Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 11-04 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

77% 50% -$6

Other

23% 67% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-25	-$4	8¢	$-2	+$2	10-07 17:01
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	63¢	$1	+$0	10-07 17:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	11-04 18:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$8	17	1	+16	No	+$10	03-24 18:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$7	0	7	-7	No	$0	06-28 19:50
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$7	9	6	+4	Yes	+$4	03-28 17:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$1	03-06 14:31
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 12:01
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$5	511	0	+511	Yes	-$5	03-24 18:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$4	76	0	+76	Yes	-$4	04-15 12:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$4	0	25	-25	open	—	10-07 17:01
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$3	4	4	+0	No	+$0	03-09 13:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$3	21	0	+21	Yes	-$3	04-15 12:34
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	10-25 22:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	11-03 22:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$2	25	0	+25	Yes	-$2	04-15 12:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	10-26 15:30
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	10-26 15:31
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-07 17:03
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	1	$1	9	0	+9	Yes	-$1	11-04 17:34
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	04-14 02:11
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	03-09 13:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-14 02:07
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 22:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	11-04 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:05:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfb41b0…
11-04 17:34:28	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0b9dfa…
11-03 22:32:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3092f1…
11-03 20:51:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x88a6a8…
10-26 15:31:30	Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe1c808…
10-26 15:30:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xc5956a…
10-25 22:54:02	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xaff98e…
10-25 22:52:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x78f528…
10-07 17:04:43	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xaf1b2c…
10-07 17:03:58	Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xea1a75…
10-07 17:01:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x229f4d…
06-28 19:50:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xab8dd4…
05-05 18:10:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xfe6555…
04-15 12:34:16	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa88ec0…
04-15 12:33:58	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4f13da…
04-15 12:32:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x98c263…
04-14 02:11:21	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x18aef9…
04-14 02:07:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x12d86f…
04-12 02:44:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8add6e…
04-08 12:01:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfe70a6…
03-28 17:27:53	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x46ea87…
03-24 18:23:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbef9f6…
03-24 18:23:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xdcb995…
03-21 14:00:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x838e96…
03-21 13:58:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe06246…
03-12 22:29:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4dc5cd…
03-11 14:32:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x089585…
03-10 22:52:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8133d1…
03-09 20:52:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x936210…
03-09 13:19:27	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1e72ba…
03-09 13:05:01	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x9b3731…
03-08 13:20:51	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x18a348…
03-06 14:31:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4cef53…
03-05 17:24:53	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xd2e344…
03-01 19:13:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x43285e…
03-01 19:02:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x2eeeda…