Realized P&L
-$96
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
269
Trades
3,533
lifetime
Volume
$39.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$193
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-01 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Crypto
77% 68% $-191
Politics
11% 92% +$128
Other
8% 80% $-13
Sports
4% 67% $-20
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +52 $49 91¢ $47 $-2 06-30 18:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -52 $-39 80¢ $-42 $-3 06-19 00:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -24 $-22 92¢ $-22 $-0 06-19 05:45
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -22 $-22 100¢ $-22 $-0 06-19 05:46
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -22 $-21 94¢ $-21 +$0 06-19 05:46
Trump out as President by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-19 05:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +21 $19 92¢ $19 $-0 06-29 22:14