Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$234

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$626

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-30 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

57% 83% -$164

Politics

25% 100% +$27

Crypto

18% 17% -$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-649	-$611	96¢	$-626	-$14	09-30 02:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.2K	763	471	+292	Yes	+$20	02-14 02:27
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	11	$985	1,048	707	+340	No	-$248	02-15 04:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$804	411	411	+0	Yes	+$14	01-28 15:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$611	0	649	-649	open	—	09-30 02:43
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$545	304	304	+0	Yes	+$15	02-13 13:31
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$438	300	300	+0	No	$0	01-20 13:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$403	233	233	+0	No	+$7	02-01 16:04
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$265	239	239	+0	Yes	+$4	03-29 18:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$232	340	340	+0	Yes	+$28	07-22 01:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$214	488	488	+0	No	+$23	07-28 12:35
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$205	209	0	+209	Yes	+$4	03-01 03:18
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	4	$163	280	280	+0	No	-$31	01-07 17:02
bitcoin above 92k on january 12	2	$136	234	234	+0	Yes	-$56	01-12 16:53
bitcoin above 92k on january 8	2	$56	282	282	+0	No	+$0	01-08 08:39
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	4	$52	166	166	+0	Yes	-$14	01-08 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 02:43:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	399	97¢	$386	0x043829…
07-28 12:35:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	488	24¢	$119	0x3eefc3…
07-27 02:56:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	488	19¢	$95	0x727d5f…
07-22 01:44:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	340	38¢	$130	0xf2c9ca…
07-13 16:56:44	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	95	30¢	$28	0x39a79d…
07-13 16:56:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	142	30¢	$43	0xbc9ba8…
07-13 16:56:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	103	30¢	$31	0x1c332d…
06-13 14:25:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	250	90¢	$225	0x04f270…
03-29 18:06:40	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	150	52¢	$78	0x0b0fa2…
03-05 20:59:07	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	59¢	$10	0x73b91b…
03-05 19:01:55	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x88139e…
03-05 17:11:35	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x4787e3…
03-01 03:18:27	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0xe4c386…
02-23 19:25:44	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	63¢	$34	0xa2f2f1…
02-23 18:52:58	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0xb098dc…
02-23 13:26:00	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	89	47¢	$42	0x118a79…
02-15 04:52:39	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	2¢	$6	0xa4e55c…
02-14 04:05:47	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xf8ebac…
02-14 03:40:21	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0xde9ddd…
02-14 03:35:21	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	82	95¢	$78	0xa634e0…
02-14 03:24:37	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xefbf7b…
02-14 03:24:33	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xf7d033…
02-14 03:19:47	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x5af534…
02-14 03:17:43	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcd0c09…
02-14 02:27:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	292	96¢	$280	0xaedff0…
02-13 13:31:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	304	92¢	$280	0xcc0eb0…
02-11 13:39:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	304	87¢	$265	0xe6be8b…
02-04 10:06:26	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	BUY	225	69¢	$154	0x241eac…
02-04 10:05:36	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	482	32¢	$154	0x875d41…
02-04 08:40:52	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	482	95¢	$456	0x8f0c57…
02-04 08:39:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	471	97¢	$458	0xdf84fd…
02-01 16:53:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0x83f001…
02-01 16:04:18	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	233	88¢	$205	0x418745…
01-30 07:49:10	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	264	93¢	$245	0x32b031…
01-29 15:36:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	233	85¢	$198	0x3d1db6…
01-28 15:35:46	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	411	99¢	$409	0xe7e0d3…
01-20 13:27:34	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	273	73¢	$199	0xbbf227…
01-20 10:35:10	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0x28139d…
01-20 09:34:46	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xdd24ea…
01-20 09:34:20	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x916749…
01-20 09:34:12	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xef875e…
01-19 05:49:18	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	411	96¢	$395	0x342ab4…
01-17 02:27:38	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x569e6e…
01-17 02:25:42	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	79	73¢	$58	0x11d1b2…
01-17 02:25:06	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	79	73¢	$57	0x4f8e44…
01-16 20:03:56	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x800fae…
01-16 19:29:32	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	93	73¢	$68	0x251c7d…
01-12 16:53:03	bitcoin above 92k on january 12	No	SELL	234	17¢	$40	0x5bad65…
01-12 16:49:55	bitcoin above 92k on january 12	No	BUY	234	41¢	$96	0x5196c6…
01-08 16:42:06	bitcoin above 90k on january 8	No	SELL	126	3¢	$4	0xdb8c23…
01-08 16:36:46	bitcoin above 90k on january 8	No	BUY	126	15¢	$19	0x7c4274…
01-08 08:56:13	bitcoin above 90k on january 8	No	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xdc23f8…
01-08 08:41:33	bitcoin above 90k on january 8	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xfec71f…
01-08 08:39:07	bitcoin above 92k on january 8	Yes	SELL	282	10¢	$28	0x409270…
01-08 07:45:55	bitcoin above 92k on january 8	Yes	BUY	282	10¢	$28	0xd58eb9…
01-07 17:02:43	bitcoin above 92k on january 7	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xeb2ca1…
01-07 16:29:19	bitcoin above 92k on january 7	Yes	SELL	225	5¢	$11	0x043be0…
01-07 16:24:05	bitcoin above 92k on january 7	Yes	BUY	225	21¢	$47	0x4a2a0f…
01-07 15:54:55	bitcoin above 92k on january 7	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x417a40…