Yearly-Takeover — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.53K

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

219

5,413 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$38.7K

$717.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

$25.5K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-01 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Other

77% 65% +$52,885

Pop-Culture

16% 74% +$2,619

Sports

3% 59% +$2,383

Tech

2% 67% +$7,782

Politics

1% 58% +$3,742

Crypto

0% 100% +$592

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	+7,625	$6,073	87¢	$6.6K	+$576	10-14 18:18
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	+7,500	$5,753	88¢	$6.6K	+$858	10-31 08:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+10,434	$6,067	52¢	$5.4K	-$641	10-26 08:51
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	+4,075	$2,918	84¢	$3.4K	+$526	10-14 15:26
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	+3,376	$1,225	62¢	$2.1K	+$865	10-31 14:21
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	+1,302	$937	98¢	$1.3K	+$343	10-17 15:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	21	$11.7K	9,743	3,000	+6,743	No	+$986	05-31 12:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	52	$11.2K	22,659	13,178	+9,482	Yes	+$8,267	07-30 15:56
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	10	$10.2K	5,782	5,782	+0	No	+$789	10-26 00:05
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?	37	$10.1K	8,028	3,700	+4,328	No	+$910	06-30 18:25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	12	$8.9K	6,328	6,328	+0	Yes	+$3,713	09-28 19:59
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	12	$8.0K	6,414	6,414	+0	Yes	+$4,734	09-27 17:26
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	15	$7.5K	5,581	5,581	+0	Yes	+$3,603	10-31 04:00
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?	34	$7.4K	7,440	4,464	+2,976	Yes	+$605	09-20 17:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	26	$6.9K	16,403	16,403	+0	No	+$726	07-31 13:30
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	12	$6.9K	7,380	4,566	+2,814	Yes	+$1,446	08-28 17:42
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	30	$6.6K	6,881	2,806	+4,075	open	—	10-14 15:26
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	16	$6.4K	7,853	228	+7,625	open	—	10-14 18:18
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	6	$6.2K	6,592	0	+6,592	open	—	10-05 09:08
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$6.1K	10,434	0	+10,434	open	—	10-26 08:51
will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 150k	3	$6.0K	3,413	3,265	+148	Yes	+$196	09-28 21:10
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?	41	$5.8K	10,171	2,415	+7,756	No	+$6,649	04-28 14:19
No one announced as next James Bond?	5	$5.8K	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	10-31 08:23
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 1?	3	$5.7K	2,974	2,974	+0	Yes	+$134	07-21 03:18
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	31	$5.7K	7,638	755	+6,883	No	-$5,359	05-06 14:06
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	24	$5.6K	4,725	2,474	+2,251	Yes	+$424	04-30 14:35
will the weeknd have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	39	$5.4K	3,131	3,131	+0	Yes	+$544	03-21 08:27
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	36	$5.4K	6,974	4,568	+2,405	No	-$1,952	07-02 13:05
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	11	$4.9K	6,224	6,224	+0	open	—	10-16 05:00
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	44	$4.8K	5,729	1,707	+4,022	open	—	10-31 00:30
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	50	$4.8K	12,884	9,221	+3,663	open	—	10-29 09:13
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	5	$4.6K	3,689	1,204	+2,485	Yes	+$256	08-27 10:58
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?	11	$4.5K	4,084	1,461	+2,623	Yes	+$856	07-27 13:50
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?	6	$4.5K	2,742	2,742	+0	No	+$979	09-16 05:40
will shakiras monthly listeners figure hit 107m by august 31 20260723155943132	6	$4.1K	2,205	2,205	+0	Yes	+$275	08-16 20:19
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	6	$4.0K	4,299	68	+4,231	open	—	10-27 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:43:30	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x4d67d2…
11-01 22:31:03	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xd6a576…
11-01 22:28:48	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x372325…
11-01 22:05:31	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	177	90¢	$159	0xbed472…
11-01 22:00:55	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	2,263	38¢	$861	0x186b86…
11-01 21:20:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	344	44¢	$151	0x0ea626…
11-01 21:05:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0x282728…
11-01 21:03:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	130	44¢	$57	0x30534d…
11-01 18:25:42	Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0xac3ae5…
11-01 18:19:33	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Ravens	SELL	370	26¢	$96	0xf11e61…
11-01 17:52:43	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xe6ccac…
11-01 17:52:12	Spread: Rams (-6.5)	Rams	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xb11baa…
11-01 17:51:43	Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)	Buccaneers	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x64cbe7…
11-01 17:51:27	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Lions	BUY	833	48¢	$400	0x5f64f4…
11-01 17:50:58	Spread: Bengals (-13.5)	Titans	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x6ca679…
11-01 17:50:27	Raiders vs. Jets	Raiders	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xcbc30c…
11-01 17:49:51	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x28a773…
11-01 15:17:16	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4df45e…
11-01 14:14:01	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0x96c924…
11-01 13:58:25	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	332	18¢	$60	0xeab013…
11-01 13:58:25	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe63b15…
11-01 13:58:25	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0xcdbaf8…
11-01 13:58:25	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x7a532f…
11-01 13:58:04	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xae3871…
11-01 13:58:04	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	534	17¢	$88	0x5c3587…
11-01 13:58:04	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	69	84¢	$58	0x312f72…
11-01 13:57:24	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	324	37¢	$119	0xa4d8c0…
11-01 12:56:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	212	61¢	$129	0xbbc8d0…
11-01 12:36:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	228	59¢	$135	0x49db5a…
11-01 10:41:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	329	58¢	$191	0x17100a…
11-01 10:38:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	311	62¢	$193	0x0146aa…
11-01 10:26:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x30912a…
11-01 09:37:28	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa2717d…
11-01 09:01:16	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	246	35¢	$86	0x255719…
11-01 09:01:06	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	569	37¢	$210	0xd068ff…
11-01 08:55:46	Will "HABIBTI (FOMO) - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$254	0xc61eb7…
11-01 08:04:25	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	288	40¢	$115	0xa6e731…
11-01 08:03:33	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc730c3…
11-01 04:57:09	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$0	0x638a96…
11-01 02:37:51	will expectations olivia rodrigo chappell roan be the 1 us song this week november 6	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8d3c55…
11-01 02:37:51	will nicole kidman adela be the 1 us song this week november 6	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2fbd85…
11-01 02:07:40	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xcca45d…
10-31 19:06:58	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x688374…
10-31 19:06:21	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe32e53…
10-31 18:21:04	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0xa646ef…
10-31 18:21:04	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x6c2c6b…
10-31 18:14:43	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x8081d0…
10-31 17:42:52	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5cdd97…
10-31 17:25:33	Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	Mbilli	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x2e99f5…
10-31 17:24:37	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0xeb85ce…
10-31 17:18:28	will housewife tate mcrae be the 2 us song this week november 6	Yes	BUY	440	31¢	$134	0x38e3f2…
10-31 17:16:51	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	417	41¢	$171	0x768a6b…
10-31 17:10:18	will nicole kidman adela be the 2 song this week november 6	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xe290d0…
10-31 17:10:06	will bby wow karol g judeline rusowsky be the 2 song this week november 6	Yes	BUY	380	70¢	$267	0x7c91cb…
10-31 17:06:58	will housewife tate mcrae be the 1 song this week november 6	Yes	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0x3dad65…
10-31 15:31:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	333	76¢	$253	0xf30399…
10-31 14:21:27	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	940	51¢	$483	0x8d5148…
10-31 13:41:12	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	BUY	339	49¢	$167	0xb37251…
10-31 11:59:54	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 24M in October?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$96	0x384b6b…
10-31 08:23:24	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	3,295	78¢	$2,570	0xf70319…
10-31 08:15:31	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	1,234	95¢	$1,170	0x8f7efe…
10-31 04:00:46	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	4,186	100¢	$4,181	0xc88c23…
10-31 00:30:45	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	74	94¢	$69	0x446d72…
10-31 00:19:04	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	165	94¢	$155	0xd2dcde…
10-31 00:18:00	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xb7c0bd…
10-30 21:16:36	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x1cc54a…
10-30 21:04:52	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xa78f88…
10-30 21:04:01	Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?	No	BUY	267	90¢	$242	0x1bf517…
10-30 20:13:13	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	136	89¢	$121	0xa3353c…
10-30 19:54:46	Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?	No	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0xf921a6…
10-30 19:47:10	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x98b3aa…
10-30 19:37:00	Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?	No	BUY	669	30¢	$200	0xf2f099…
10-30 17:55:39	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Yes	BUY	596	81¢	$483	0xd806f1…
10-30 14:29:27	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	581	99¢	$573	0x63701b…
10-30 13:42:55	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xbf76a7…
10-30 13:26:55	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x406baa…
10-30 12:47:37	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	454	86¢	$390	0x7d82f7…
10-30 12:40:43	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	600	99¢	$592	0x4d5c4c…
10-30 12:27:57	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	115	99¢	$113	0x894d49…
10-30 11:04:27	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xb67171…
10-30 09:15:52	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	191	84¢	$161	0x980eb8…
10-30 08:48:37	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x771fe3…
10-30 08:46:46	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	87	85¢	$74	0xca2d41…
10-29 19:10:33	Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xd28d06…
10-29 19:10:33	Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x1f6c17…
10-29 17:04:32	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?	Yes	SELL	98	15¢	$15	0x0c39f0…
10-29 15:20:53	Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x352849…
10-29 15:06:05	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	174	87¢	$152	0x03e817…
10-29 14:26:32	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?	No	BUY	324	58¢	$187	0xedf4bd…
10-29 14:26:05	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	702	39¢	$274	0xe14f02…
10-29 09:14:20	Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf445c3…
10-29 09:14:20	Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xda5b50…
10-29 09:14:20	Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x609c10…
10-29 09:13:22	Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$2	0x7aa279…
10-29 09:13:22	Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x54e1cd…
10-29 09:13:08	Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xc46e33…
10-29 09:13:08	Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xb98491…
10-29 09:13:08	Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	1,913	14¢	$273	0xb30377…
10-29 09:13:08	Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	152	5¢	$8	0xb14af5…
10-29 09:13:08	Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x873c5c…