Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$859
$2,074 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,138
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 12:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $326 | $326 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $0 | $533 | $532 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $268 | $267 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Median | 9 | — | $453 | $453 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $99 | $99 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quizzical-Archrival 0x7023…e522 | No | +349 | $346 | $346 | 1 | 05-10 09:28 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +240 | $230 | $230 | 5 | 05-09 13:23 |
| Wonderful-Vagrant 0x931f…2e44 | No | +94 | $93 | $93 | 2 | 05-10 00:01 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +65 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 12:01 |
| Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 08:28 |
| Definite-Orangutan 0x784f…8b05 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 07:03 |
| Juicy-Comedy 0xb482…2ac7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 15:37 |
| Grumpy-Haversack 0x9481…b947 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-09 15:37 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 10:24 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 11:24 |
| Immediate-Organizing 0xf910…5912 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 03:56 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 13:43 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c0c…80d9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc73…5c7b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:18 |
| Original-Beam 0xde03…692c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d8e…4e34 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6ab…2450 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:36 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:40 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 15:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 12:01:11 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x21f6f3… |
| 05-10 11:03:07 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc87716… |
| 05-10 10:24:07 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x58bc3f… |
| 05-10 09:28:39 | Quizzical-Archrival 0x7023…e522 | No | BUY | 349 | 99¢ | $346 | 0x2b7c8d… |
| 05-10 09:13:27 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9035f8… |
| 05-10 08:28:49 | Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x83ee32… |
| 05-10 07:36:53 | (anonymous) 0x1c0c…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe18722… |
| 05-10 07:36:51 | (anonymous) 0xb6ab…2450 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaa7b00… |
| 05-10 07:36:49 | (anonymous) 0x2d8e…4e34 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xed1e79… |
| 05-10 07:36:46 | Original-Beam 0xde03…692c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcb7ec6… |
| 05-10 07:28:41 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2d2727… |
| 05-10 07:27:54 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc59e06… |
| 05-10 07:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xfc73…5c7b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4ae780… |
| 05-10 07:03:45 | Definite-Orangutan 0x784f…8b05 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x30d539… |
| 05-10 03:56:26 | Immediate-Organizing 0xf910…5912 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x8718e9… |
| 05-10 00:01:44 | Wonderful-Vagrant 0x931f…2e44 | No | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x097a1b… |
| 05-09 23:01:11 | Wonderful-Vagrant 0x931f…2e44 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xd79e29… |
| 05-09 15:37:30 | Grumpy-Haversack 0x9481…b947 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x22afd9… |
| 05-09 15:37:28 | Juicy-Comedy 0xb482…2ac7 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xbfb2f6… |
| 05-09 15:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x451449… |
| 05-09 15:26:58 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x50c1de… |
| 05-09 13:43:12 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x39cd89… |
| 05-09 13:23:32 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x39853c… |
| 05-09 13:23:30 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 85 | 98¢ | $84 | 0x0f2509… |
| 05-09 13:23:27 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 85 | 98¢ | $84 | 0xae61e1… |
| 05-09 12:40:50 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb0d271… |
| 05-08 11:24:46 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 22 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x40459a… |
| 05-08 11:24:44 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x30dce1… |
| 05-08 11:24:42 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 22 | 88¢ | $20 | 0x93597e… |