Feminine-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.35K

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

1,029

Trades

4,829

lifetime

Volume

$557.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$11.3K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 208 days

Categories

Other

44% 47% +$8,089

Crypto

24% 80% +$9,659

Politics

21% 85% -$6,963

Sports

11% 64% +$14,714

Tech

0% 100% +$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+5,000	$3,200	96¢	$4.8K	+$1,625	08-02 15:18
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	+4,000	$1,000	72¢	$2.9K	+$1,880	09-18 04:52
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Yes	+10,000	$1,000	16¢	$1.6K	+$600	09-27 14:00
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,000	$1,500	11¢	$550	-$950	10-19 23:34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	+400	$100	90¢	$358	+$258	10-21 13:04
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	+500	$250	62¢	$308	+$58	10-20 21:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	+250	$180	99¢	$248	+$68	10-21 15:09
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+500	$250	42¢	$212	-$38	09-07 11:08
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	+200	$170	98¢	$197	+$27	10-19 23:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+200	$50	28¢	$55	+$5	10-28 00:11
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$200	4¢	$40	-$160	07-14 05:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+200	$30	4¢	$9	-$21	10-25 16:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+100	$7	4¢	$4	-$4	10-26 19:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	120	$29.5K	21,883	20,883	+1,000	No	+$89	01-15 00:59
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	30	$27.8K	20,000	10,000	+10,000	Yes	+$1,010	01-12 16:39
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	4	$19.3K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$310	02-09 15:13
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$12.4K	116,154	106,154	+10,000	No	-$425	06-29 16:00
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$12.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$0	02-23 17:05
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	47	$11.4K	13,000	11,342	+1,658	No	-$454	01-14 20:06
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	8	$11.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	09-19 15:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$10.5K	11,000	1,000	+10,000	Yes	-$9,000	02-27 10:17
over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1	29	$9.3K	15,000	10,000	+5,000	No	+$707	03-11 10:31
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$9.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$1,000	01-31 12:50
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	32	$8.2K	4,500	4,500	+0	No	+$77	02-13 17:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$7.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$83	05-24 21:18
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	8	$6.4K	6,646	0	+6,646	No	+$281	02-09 21:41
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$6.2K	31,000	21,000	+10,000	Yes	+$8,544	07-02 19:37
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$5.4K	5,500	500	+5,000	No	+$525	02-13 22:04
another us government shutdown by february 14	12	$5.2K	3,598	3,598	+0	No	+$29	02-13 08:18
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	6	$5.0K	10,209	0	+10,209	Yes	+$5,209	04-15 14:29
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	18	$4.8K	5,500	500	+5,000	No	+$250	02-25 09:53
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$4.5K	30,298	20,298	+10,000	No	-$937	07-05 23:57
cs2 vit 3dmax 2026 02 02	13	$4.5K	3,460	1,365	+2,096	Vitality	+$92	02-02 14:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	23	$4.3K	2,500	2,000	+500	Yes	+$60	02-28 19:06
val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10	6	$4.2K	2,340	2,193	+148	FUT Esports	+$61	06-10 16:56
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$4.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	+$40	04-08 10:46
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	5	$4.2K	4,735	4,735	+0	No	+$1,885	07-26 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:25 UTC	29	$4.1K	2,108	2,108	+0	Down	+$87	07-19 17:29
will hyperliquid dip to 24 in february 157	11	$4.0K	2,545	2,545	+0	No	+$36	02-12 15:31
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 first half total 2pt5	6	$3.4K	5,000	4,000	+1,000	Over	+$2,670	06-23 17:18
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	7	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	08-02 15:18
will mathieu zywoo herbaut win the hltv awper of the year award	10	$3.2K	3,265	0	+3,265	Yes	+$98	01-10 18:34
cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14	12	$3.1K	2,250	2,250	+0	Vitality	+$23	04-14 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:24:20	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	500	30¢	$150	0xd43c98…
10-28 00:11:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xb57851…
10-27 10:17:06	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	75¢	$750	0xbe015d…
10-26 20:05:12	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	328	75¢	$246	0x9e42fd…
10-26 19:56:00	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	75¢	$91	0x7df5bd…
10-26 19:41:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x693ca3…
10-26 08:57:00	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x3f54d0…
10-26 08:54:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xa9b13f…
10-26 08:50:23	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x868299…
10-26 08:42:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	231	65¢	$150	0xa43e19…
10-26 08:42:08	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	64¢	$83	0x6a79e0…
10-26 08:41:32	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0dcfbe…
10-25 21:52:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	333	80¢	$266	0xf3ca9f…
10-25 21:52:41	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	67	80¢	$54	0x98a59e…
10-25 21:42:00	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0x7de684…
10-25 20:45:47	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0x0882d6…
10-25 20:44:24	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0x9ca68d…
10-25 20:19:17	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	187	40¢	$75	0xa17cae…
10-25 20:19:02	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	313	40¢	$125	0x6812a5…
10-25 20:18:30	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xad7863…
10-25 20:18:20	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe61a86…
10-25 20:18:20	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x6474d1…
10-25 20:18:17	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	84	20¢	$17	0x16c678…
10-25 20:17:36	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1a6fd6…
10-25 20:17:33	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	524	20¢	$105	0x50eb36…
10-25 20:12:47	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8f8c7a…
10-25 20:12:47	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x7f76d4…
10-25 20:12:45	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa946cc…
10-25 20:12:45	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0xa265dd…
10-25 20:12:45	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x5df4c2…
10-25 20:12:45	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	208	20¢	$42	0x08caf0…
10-25 20:12:44	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	866	20¢	$173	0xdae97d…
10-25 20:12:44	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x3b1203…
10-25 20:12:42	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	103	20¢	$21	0x246fcd…
10-25 20:09:53	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xa3e7d3…
10-25 20:09:53	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5298e0…
10-25 20:09:51	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x47ba31…
10-25 20:09:50	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xe6f17a…
10-25 16:54:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xa0813f…
10-25 09:53:20	Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez	Elena Rybakina	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x116e62…
10-25 07:41:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x09c9c1…
10-25 06:52:27	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x72a8b7…
10-24 18:46:03	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0xdbf8da…
10-24 18:29:03	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x97e1ea…
10-24 18:16:23	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,000	0x27da5e…
10-24 18:08:47	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	500	40¢	$201	0xb8ea1f…
10-24 17:47:53	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0xa3232a…
10-24 17:47:06	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	277	33¢	$92	0xf57d06…
10-24 17:47:05	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x08b612…
10-24 17:46:57	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa3ab40…
10-24 17:46:53	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	143	33¢	$47	0x4ca8ad…
10-24 17:46:42	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,522	90¢	$1,370	0x47960d…
10-24 17:12:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	92	90¢	$83	0xe68588…
10-24 17:11:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0x778045…
10-24 16:24:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	314	90¢	$282	0xf81ea8…
10-24 15:31:47	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,987	25¢	$497	0xfa6897…
10-24 12:34:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x0033fb…
10-24 11:59:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x8ad40e…
10-24 11:58:12	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	520	25¢	$130	0x163511…
10-24 07:39:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x9310d0…
10-24 00:05:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0xfe4159…
10-22 06:18:28	Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1eab1d…
10-21 21:23:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	550	81¢	$446	0x7667b1…
10-21 20:52:51	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	495	11¢	$54	0xf4b82a…
10-21 20:52:44	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbd92a6…
10-21 20:51:14	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x98378d…
10-21 20:49:54	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xaecee4…
10-21 20:37:03	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	410	25¢	$102	0x87cf3a…
10-21 20:37:03	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	90	25¢	$22	0x3aaac1…
10-21 20:30:05	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x9042d6…
10-21 20:29:00	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	No	BUY	66	65¢	$43	0x139a22…
10-21 20:28:59	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	No	BUY	70	65¢	$46	0x66e8a8…
10-21 20:28:59	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	No	BUY	64	65¢	$42	0x0af318…
10-21 15:09:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	204	72¢	$147	0xe02222…
10-21 14:52:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	46	72¢	$33	0xca9abf…
10-21 14:48:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5238fc…
10-21 13:04:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8c3528…
10-21 13:04:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	339	25¢	$85	0x7cd2b5…
10-21 13:04:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x0c8c2e…
10-21 08:53:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x072c81…
10-20 21:58:59	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	283	50¢	$142	0x0fa628…
10-20 21:44:33	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xa6db55…
10-20 21:35:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc50f18…
10-20 13:09:09	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4,000	50¢	$2,000	0x3e1dc9…
10-20 12:08:12	Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	60¢	$600	0x2582ca…
10-20 09:13:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x4ba875…
10-20 06:40:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x8b5e76…
10-20 00:53:05	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe45c50…
10-20 00:53:05	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x4a84ef…
10-20 00:53:05	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3893e4…
10-20 00:53:03	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa9846f…
10-20 00:53:03	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x4384aa…
10-20 00:53:02	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	31	50¢	$15	0x4c5773…
10-19 23:56:35	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	65¢	$21	0xf67802…
10-19 23:56:03	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xa819c9…
10-19 23:55:48	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	132	65¢	$86	0x913fde…
10-19 23:54:00	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x90d025…
10-19 23:49:54	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x4701a2…
10-19 23:48:18	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	203	65¢	$132	0x5196d9…
10-19 23:41:09	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xe0c3df…