(anonymous) 0xe8eaaa…beef6e
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
7
lifetime
Volume
$337
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$631
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 03-22 04:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60% — —
Politics
40% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -1,786 $-179 11¢ $-187 $-9 06-17 07:00
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -829 $-112 14¢ $-116 $-4 06-17 07:01
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,527 $-92 6¢ $-99 $-8 06-17 07:01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -525 $-68 14¢ $-71 $-3 06-17 07:02
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes -338 $-34 10¢ $-34 $-0 06-17 07:02
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes -570 $-31 6¢ $-33 $-2 06-17 07:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -278 $-25 9¢ $-25 +$0 06-17 07:02
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -439 $-15 4¢ $-17 $-2 06-17 07:02
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? Yes -2,186 $-17 1¢ $-13 +$4 06-17 07:02
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -1,424 $-9 1¢ $-10 $-1 06-17 07:02
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -26 $-8 31¢ $-8 $-0 06-17 07:02
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? Yes -1,077 $-9 1¢ $-8 +$1 06-17 07:02
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -82 $-7 8¢ $-6 +$0 06-17 07:03
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026? Yes -19 $-0 13¢ $-2 $-2 06-17 07:03
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? Yes -170 $-1 1¢ $-1 $-0 06-17 07:02