Grounded-Kimono — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$36.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$87

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-10 01:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Sports

34% 50% $-40

Politics

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes		+136	$100	64¢	$87	$-13	05-29 02:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$4.0K	4,036	0	+4,036	open	—	01-26 03:33
will matthew stafford win the 202526 nfl mvp award	13	$3.5K	1,715	1,965	-249	open	—	02-06 03:46
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	22	$3.5K	3,888	0	+3,888	open	—	04-28 00:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$3.0K	1,546	1,546	+0	open	—	04-21 00:39
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$3.0K	3,015	0	+3,015	open	—	03-18 01:12
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	14	$2.4K	1,198	1,326	-128	open	—	04-04 22:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	7	$1.4K	785	785	+0	open	—	05-25 18:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	5	$1.3K	762	762	+0	open	—	05-18 00:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	7	$991	758	756	+2	open	—	04-30 02:31
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	7	$964	576	576	+0	open	—	03-25 11:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$857	469	469	+0	open	—	02-04 03:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	4	$846	469	466	+3	open	—	04-21 00:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$757	437	434	+2	open	—	04-11 18:01
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	11	$551	561	56	+505	open	—	04-21 00:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	2	$427	245	245	+0	open	—	06-10 01:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$414	221	220	+1	open	—	04-11 18:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$414	230	230	+0	open	—	06-10 01:20
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	3	$408	303	303	+0	open	—	04-28 00:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$391	267	264	+3	open	—	04-08 00:58
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	2	$363	225	225	+0	open	—	02-03 02:26
crint ind usa 2026 02 07	2	$350	429	0	+429	open	—	02-07 15:24
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	3	$327	190	190	+0	open	—	05-17 23:22
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	1	$300	326	0	+326	open	—	04-28 00:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	3	$265	186	186	+0	open	—	05-21 02:33
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$245	147	147	+0	open	—	03-25 11:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$243	168	168	+0	open	—	01-30 00:05
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$233	133	133	+0	open	—	04-08 00:52
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$218	133	133	+0	open	—	04-13 01:35
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$200	263	0	+263	open	—	03-12 00:55
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$179	143	143	+0	open	—	04-07 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:20:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	230	93¢	$214	0x767b0f…
06-10 01:20:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	245	92¢	$227	0xe38496…
05-29 02:10:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x1873d0…
05-29 02:09:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x7db859…
05-29 02:09:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0x4a65c3…
05-29 02:09:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x0809ee…
05-25 18:41:41	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0xf2d6e7…
05-25 18:40:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	785	99¢	$778	0xd65936…
05-21 02:33:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	95	85¢	$81	0x128dcc…
05-21 02:33:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	186	75¢	$140	0x4c3897…
05-19 01:34:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xd04a08…
05-18 00:54:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	762	86¢	$655	0xb487e0…
05-17 23:42:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x18345e…
05-17 23:37:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xfcd693…
05-17 23:36:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x8f9a47…
05-17 23:35:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x632f4c…
05-17 23:35:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	294	85¢	$250	0x1e0608…
05-17 23:34:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0xb9e3c4…
05-17 23:33:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xca2864…
05-17 23:22:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	SELL	190	93¢	$177	0x5bc662…
05-15 01:01:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	BUY	87	86¢	$75	0xf37d06…
05-12 01:28:22	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xa0a343…
05-12 01:27:59	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x95a4b9…
05-08 01:31:12	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x3bc4af…
05-08 01:30:37	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x52cdfb…
05-08 01:30:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x1f8e52…
05-08 01:29:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0xd7e138…
05-07 01:59:11	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc86365…
05-06 01:57:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	BUY	103	73¢	$75	0x7efefd…
05-06 01:54:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x2138c0…
05-05 01:14:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x406028…
05-05 01:13:38	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xaf1833…
05-05 01:07:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x10647d…
05-04 00:20:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x593ad8…
05-04 00:19:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x5d8e46…
04-30 02:31:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	506	32¢	$163	0x204d10…
04-30 00:12:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xcff565…
04-30 00:12:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x4c31cb…
04-30 00:06:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x607778…
04-29 10:12:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	250	81¢	$202	0xf66eca…
04-28 00:26:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x558a5e…
04-28 00:25:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	110	47¢	$52	0xab0948…
04-28 00:25:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xb1bb65…
04-28 00:23:42	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	514	97¢	$500	0x498a82…
04-28 00:23:00	Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0xe15084…
04-28 00:22:46	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xea204f…
04-28 00:21:20	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	69	40¢	$28	0xd625d8…
04-28 00:21:12	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	44	46¢	$20	0x206e44…
04-28 00:11:30	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	152	100¢	$151	0xab1584…
04-27 01:13:40	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x7f0fd5…
04-26 23:02:42	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xafa0c8…
04-26 23:02:02	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x46bc19…
04-26 23:01:30	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xa4bbee…
04-26 23:00:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x73108e…
04-26 22:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	102	73¢	$75	0xf8aa28…
04-21 00:52:46	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x088793…
04-21 00:52:22	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	Celtics	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xe89926…
04-21 00:52:02	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xfa3c77…
04-21 00:51:54	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xfe8f93…
04-21 00:51:10	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xfbeb1e…
04-21 00:51:00	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x5e20a6…
04-21 00:50:50	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x59bf70…
04-21 00:50:24	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x212497…
04-21 00:50:14	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x59f2b4…
04-21 00:50:02	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xf44b4f…
04-21 00:49:52	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xfa5d28…
04-21 00:49:44	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x5bc5e2…
04-21 00:40:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0x3f9840…
04-21 00:40:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	329	97¢	$320	0x56d1d4…
04-21 00:39:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,546	99¢	$1,535	0x8b55f7…
04-21 00:39:02	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x0d8d5a…
04-21 00:38:44	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x4d15ec…
04-21 00:38:34	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x3765ff…
04-15 00:43:32	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x27cd3a…
04-15 00:43:22	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0xcb9f8e…
04-15 00:43:12	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x4492f0…
04-15 00:42:16	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x9cb9cd…
04-15 00:39:20	nba por phx 2026 04 14	Suns	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x68e3b5…
04-15 00:38:12	btc updown 5m 1776213300	Up	SELL	34	75¢	$26	0x6bb043…
04-15 00:36:18	btc updown 5m 1776213300	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x53b3f2…
04-15 00:33:08	btc updown 5m 1776213000	Down	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x057ca5…
04-15 00:31:56	btc updown 5m 1776213000	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x6d4a54…
04-15 00:29:28	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	152	37¢	$56	0x81d2ec…
04-15 00:29:02	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xd8fd3f…
04-14 02:08:59	nba min den 2026 04 18	Nuggets	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x663986…
04-14 02:08:39	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	Clippers	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x1bccc6…
04-14 02:08:23	nba por phx 2026 04 14	Suns	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb124d9…
04-14 02:07:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0xe1acf5…
04-13 01:35:23	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xcc1045…
04-13 01:34:03	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Nuggets	SELL	135	78¢	$105	0xa48d0a…
04-13 01:33:41	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x439f7b…
04-13 01:33:25	Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0xdf699e…
04-12 15:15:37	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x6bfb07…
04-12 15:15:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	84	14¢	$12	0xe02ea6…
04-12 15:13:37	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x1da9d3…
04-11 18:11:39	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Nuggets	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc533c6…
04-11 18:08:07	nba den sas 2026 04 12	Nuggets	BUY	88	40¢	$35	0x942248…
04-11 18:03:03	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xb7b522…
04-11 18:02:51	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4cf26d…
04-11 18:01:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	434	88¢	$382	0xcf26f3…