Quick-Witted-Stream — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.94K

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

131

Trades

628

lifetime

Volume

$755.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.20K

Open exposure

$42.6K

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-25 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Sports

48% 41% -$69,017

Other

35% 43% -$7,183

Politics

16% 75% +$27,660

Crypto

0% 100% +$229

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+43,320	$20,977	66¢	$28.8K	+$7,831	09-25 13:45
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+45,871	$10,273	18¢	$8.0K	-$2,246	10-25 06:27
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,486	$2,097	22¢	$2.3K	+$157	07-28 12:01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+7,190	$1,697	18¢	$1.3K	-$388	09-13 08:37
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+11,701	$1,580	10¢	$1.2K	-$380	07-28 11:58
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+7,382	$1,033	14¢	$997	-$37	07-28 12:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$53.8K	34,494	34,494	+0	Yes	+$14,850	04-05 13:53
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	59	$46.3K	26,101	30,994	-4,893	Yes	+$10,146	04-07 23:43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$29.8K	147,997	103,905	+44,092	No	-$6,933	07-12 00:19
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	79	$21.0K	43,320	0	+43,320	open	—	09-25 13:45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$20.9K	48,865	99,999	-51,135	Yes	-$43,819	06-25 07:21
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$20.6K	163,132	89,196	+73,937	No	-$8,631	07-06 18:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$19.7K	11,781	11,781	+0	Yes	+$2,689	02-28 19:33
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	55	$19.3K	30,859	30,859	+0	Yes	-$442	05-30 16:59
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$18.8K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	-$2,400	05-30 22:58
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$17.1K	14,355	14,355	+1	Yes	+$9	10-25 16:07
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$16.8K	35,077	0	+35,077	Yes	+$18,240	06-16 20:06
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	2	$16.0K	11,000	11,000	+0	Yes	+$5,929	05-27 21:27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$15.6K	10,020	10,020	+0	Yes	+$4,399	05-05 21:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$15.2K	19,159	0	+19,159	Yes	+$3,928	07-29 08:15
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$15.1K	10,000	9,859	+141	Yes	+$4,690	04-19 18:24
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$13.3K	25,448	0	+25,448	Yes	+$12,173	06-17 10:59
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$13.2K	22,140	0	+22,140	No	-$13,210	06-25 07:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$12.5K	10,000	15,000	-5,000	No	+$2,048	05-06 20:38
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	25	$12.2K	47,659	0	+47,659	No	-$12,232	05-06 17:45
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$11.2K	9,416	9,416	+0	Yes	+$6,132	07-19 16:27
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	1	$10.7K	20,187	0	+20,187	No	-$10,699	06-18 14:49
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$10.5K	0	12,933	-12,933	Yes	-$2,457	03-13 19:39
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10.4K	58,503	58,502	+1	No	-$585	06-10 11:04
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	12	$10.3K	45,871	0	+45,871	open	—	10-25 06:27
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	3	$9.8K	6,600	6,576	+24	Over	+$3,393	04-28 20:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$9.8K	10,970	0	+10,970	Yes	+$1,207	10-21 08:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$9.6K	11,399	11,398	+1	No	-$5,016	09-13 08:30
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$8.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	Sean Strickland	-$50	05-09 10:01
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$7.6K	15,256	3,402	+11,854	Magic	-$7,316	04-25 19:23
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	33	$7.3K	5,023	5,023	+0	Yes	+$703	06-23 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 16:07:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3,809	71¢	$2,701	0xad409e…
10-25 06:27:14	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9,083	24¢	$2,180	0x2e8fe1…
10-24 13:29:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3,019	64¢	$1,929	0x188806…
10-24 13:27:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	662	64¢	$424	0x806c48…
10-24 13:26:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	512	64¢	$330	0xe463a0…
10-24 13:25:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x9174bb…
10-24 13:25:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xbf27b9…
10-24 13:25:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	758	65¢	$494	0x347586…
10-22 05:45:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,158	75¢	$872	0x2e2845…
10-21 20:55:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,181	75¢	$889	0x9e1d09…
10-21 19:20:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	2,260	62¢	$1,401	0x03ac6f…
10-21 19:20:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1,315	62¢	$815	0xb40c4d…
10-21 19:20:20	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	86	62¢	$53	0x5b1703…
10-21 19:20:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7085bd…
10-21 19:20:17	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1,003	62¢	$622	0x815f50…
10-21 19:20:17	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	263	62¢	$163	0x338ab7…
10-21 19:20:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x830bc2…
10-21 19:20:03	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x0d00de…
10-21 19:20:02	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0xef84c2…
10-21 19:19:33	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x04c989…
10-21 19:19:32	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1,200	61¢	$731	0x6375da…
10-21 09:02:08	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xe6403a…
10-21 09:02:02	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe173a7…
10-21 09:01:56	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x99eaf1…
10-21 08:49:50	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x5bdb6e…
10-21 08:11:02	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xed6ccc…
10-21 08:10:47	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x30c093…
10-21 08:09:56	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xe5e05b…
10-21 08:09:39	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x88a5d0…
10-21 08:09:30	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9,777	22¢	$2,151	0x8bd00b…
10-21 08:09:18	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5,908	22¢	$1,300	0x248f5b…
10-21 08:07:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,054	74¢	$1,520	0x52424f…
10-21 08:07:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,208	89¢	$4,635	0x0f5fe0…
10-20 19:23:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	7,746	40¢	$3,099	0xd0601c…
10-19 12:29:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,762	89¢	$5,128	0x312c72…
10-18 15:27:23	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	2,854	65¢	$1,855	0xba75d5…
10-11 19:04:03	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	10,754	10¢	$1,071	0xefae51…
10-10 11:30:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	1,500	68¢	$1,020	0x40d2f1…
10-06 07:27:10	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,580	48¢	$760	0x5ed6f5…
10-06 07:27:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2,338	48¢	$1,127	0x8d6455…
10-05 19:16:20	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	10,559	10¢	$1,056	0xfc0e77…
10-05 19:15:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	580	46¢	$269	0x9600ed…
10-05 19:15:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	751	47¢	$350	0xdfe3e0…
10-05 19:14:49	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	222	47¢	$104	0x2fffc4…
10-05 19:14:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x22fcc5…
09-25 13:45:41	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	4,178	52¢	$2,173	0xe04e07…
09-25 13:44:41	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,082	51¢	$1,062	0xf81b9b…
09-25 13:44:23	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,774	50¢	$1,387	0x9b6411…
09-16 13:56:13	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	4,075	56¢	$2,282	0x0f594a…
09-16 13:55:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,581	89¢	$4,967	0xdb0b98…
09-13 13:30:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	194	16¢	$32	0xf96901…
09-13 12:56:04	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$5	0x13033e…
09-13 11:08:34	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xda14a3…
09-13 08:39:01	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$50	0x266036…
09-13 08:37:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7,190	24¢	$1,697	0xc9f0ea…
09-13 08:32:04	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	9,475	13¢	$1,232	0x77c537…
09-13 08:31:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,113	16¢	$184	0xa14a97…
09-13 08:30:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,487	61¢	$2,737	0x849641…
09-13 08:30:30	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3,949	59¢	$2,330	0x78641d…
09-13 08:30:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11,398	20¢	$2,280	0xb7b371…
09-13 08:29:21	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	9,687	59¢	$5,716	0x899051…
08-12 12:21:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,399	64¢	$7,295	0x2fbda5…
08-09 04:49:40	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xd55b27…
08-08 19:26:22	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x74bbc0…
08-08 19:24:42	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbc6846…
08-08 18:15:12	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x494a01…
08-08 16:02:49	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	43	36¢	$16	0x9bd715…
08-08 13:24:09	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x857f4a…
08-08 05:11:13	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x642b8b…
08-08 01:39:37	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x4b932a…
08-07 12:50:15	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xefe995…
08-07 12:00:22	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x31ca35…
08-07 11:59:10	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x73b0e6…
08-07 10:39:06	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x3d50b3…
08-07 09:52:30	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1f6d4b…
08-07 08:02:45	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xec9c79…
08-07 06:45:07	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x327b3f…
08-07 05:47:09	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0f8760…
08-07 05:36:55	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0c3e2a…
08-07 05:26:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1c37ab…
08-07 05:22:52	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x08c082…
08-07 05:19:30	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x849e6a…
08-07 05:18:54	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa09a17…
08-07 05:07:22	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb45deb…
08-07 04:25:00	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdd4e0d…
08-07 04:15:07	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0c6ddd…
08-07 04:11:30	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x50fdd3…
08-07 04:11:13	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1c21e4…
08-07 03:55:42	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb3f6d3…
08-07 03:46:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x81feae…
08-07 03:30:52	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x24ea0f…
08-07 03:25:18	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x43e6b5…
08-07 03:13:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xca563e…
08-07 03:12:12	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x18fb6b…
08-07 02:44:15	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x372ff1…
08-07 02:34:12	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc88be9…
08-07 02:22:18	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfe0b4e…
08-07 02:07:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5f5b24…
08-07 02:03:46	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf98087…
08-07 02:02:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc28ffc…