:23:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0x91b80d…
04-30 09:23:46	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0x70e8b6…
04-30 09:23:42	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0x6c9438…
04-29 19:11:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	75	67¢	$50	0x3a944f…
04-29 17:02:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	75¢	$21	0xa0582c…
04-28 13:15:58	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xb4219c…
04-28 13:15:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0xbcc4e7…
04-28 13:15:28	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xef0356…
04-28 13:15:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x9ac41c…
04-28 13:14:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xd32cc1…
04-28 12:49:10	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x974003…
04-28 12:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xbc332f…
04-28 12:48:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7b9c98…
04-28 12:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x773203…
04-04 06:43:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x14267c…
04-04 06:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdacfba…
04-04 06:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x142c14…
04-04 06:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc1faf3…
04-04 06:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x66dcad…
04-04 06:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x911681…
04-04 06:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x7e688b…
04-04 06:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	185	3¢	$6	0x0853b8…
03-01 04:43:15	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	SELL	1,220	0¢	$1	0x9b94c5…
02-28 06:54:11	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	1,220	8¢	$100	0xa902d1…
02-28 06:53:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	253	93¢	$235	0x8d115f…
02-28 06:40:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	247	88¢	$217	0x21f4b9…
02-28 06:36:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7f1262…
02-20 01:23:04	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x4f4a7c…
02-20 01:22:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5dc497…
02-01 05:29:22	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0xf87711…
02-01 05:29:16	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x9051e7…
01-15 02:49:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0xa635c1…
01-14 19:23:02	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	300	30¢	$90	0x559a6b…
01-13 05:56:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	395	19¢	$75	0x5a7ee0…