Sinful-Simplification — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

18 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$29

$29 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-13 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 46% $-10

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-13 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$4	2	4	-2	Down	+$0	05-13 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$2	26	0	+26	Down	$-1	05-13 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Down	$-0	05-13 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Down	+$1	05-13 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-13 05:27
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	$-1	05-13 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-13 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-13 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-13 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	0	4	-4	Down	+$1	05-13 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 06:00:35	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xae476f…
05-13 05:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x3d02d9…
05-13 05:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8771ab…
05-13 05:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x0f3bbf…
05-13 05:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xce1a53…
05-13 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5d3bf2…
05-13 05:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9eb20a…
05-13 05:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa9946b…
05-13 05:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xccfe20…
05-13 05:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa537e0…
05-13 05:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc9a139…
05-13 05:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5e4697…
05-13 05:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe4d2e0…
05-13 04:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x7f22e7…
05-13 04:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x78ccd5…
05-13 04:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1b8bc0…
05-13 03:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x163d34…
05-13 03:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb03330…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$5.90K	139	05-13 05:59
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$2.75K	147	05-13 05:59
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	13	$1.24K	172	05-13 05:58
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	13	$1.03K	34	05-13 05:59
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	12	$759	41	05-13 05:58
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	12	$669	37	05-13 05:58
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	12	$541	62	05-13 05:58
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	11	$3.82K	43	05-13 05:58