Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$103

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$30.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$263

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-19 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

80% 95% +$90

Crypto

12% 100% +$7

Politics

8% 67% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$2.8K	1,420	1,420	+0	No	+$10	03-06 21:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	No	+$16	07-29 10:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	12	$2.1K	1,090	1,090	+0	No	+$19	06-13 12:18
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$1.8K	904	904	+0	No	+$2	07-31 18:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$1.7K	840	840	+0	No	+$2	04-28 07:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.7K	839	839	+0	Yes	+$4	04-26 15:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$1.6K	831	831	+0	No	+$7	04-01 08:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$1.6K	794	794	+0	No	-$1	08-19 00:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	17	$1.4K	705	705	+0	No	+$4	07-29 18:00
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$1.3K	658	658	+0	No	+$3	06-28 01:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$1.3K	656	656	+0	No	+$3	06-16 12:41
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$1.3K	633	633	+0	No	+$3	04-19 02:26
si hit 150 high jan 2026	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$2	01-30 18:22
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$945	476	476	+0	No	+$4	07-23 12:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$858	440	440	+0	Yes	+$5	06-03 01:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$857	430	430	+0	No	+$2	06-11 14:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$838	840	0	+840	No	+$2	04-29 12:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	1	$657	658	0	+658	No	+$1	06-29 00:34
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$651	326	326	+0	No	+$1	01-25 08:21
will nvda dip to 144 in january	8	$507	255	255	+0	No	+$3	01-30 15:34
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	2	$407	205	205	+0	No	+$2	02-26 13:35
will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	2	$405	203	203	+0	No	+$0	02-20 13:32
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	2	$402	202	202	+0	No	+$1	02-14 09:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$401	201	201	+0	No	+$1	04-19 06:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$382	202	202	+0	open	—	07-23 17:30
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	+$1	08-13 09:35
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	2	$221	111	111	+0	No	+$0	06-13 12:18
xrp above 1 on february 16	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$1	02-15 08:34
will nvda dip to 108 in january	8	$197	100	97	+3	No	+$1	01-28 15:22
kor gwo gwa 2026 04 04 gwo	1	$194	200	0	+200	Yes	+$6	04-04 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 00:45:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	794	98¢	$778	0x29d93b…
08-13 09:35:58	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xb4d5fa…
08-04 00:11:15	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x73fe09…
08-04 00:10:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	794	98¢	$779	0x2518d8…
07-31 18:37:11	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	904	100¢	$903	0x37c7c9…
07-31 09:06:39	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	604	100¢	$603	0xd870b5…
07-31 09:06:03	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x7246ac…
07-29 18:00:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	705	100¢	$704	0x04b8c6…
07-29 10:31:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0x039297…
07-26 00:46:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0xf56d90…
07-23 17:30:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	202	97¢	$196	0x87d50d…
07-23 12:52:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x5f7a3c…
07-23 12:52:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x4f64ef…
07-23 12:52:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xaac9ac…
07-23 12:50:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xae372e…
07-23 12:48:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb3a31f…
07-23 12:48:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x22e685…
07-23 12:48:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x80a55f…
07-23 12:48:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf2eaf2…
07-23 12:48:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x66b92a…
07-23 12:48:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54a486…
07-23 12:48:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xe2065a…
07-23 12:48:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xa26b9f…
07-23 12:48:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x915565…
07-23 12:48:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x437035…
07-23 12:48:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x3e3016…
07-23 12:48:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x20e20a…
07-23 12:37:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0xa87e87…
07-23 12:37:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	476	100¢	$475	0x30c0dc…
07-08 03:06:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0x1d1308…
07-02 12:32:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	226	99¢	$225	0x14ed1d…
07-01 11:16:46	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	476	99¢	$471	0x279885…
07-01 11:15:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	202	92¢	$186	0x534178…
06-29 00:34:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	658	100¢	$657	0x1eb9d6…
06-28 01:41:20	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	658	100¢	$657	0xd943b6…
06-23 10:49:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	226	99¢	$223	0x94d8a9…
06-20 18:14:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	224	99¢	$223	0x6a8ec3…
06-18 02:23:04	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	658	100¢	$655	0x49eb72…
06-16 12:41:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	656	100¢	$655	0x1509cb…
06-13 12:19:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	656	99¢	$652	0x08a2af…
06-13 12:18:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xddd2e5…
06-13 12:18:19	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x0795d0…
06-11 14:53:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$322	0x24b035…
06-10 06:47:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x399b9d…
06-08 02:57:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x02976a…
06-05 07:26:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0xf8e569…
06-03 01:44:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	430	99¢	$427	0x1247ed…
06-03 01:44:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	440	98¢	$432	0xd7a65b…
05-19 04:44:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0xcd184d…
05-17 23:19:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	112	98¢	$110	0x86406b…
05-16 13:14:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x0e5cd8…
05-16 13:13:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x16fee3…
05-14 05:34:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	449	96¢	$428	0xc4328e…
05-13 11:06:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$92	0x6aaf7d…
05-13 11:00:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xa9029d…
05-13 10:53:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0x241dd2…
05-13 10:51:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x297139…
05-13 10:50:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$98	0x8b86cc…
05-11 07:34:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	440	97¢	$426	0xb7b6d7…
05-08 16:10:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	218	98¢	$214	0xab2e63…
05-08 12:55:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$106	0x910bf8…
05-08 12:33:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$106	0x237d33…
05-06 14:54:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	870	96¢	$838	0xeb24eb…
04-29 12:47:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	840	100¢	$838	0x379665…
04-28 07:02:36	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	840	100¢	$839	0x258e61…
04-27 05:26:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	840	100¢	$837	0x8be919…
04-26 15:03:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	839	100¢	$837	0x8717fc…
04-20 07:19:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	839	99¢	$833	0xabef38…
04-19 06:22:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x57121f…
04-19 02:26:54	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	633	100¢	$632	0x14da5b…
04-04 13:35:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x4853e2…
04-04 08:17:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	633	100¢	$630	0xf4f101…
04-04 08:16:29	kor gwo gwa 2026 04 04 gwo	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xa9c59a…
04-01 08:28:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$84	0xe0322c…
04-01 08:28:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xc6d872…
04-01 08:28:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$397	0xab0c5d…
04-01 08:28:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	310	99¢	$308	0x6d0586…
03-07 14:54:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	831	98¢	$817	0x0f6c09…
03-06 21:53:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	818	100¢	$817	0x6b5fc3…
03-02 12:34:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	818	100¢	$814	0x253590…
02-27 22:50:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0xc5cc00…
02-27 22:48:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	135	100¢	$134	0x395d4f…
02-27 22:48:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x40a9c1…
02-27 22:47:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x39596d…
02-27 22:42:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0xd3e6d5…
02-26 13:35:08	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x9c111f…
02-20 15:04:28	will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	No	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x907638…
02-20 13:32:28	will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x18a4b6…
02-19 08:28:38	will bitcoin reach 82k february 16 22	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0xbf5dae…
02-15 08:34:15	xrp above 1 on february 16	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x9a5eb0…
02-14 09:35:21	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x3feeff…
02-01 11:34:28	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xcaafec…
02-01 11:34:06	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ebcb2…
02-01 11:32:44	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	602	98¢	$592	0xc404be…
01-31 23:40:18	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x2c0618…
01-30 18:22:34	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	SELL	502	100¢	$502	0xf2258f…
01-30 15:34:52	will nvda dip to 144 in january	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x713143…
01-29 15:46:40	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	502	99¢	$500	0x76498f…
01-28 15:22:17	will nvda dip to 108 in january	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7a44bf…
01-28 14:57:59	will nvda dip to 108 in january	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x58d4a6…