Afraid-Scallion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

113

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

93% 56% -$7

Politics

3% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:55
israel closes its airspace by june 14	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-13 18:33
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-14 15:55
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 17:07
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-10 10:44
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-21 05:25
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	07-03 04:38
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 21:06
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:18
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-29 02:45
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:01
Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-18 19:18
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 19:57
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-14 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	2	$16	32	0	+32	No	+$0	05-29 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 01:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 10?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on May 9?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-09 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 23:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 28?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or higher on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-08 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 22:52
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-09 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 17:32
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 3?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:43:13	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc450c3…
07-03 04:38:19	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xcd60c4…
06-29 02:45:37	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdd6e1c…
06-29 01:31:29	Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xa18db0…
06-28 10:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x0dd736…
06-28 09:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9b5010…
06-27 13:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5f049b…
06-27 13:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x217bb9…
06-27 12:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb43a66…
06-26 10:49:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa55e5b…
06-26 10:09:53	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd6c9c2…
06-25 12:55:25	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xccb9c7…
06-25 12:55:08	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x582867…
06-25 01:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xa9fc09…
06-25 01:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xdd16ba…
06-24 19:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2de800…
06-24 12:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdbb6c9…
06-23 06:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbd1450…
06-23 06:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x45dc7c…
06-22 06:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xa158e0…
06-22 06:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 22?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xfa7ddd…
06-21 12:04:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x10d300…
06-21 11:33:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x195eee…
06-21 05:25:38	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc773a1…
06-20 18:47:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0ea125…
06-20 04:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x3649f6…
06-20 04:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3753e7…
06-20 04:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8d9297…
06-20 04:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x979ef3…
06-19 06:18:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9a6c60…
06-19 06:03:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 19?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd15e64…
06-16 23:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x0c97c5…
06-16 21:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 17?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x98d5e1…
06-16 14:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbc9700…
06-15 18:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x96e180…
06-14 20:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xce4c74…
06-14 16:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb829f0…
06-14 15:55:01	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xf25bec…
06-14 14:18:12	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xc352a5…
06-14 10:29:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf6dbf5…
06-14 01:04:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xcabd92…
06-13 18:33:31	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0ceef4…
06-13 00:00:31	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1e4c0c…
06-12 20:02:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe5c3f1…
06-12 07:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x882705…
06-12 02:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 12?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x04ce5b…
06-11 12:02:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd16ef7…
06-09 17:07:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd98e74…
06-09 09:26:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x64da21…
06-08 21:06:21	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x213dbc…
06-08 12:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x884a4b…
06-08 12:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2239a6…
06-07 18:16:04	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x298fa0…
06-07 06:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x69f345…
06-07 05:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x0dc86b…
06-07 01:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x892113…
06-06 13:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xebe0ec…
06-06 02:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xe2f019…
06-05 18:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xaa7ee2…
06-05 06:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf22f52…
06-05 06:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20b10e…
06-04 08:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x42193b…
06-04 07:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6d21e0…
06-02 19:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x297d89…
06-02 19:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x1d495f…
06-02 18:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2f2bbf…
06-02 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x990fab…
06-02 07:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x343ca7…
06-01 20:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xb2bc93…
06-01 19:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x26de62…
06-01 07:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x8333e9…
06-01 07:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x33b308…
06-01 07:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xeb8202…
05-31 17:07:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x8213bb…
05-31 17:07:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xfdd0fa…
05-31 16:48:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf11771…
05-31 14:10:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa9f939…
05-31 13:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x82b008…
05-31 02:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x686443…
05-31 00:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3ef405…
05-30 23:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x744ba7…
05-30 23:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x84a957…
05-30 12:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5a28eb…
05-29 23:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x2e79dc…
05-29 21:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x01de76…
05-29 10:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x86bb01…
05-29 09:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7ed5de…
05-29 07:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x622eca…
05-28 20:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd2883…
05-28 13:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd741f9…
05-28 12:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc3da15…
05-28 08:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xdb9dad…
05-28 03:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xa39386…
05-27 22:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa61ed1…
05-27 12:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94d7ac…
05-27 04:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5b442…
05-27 04:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9534e6…
05-26 16:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa663d2…
05-26 15:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x7c5be9…
05-26 12:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x94b450…