Lumpy-Golf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.3%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$481

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-09 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% 100% +$1

Politics

13% 0% $-0

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$141	4,198	135	+4,064	open	—	06-24 06:31
bitboy convicted	7	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	03-03 06:31
zgr zel arrested by june 30	8	$34	1,333	234	+1,099	open	—	06-26 08:25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	17	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	01-26 09:17
Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	15	$23	46	46	+0	open	—	04-02 10:00
GTA VI released before June 2026?	8	$22	760	115	+645	open	—	05-16 07:55
evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by jan 31	26	$20	560	550	+10	open	—	01-31 02:16
world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	6	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	06-15 06:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	$-0	03-01 09:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$15	16	103	-87	open	—	07-06 09:13
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	4	$14	34	3	+31	open	—	06-26 09:54
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	4	$12	176	176	+0	open	—	03-18 09:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	3	$12	21	21	+0	open	—	05-29 02:28
evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by feb 28	8	$11	1,282	1,096	+186	open	—	03-01 09:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$10	38	38	+0	open	—	07-08 02:13
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$9	7	5	+3	open	—	01-28 05:50
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	3	$6	8	3	+5	open	—	06-26 09:27
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	2	$6	203	0	+203	open	—	06-27 18:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$6	15	15	+0	open	—	07-09 09:12
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	5	$6	126	2	+123	open	—	05-12 00:56
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$3	25	25	+0	open	—	02-28 03:26
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	3	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	06-26 09:31
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	06-27 19:41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$3	23	23	+0	open	—	05-28 06:58
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-27 19:42
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	01-24 02:56
clavicular charged by jan 31	2	$2	61	61	+0	open	—	01-23 06:13
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	1	$2	0	16	-16	open	—	07-06 10:11
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	07-09 09:12
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-08 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 09:12:50	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0eba80…
07-09 09:12:43	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x0eb243…
07-09 09:12:38	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x93bb0c…
07-09 09:12:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x5fbee4…
07-08 02:13:49	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0x442a03…
07-08 02:13:08	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x45b707…
07-06 10:11:22	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x6d6062…
07-06 09:13:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	87	11¢	$10	0xc12b13…
07-02 02:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xe04c12…
07-02 02:22:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x70704d…
07-02 02:21:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x83b11a…
07-02 02:21:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3e32ec…
07-02 02:19:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x2a0647…
06-27 19:42:37	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3a2239…
06-27 19:41:32	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x6f9e1e…
06-27 18:23:23	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xee1a06…
06-27 18:18:17	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	Panama	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0xfa2d09…
06-26 09:54:31	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xbbcace…
06-26 09:54:14	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x5a6ebb…
06-26 09:53:55	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x1847bf…
06-26 09:53:14	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x735fc0…
06-26 09:31:04	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xaf2031…
06-26 09:27:25	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x0fa740…
06-26 09:23:25	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5b1ef7…
06-26 09:04:50	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x386211…
06-26 08:25:58	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	155	1¢	$1	0x2d1867…
06-26 03:52:08	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4d3f86…
06-26 03:42:22	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x1cb72d…
06-24 06:31:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,014	2¢	$100	0x6c9d53…
06-24 06:31:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	133	2¢	$3	0x9624fd…
06-24 06:26:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdaee68…
06-23 06:29:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6dff1d…
06-23 06:29:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xdcd2d5…
06-23 06:29:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x69a816…
06-23 06:28:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x5bb8f9…
06-23 05:57:41	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	714	3¢	$20	0x906ea4…
06-23 05:51:22	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	146	3¢	$4	0x7e31b2…
06-23 05:34:04	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0x68cc49…
06-15 06:24:15	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0398a9…
06-15 06:23:48	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x1354c5…
06-12 07:47:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe41db5…
06-12 07:44:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x032482…
06-12 07:32:58	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0xfcaf88…
06-12 07:17:39	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0xfaaa4b…
06-12 07:08:28	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0xfdd6de…
06-12 07:00:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x48804c…
06-12 06:54:16	zgr zel arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0xba4def…
06-12 06:52:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x986f92…
06-12 05:48:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1772e0…
06-11 07:44:09	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7792f6…
06-11 03:46:04	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4f1755…
06-11 03:46:04	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x19acfa…
06-10 05:15:09	world cup any player to score a hat trick 20260608155042800	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdcbe5a…
06-04 06:17:27	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xacb62a…
05-29 02:28:20	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x41a5a0…
05-29 01:44:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xde0623…
05-29 01:36:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb208cf…
05-28 08:03:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x921754…
05-28 07:59:21	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xdfc744…
05-28 06:58:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x283871…
05-28 06:48:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$1	0x37f348…
05-16 07:55:51	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x5165f2…
05-16 07:54:51	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	665	1¢	$4	0xc751b3…
05-12 00:56:36	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb8ea5b…
05-12 00:55:47	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb61358…
05-12 00:49:34	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	No	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0xf9dc79…
05-11 03:21:24	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x85c3b4…
05-11 03:08:02	UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70f68a…
05-08 08:04:41	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1ff069…
05-08 08:04:34	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfb5409…
05-08 08:04:15	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x23f004…
04-02 10:00:49	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x9a74e3…
03-18 09:07:15	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xd7d704…
03-18 09:06:39	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	Yes	SELL	153	2¢	$4	0x4246f4…
03-18 08:23:41	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	Yes	BUY	153	3¢	$4	0xb1f611…
03-05 08:26:43	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x97b85e…
03-05 07:59:33	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x084498…
03-05 07:45:27	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb9542b…
03-05 07:42:15	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x0db896…
03-05 07:42:09	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xb4cea4…
03-05 07:37:55	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x2a6621…
03-05 07:32:51	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5dcbc0…
03-05 07:27:33	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x3419ba…
03-05 03:41:45	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3bd74b…
03-05 03:40:57	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7644e1…
03-04 09:45:05	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc0926a…
03-03 06:31:35	bitboy convicted	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x41c7c3…
03-03 06:30:31	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0xf28a49…
03-02 09:31:29	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x1f5c2b…
03-01 09:55:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xa5d8a7…
03-01 09:53:39	evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by feb 28	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$1	0xdb21c1…
03-01 08:36:29	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0xa62099…
03-01 08:35:51	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x63d3b6…
03-01 08:35:25	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x56b600…
03-01 08:35:03	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0dc5b5…
03-01 07:21:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2c2517…
03-01 06:48:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc83b8b…
03-01 06:29:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xc55825…
03-01 06:25:13	Will Wrexham be promoted to the EPL?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x227ca3…
03-01 03:55:21	evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by feb 28	Yes	SELL	265	0¢	$1	0x8b68c9…