Double-Repository — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

959 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.29K

$39.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-25 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

96% 60% +$11

Crypto

2% 50% +$3

Politics

2% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 57% +$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-21	-$19	98¢	$-20	-$1	06-14 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	12	$1.3K	685	685	+0	No	-$9	05-28 08:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$1.1K	1,055	1,005	+50	No	-$10	09-12 09:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	19	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$1	07-29 14:37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	13	$1.0K	670	370	+300	No	-$6	06-29 10:48
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	11	$996	500	500	+0	No	+$2	06-28 21:43
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	3	$992	500	500	+0	No	+$7	08-30 15:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	6	$897	750	150	+600	No	+$3	07-01 14:30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$759	400	421	-21	open	—	06-14 03:32
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$719	370	370	+0	No	+$20	05-16 02:16
lol navi mkoi 2026 03 28 game1	2	$646	1,072	0	+1,072	Natus Vincere	-$646	03-28 18:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	13	$599	400	400	+0	No	+$6	06-11 18:16
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	4	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$2	07-15 11:50
lol wb al 2026 03 05	4	$592	630	211	+419	Weibo Gaming	-$416	03-05 12:00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$583	1,005	1,005	+0	Yes	-$40	08-20 13:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$551	553	0	+553	No	+$2	04-29 08:33
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	9	$548	280	280	+0	No	+$9	06-02 13:32
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 03 27	2	$539	753	0	+753	PARIVISION	+$214	03-27 18:19
dota2 liquid l1ga 2026 04 08	13	$536	407	300	+107	L1ga Team	-$70	04-08 16:05
cs2 navi mnte 2026 03 06	25	$534	478	478	+0	Natus Vincere	-$69	03-06 12:57
cs2 mouz mglz 2026 03 19	16	$487	500	141	+359	TheMongolz	-$273	03-19 17:12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	11	$472	238	238	+0	No	+$2	06-24 14:16
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 280 299	5	$430	230	230	+0	No	+$27	02-21 19:15
dota2 avl vpp 2026 03 19	2	$424	652	0	+652	VP.Prodigy	+$228	03-19 09:42
dota2 heroic vg 2026 03 13	12	$413	323	190	+133	Heroic	+$6	03-13 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	5	$405	249	159	+90	No	+$2	06-09 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	8	$398	200	200	+0	No	+$2	06-10 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$2	07-21 14:38
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$3	05-31 09:35
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$3	05-15 13:10
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	5	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$2	05-29 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 21:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xf4f2f0…
09-25 20:42:23	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x20d4c5…
09-25 18:01:11	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6cc469…
09-23 18:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x1dd293…
09-12 15:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x68d58d…
09-12 09:59:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x12ee9f…
09-05 10:17:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8491fe…
08-30 15:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x36d169…
08-28 08:01:54	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x496bc5…
08-27 16:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x4fe4d4…
08-20 13:46:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,005	27¢	$271	0xac58e9…
08-13 12:30:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	405	31¢	$126	0xd74279…
08-13 12:30:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	595	31¢	$184	0x94428e…
08-13 12:06:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x86b96c…
08-10 12:09:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xb552eb…
08-10 11:45:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8cfbfe…
08-07 12:30:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	420	54¢	$227	0x7ba327…
08-06 10:27:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x226513…
08-06 10:27:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x0126aa…
08-06 10:23:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xf9b90f…
08-06 10:15:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	130	54¢	$70	0x69540b…
08-06 10:12:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	33	54¢	$18	0x2d248f…
08-06 10:10:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	402	54¢	$217	0x845156…
08-06 08:40:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0xcd441b…
07-31 13:56:21	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30	TheMongolz	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x5db3d2…
07-31 13:56:20	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30	TheMongolz	SELL	49	34¢	$17	0xa40b6e…
07-31 13:55:59	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30	TheMongolz	SELL	164	34¢	$56	0xc5cda6…
07-31 13:55:53	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30	TheMongolz	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xa657ae…
07-31 13:55:48	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30	TheMongolz	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x2a313f…
07-31 13:12:27	cs2 faze mglz 2026 07 30	TheMongolz	BUY	250	61¢	$152	0x7f903d…
07-30 08:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf49375…
07-29 20:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xc2a3b3…
07-29 17:58:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3fa058…
07-29 14:37:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0xe860e2…
07-29 14:37:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x732a42…
07-29 14:36:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0xd2ddb8…
07-29 14:36:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x8d816b…
07-29 14:36:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0x3c9f62…
07-29 14:36:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0x1de79b…
07-29 14:36:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xafcb8e…
07-29 14:36:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xde13ec…
07-29 14:36:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xfe7175…
07-29 14:30:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	160	75¢	$120	0x34c88a…
07-29 14:30:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x0f35be…
07-29 14:28:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	184	75¢	$137	0x8e0165…
07-29 14:28:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x15d1c5…
07-29 14:27:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	75¢	$36	0xd63ca3…
07-29 14:27:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	133	75¢	$100	0xe5a94f…
07-29 14:27:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0xbd388a…
07-29 14:26:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x9b1633…
07-29 13:14:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$151	0x437288…
07-29 13:13:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$151	0x0adcc7…
07-28 14:30:29	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0xfc702b…
07-27 10:05:15	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xf0aa7b…
07-27 08:35:16	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xe74398…
07-25 20:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xd4e479…
07-24 10:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe25daa…
07-23 16:23:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x08f1d8…
07-21 15:07:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0xeb260b…
07-21 15:06:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x59d6c2…
07-21 15:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x2102a0…
07-21 14:41:24	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x40abf0…
07-21 14:38:24	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x66295f…
07-20 11:53:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x485737…
07-20 10:18:19	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe4e7c4…
07-17 22:50:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa6fd66…
07-17 16:58:37	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x90541e…
07-17 15:31:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x8e6557…
07-17 15:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x25d1f1…
07-17 12:53:01	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7b9bc6…
07-17 09:06:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb0e3a9…
07-17 09:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x193c0f…
07-17 00:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfc4694…
07-17 00:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4fd759…
07-17 00:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0651a3…
07-17 00:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x54fd45…
07-17 00:00:08	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x159ce7…
07-16 20:52:05	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x058c26…
07-15 12:15:37	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xfb97ab…
07-15 11:50:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x3d6d16…
07-15 11:49:08	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x74cc23…
07-11 12:18:55	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x93b837…
07-11 12:18:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc80898…
07-11 10:32:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x73e70a…
07-11 08:12:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x67b00f…
07-10 22:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x5da8cc…
07-10 16:35:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x474b5c…
07-10 16:05:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x107758…
07-10 16:05:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xcd232d…
07-10 16:05:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd2c7ae…
07-08 20:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x175345…
07-08 13:47:25	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x286318…
07-04 20:34:10	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe3014c…
07-04 19:41:13	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xeded6a…
07-03 20:52:04	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x3d3063…
07-01 14:30:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x94c23c…
07-01 10:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x2caaa8…
07-01 05:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x33acd3…
06-30 16:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7f85f6…
06-30 10:38:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x35e572…