Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

-$98

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

111

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$2.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$112

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-11 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

55% 65% +$16

Politics

24% 75% -$56

Crypto

17% 60% -$11

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% 60% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+110	$100	97¢	$106	+$6	06-22 23:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+34	$10	18¢	$6	-$4	07-18 14:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+104	$100	0¢	$0	-$100	10-03 22:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$405	208	208	+0	No	+$7	07-31 14:46
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$282	144	144	+0	Yes	+$2	09-27 19:57
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$244	156	156	+0	Yes	+$44	08-24 23:36
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	3	$229	119	119	+0	No	+$9	08-01 21:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	3	$145	159	0	+159	Yes	+$14	09-27 21:08
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$113	129	14	+115	No	-$97	10-04 21:41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	10-03 22:16
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	07-05 21:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	06-22 23:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	06-15 04:38
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30 20260612142709367	1	$100	115	0	+115	No	+$15	06-22 23:55
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	07-03 01:07
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	07-04 21:45
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$42	0	42	-42	No	$0	06-29 22:26
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	1	$30	43	0	+43	No	-$30	06-21 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 23:55 UTC	14	$24	23	23	+0	Up	+$2	08-15 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 23:20 UTC	4	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	07-20 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$23	14	12	+2	Up	+$1	07-21 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	07-20 23:09
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	1	$20	32	0	+32	No	+$12	06-21 18:13
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-08-30?	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	-$20	08-29 21:26
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$4	06-21 18:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 23:30 UTC	3	$16	16	10	+6	Down	-$4	07-20 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 22:50 UTC	4	$16	111	11	+100	Down	+$2	08-18 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$16	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	09-03 23:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:05 UTC	6	$14	10	10	+0	Down	$0	08-18 23:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 23:15 UTC	4	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	07-20 23:16
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	07-18 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:15 UTC	3	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	08-23 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	10	$12	11	10	+0	Up	$0	08-27 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 02:27:50	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x81e12d…
10-10 23:43:31	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x3754c7…
10-10 23:41:07	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc12833…
10-04 21:41:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xc4acf9…
10-03 22:16:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x387fa4…
09-27 21:08:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0xe3c5c6…
09-27 19:58:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xacc570…
09-27 19:57:38	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	144	99¢	$142	0xdc2ac8…
09-27 19:56:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3675e8…
09-21 01:23:37	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0x6f0b31…
09-21 01:02:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x8e73cb…
09-18 00:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2217f4…
09-04 01:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0b4e46…
09-03 23:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x5afceb…
09-03 23:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc68f07…
09-03 23:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb5b5f1…
09-03 23:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe14e32…
09-03 23:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xc734b1…
09-03 23:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xdacf7c…
09-03 23:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x14a140…
09-03 23:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x61beed…
09-03 23:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfc43a2…
09-03 23:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x555a64…
09-03 23:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x2ed845…
09-03 23:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb9a522…
09-03 22:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0xef2b04…
09-03 22:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb7ff60…
09-03 22:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x3d4822…
09-03 22:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5a41df…
09-03 22:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xca2c68…
09-03 22:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9acc07…
09-03 21:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x8e15d3…
09-03 21:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x22c047…
09-01 14:05:54	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x846bdc…
08-29 21:26:21	Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xe73306…
08-27 02:34:04	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd7f84d…
08-27 02:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$1	0x695cd8…
08-27 02:32:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x3d046b…
08-27 02:32:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1f2562…
08-27 02:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe07421…
08-27 02:27:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc0b31b…
08-27 02:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf58246…
08-27 02:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0a0444…
08-27 02:26:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x189f78…
08-27 02:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x69e62d…
08-27 02:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x45cc4f…
08-27 02:22:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xfc8e40…
08-27 02:21:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf52134…
08-27 02:16:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x62e7c2…
08-27 02:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x710c7e…
08-27 02:15:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0e5aad…
08-27 02:10:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc048b6…
08-27 02:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x472639…
08-27 02:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3ea9ab…
08-27 02:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1ad974…
08-27 02:08:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe9cf17…
08-27 02:08:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x472481…
08-27 02:08:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0xa33a38…
08-27 02:07:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x465e68…
08-27 02:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe98bc1…
08-27 02:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe9df5f…
08-27 02:06:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xa03677…
08-27 02:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd32d64…
08-27 02:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xcac90d…
08-27 02:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x63ecf5…
08-27 02:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xa93953…
08-27 02:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaefc25…
08-27 01:57:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x40136f…
08-27 01:56:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x762f90…
08-27 01:55:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xbfed7c…
08-27 01:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1909e0…
08-27 01:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa7e8be…
08-27 01:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x371d62…
08-27 01:47:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xecec36…
08-27 01:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd397eb…
08-27 01:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xec2862…
08-27 01:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdc6e74…
08-24 23:36:30	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	156	92¢	$144	0x17ffee…
08-23 00:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x949a5f…
08-23 00:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xce2ead…
08-23 00:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf1cec2…
08-21 03:03:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc7a716…
08-21 03:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x0d7383…
08-21 03:01:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb8edeb…
08-21 02:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xbe70af…
08-21 02:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x10fbe0…
08-21 02:40:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x21ad5f…
08-21 02:36:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xef450e…
08-21 02:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdbe981…
08-21 02:23:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x414ae2…
08-21 02:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa1a16a…
08-21 02:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xc7a2ea…
08-21 02:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf9ef58…
08-21 02:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3273cc…
08-21 02:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x1f96e6…
08-21 02:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6f0211…
08-21 02:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x0ac9c3…
08-21 02:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfb37a4…
08-21 02:06:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xd9c6d6…
08-21 02:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xccee83…