Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

54 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$51

$102 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 09-12 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

77% 58% -$3

Politics

19% 27% -$7

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another pandemic before gta vi	2	$3	7	+7	cancelled	$0	07-31 20:32
will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	07-27 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	07-23 13:35
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-22 10:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-07 21:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-12 04:10
will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	07-27 01:45
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-12 18:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-30 04:34
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-29 08:27
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-11 10:22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-02 00:24
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-11 18:25
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-12 10:29
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-08 01:37
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-02 08:43
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-05 13:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-13 02:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-26 22:55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-03 01:10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-02 17:10
will nvda dip to 196 by august 3 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-03 09:25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-15 10:27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-30 12:35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-14 12:45
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-07 17:37
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-01 16:24
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-12 02:26
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 11:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-05 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 04:10:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9598e8…
09-07 21:35:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf3032d…
09-07 11:40:57	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x065f8b…
09-02 11:19:49	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8822a7…
09-01 09:11:13	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe360cc…
08-30 12:35:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf763d7…
08-30 04:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xca2428…
08-29 08:27:34	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb6f2c3…
08-26 22:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x014ae9…
08-22 10:38:15	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x908fb5…
08-22 02:36:58	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x40ccf0…
08-20 14:14:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdba02b…
08-15 19:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7805d9…
08-15 10:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2e3b42…
08-14 20:46:36	kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt59	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa621e9…
08-14 12:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe76de9…
08-13 02:42:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc7bf84…
08-12 18:29:27	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbbf544…
08-12 10:29:07	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x00583e…
08-12 02:26:30	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8dcd73…
08-12 02:26:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x2316fb…
08-11 18:25:37	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x62a918…
08-11 10:22:34	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6babed…
08-08 11:28:30	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xdf8ea6…
08-08 01:37:57	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x018f73…
08-07 17:37:46	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf065e7…
08-05 21:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x486cfe…
08-05 13:30:03	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa3ccf6…
08-05 05:28:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2a2086…
08-03 09:25:39	will nvda dip to 196 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xcdd76b…
08-03 01:10:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x417f26…
08-02 17:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x89a2f7…
08-02 08:43:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3e178e…
08-02 00:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x901e5b…
08-01 16:24:27	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x998ab6…
08-01 04:33:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa94e61…
07-31 20:32:42	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x20fc6a…
07-31 12:28:29	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1bf58c…
07-31 11:28:23	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x67b847…
07-31 02:39:18	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x472e89…
07-30 00:47:41	will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7c50b5…
07-29 10:09:35	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfe937a…
07-28 09:37:19	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7a8c94…
07-27 22:55:31	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xdc8a71…
07-27 13:50:42	will trump say supreme court during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556641	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2dfc35…
07-27 01:45:25	will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xeb512a…
07-26 13:43:51	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb3db1d…
07-26 01:41:42	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xac66fd…
07-25 13:41:24	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0fe280…
07-25 01:40:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa4ccb9…
07-24 13:38:30	will trump say biden 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255808	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x9413d6…
07-24 01:37:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0b83dc…
07-23 13:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8f34da…
07-23 01:34:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6b1c6d…