Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$778

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

46.4%

Resolved

247

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-21 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Politics

43% 36% -$331

Sports

26% 33% -$154

Other

25% 22% -$176

Pop-Culture

4% 30% -$75

Crypto

2% 7% -$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+60	$31	68¢	$40	+$10	04-29 10:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fl1 lyo ogc 2026 02 15 lyo	2	$243	140	140	+0	Yes	+$36	02-15 21:54
will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	2	$110	100	100	+0	Yes	+$60	02-09 01:25
will trump say oil during kentucky visit	1	$90	101	0	+101	Yes	+$11	03-10 23:46
bun lei wol 2026 02 15 lei	4	$68	100	100	+0	No	-$23	02-15 18:08
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$56	70	70	+0	No	-$20	05-14 16:51
will trump say most favored nation during ohio visit	2	$54	62	62	+0	No	-$46	03-11 19:12
will trump say new york during taoiseach events	1	$49	81	0	+81	Yes	-$49	03-17 16:19
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 mun	1	$46	80	0	+80	No	-$46	02-09 10:44
will trump say drug 15 times during ohio visit	2	$41	69	69	+0	No	-$39	03-11 19:12
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$41	699	0	+699	No	-$41	06-19 00:49
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	4	$39	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	02-15 17:18
will trump say iran during trophy presentation	1	$38	50	0	+50	Yes	+$12	03-20 12:52
cde olm tou 2026 03 04 olm	1	$36	63	0	+63	No	-$36	03-04 09:56
will trump say oil during executive order signing today	2	$35	21	21	+0	Yes	+$7	03-31 22:12
will the super bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds 745	2	$35	25	25	+0	Yes	+$15	02-09 01:27
will trump say child during womens history month event	4	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	03-12 20:42
will jd vance say iran during michigan visit 777	1	$33	48	0	+48	Yes	+$15	03-18 13:12
Will Trump say "Mars" 2+ times during astronaut greeting?	2	$32	42	42	+0	No	-$32	04-29 18:45
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	04-29 10:09
will trump say percent 20 times during ohio visit	2	$30	76	76	+0	No	-$30	03-11 19:16
Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?	1	$30	39	0	+39	Yes	+$9	05-27 14:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$27	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	02-15 17:47
will epstein be said at the oscars	1	$26	40	0	+40	No	-$26	03-09 18:01
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$25	125	0	+125	Yes	-$25	02-07 19:37
will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	1	$25	33	0	+33	No	-$25	03-21 00:12
will trump say ukraine during the state of the union address	1	$24	28	0	+28	Yes	+$4	02-24 16:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	04-07 23:25
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	2	$24	769	769	+0	No	+$4	02-22 21:25
will trump say where are you during womens history month event	1	$23	33	0	+33	No	-$23	03-12 10:18
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$23	180	38	+142	No	-$22	03-09 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 21:15:15	will trump say cnn during his ribbon cutting ceremony	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf04108…
09-21 21:15:06	will trump say fake news during his ribbon cutting ceremony	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe02b49…
09-21 21:14:51	will trump say beautiful 2 times during his ribbon cutting ceremony	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x06ff67…
09-21 21:14:40	will trump say rose garden during his ribbon cutting ceremony	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x90ef49…
09-09 21:13:16	Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xbbd0a1…
09-09 21:13:06	Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb25f38…
07-27 16:46:09	will trump say hell 7 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420354	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd36080…
07-27 16:45:30	will trump say trump 5 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420355	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x88a183…
07-27 16:45:03	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x6ff93c…
07-09 23:09:23	will the announcers say crossbar during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901508	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf0aabb…
07-06 22:37:59	will the announcers say weather during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348890	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb9094b…
07-06 22:37:11	will the announcers say what a save during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348901	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0df6c1…
07-04 21:38:20	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8cf576…
07-02 17:54:22	will the announcers say golden boot during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644165	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd82bf8…
07-02 17:53:52	will the announcers say crossbar during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644163	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf513d7…
07-02 17:53:47	will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644164	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0cd7e0…
07-02 17:53:35	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644152	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1e0ea2…
07-02 17:53:31	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the portugal vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260701163644151	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbec0c6…
07-02 17:52:13	will the announcers say crossbar during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439802 946	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf9973f…
07-02 17:52:08	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439803 329	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc1d07f…
07-02 17:51:56	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439791	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd3e2c9…
07-02 17:51:50	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439790	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7a5f91…
07-02 17:51:43	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439788	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x78520b…
07-01 21:54:44	will the announcers say home soil during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154113	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc5de04…
07-01 21:54:22	will the announcers say fan 10 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154108	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x649969…
07-01 20:09:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xa4f8a7…
07-01 20:08:02	will the announcers say messi during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154127	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x9f49ab…
07-01 20:07:47	will the announcers say what a save during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154122	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x52744d…
07-01 20:07:32	will the announcers say long ball during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154114	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb19753…
07-01 10:36:26	will the announcers say crossbar during the belgium vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260630205128580	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1f6035…
07-01 10:36:20	will the announcers say what a save during the belgium vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260630205128581	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x60251d…
07-01 10:27:46	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034687	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9aa79e…
07-01 10:27:37	will the announcers say what a save during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034688	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x237d06…
07-01 10:27:28	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034690	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xdfd831…
07-01 10:25:11	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034675	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xef873a…
06-30 20:12:41	will the announcers say champions league during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343706	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5e1004…
06-30 20:12:08	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x56ec40…
06-30 20:08:58	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x95a512…
06-30 20:08:38	will the announcers say kylian or mbappe 30 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343699	No	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x75fbcc…
06-30 20:08:26	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343700	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3a5ce6…
06-30 10:41:29	will the announcers say weather during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526256	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9c39db…
06-30 10:41:07	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf920ce…
06-30 10:27:43	will the announcers say quick strike during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343709	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x780289…
06-30 10:27:23	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xea9ca7…
06-29 19:22:07	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841611	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf008bc…
06-29 16:57:56	will the announcers say what a save during the germany vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260629141841624	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x70b89f…
06-29 16:56:22	will the announcers say what a save during brazil vs japan 20260628222111480	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6e3b3b…
06-28 00:50:29	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 goals luis diaz gte1	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf79438…
06-28 00:50:11	Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xe06d91…
06-28 00:47:52	Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6320ca…
06-28 00:47:28	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd2c517…
06-27 22:59:50	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716806	No	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x4dd56d…
06-27 21:41:17	will the announcers say historic during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914424	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x754d55…
06-27 21:40:41	will the announcers say crossbar during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914435	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6dc18d…
06-27 21:38:35	will the announcers say crossbar during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716824	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb0adb5…
06-27 21:38:20	will the announcers say what a save during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716825	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9cabda…
06-27 19:38:37	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511659	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x053d68…
06-27 19:37:04	will the announcers say crossbar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511677	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x453291…
06-27 19:36:49	will the announcers say what a save during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511678	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2d2791…
06-25 12:32:46	will the announcers say assist during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859856	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x23d7e4…
06-25 12:32:35	will the announcers say crossbar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859858	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7121b5…
06-25 12:32:11	will the announcers say what a save during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859859	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x9fef6c…
06-21 22:58:32	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4e4cac…
06-21 22:58:25	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x24140b…
06-21 22:58:05	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x667db1…
06-21 22:56:07	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xfa414b…
06-21 22:56:05	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x759767…
06-21 16:14:40	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x96bb2f…
06-19 00:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x482cd5…
06-19 00:57:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xffc72d…
06-19 00:54:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb5fd18…
06-19 00:49:01	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	339	6¢	$20	0x9bf123…
06-19 00:48:26	will the announcers say shot 20 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751353	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x903c8b…
06-19 00:44:14	will the announcers say crossbar during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650884	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb78f12…
06-19 00:44:02	will the announcers say what a save during the germany vs ivory coast fifa world cup match 20260618175650885	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5a1f55…
06-19 00:43:41	will the announcers say what a save during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914475	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xef6240…
06-08 20:50:12	will trump say citizenship during tele rally 20260608165428977	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x2b5676…
06-08 20:49:57	will trump say womens sports during tele rally 20260608165428973	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6cbad2…
06-08 20:49:36	will trump say job 2 times during tele rally 20260608165428965	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x020f33…
06-06 17:39:58	Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Germany?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3ef7f7…
06-06 17:16:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf445ef…
06-03 11:49:16	will trump say iran 5 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201998	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x31225c…
06-03 11:07:31	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	360	6¢	$21	0xc3658b…
05-27 21:46:39	Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xe32c57…
05-27 16:08:40	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf818d7…
05-27 14:39:43	Will Trump say "World Cup" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x26eff3…
05-27 14:39:27	Will Trump say "Fraud" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4d8b30…
05-27 14:39:16	Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xfa1179…
05-19 16:48:22	Will the White House Press Secretary say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x538805…
05-16 18:16:08	Will "European Union" be said during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x13a75c…
05-14 16:52:01	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc22a2c…
05-14 16:51:56	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	70	26¢	$18	0x215b2e…
05-13 14:04:56	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x0d79b0…
05-13 12:07:13	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xcb642a…
05-13 11:52:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xac6e9c…
05-13 11:52:01	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x54c875…
05-13 02:12:18	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xf9935e…
05-12 18:59:21	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0xd6b46a…
05-12 15:50:49	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xcc84d7…
05-12 13:12:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc21c67…