Realized P&L (7d)
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
81.3%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
2
13,667 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$10
$54.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$65
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-26
last 10-28 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 155 days
Categories
Crypto
95% 35% -$2,880
Politics
3% 33% +$282
Other
2% 19% -$372
Sports
0% 75% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -381 -$59 8¢ $-31 +$28 07-20 13:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +104 $14 6¢ $7 -$8 09-30 15:59
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 12¢ $6 +$1 09-10 14:01
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes -141 $3 4¢ $-6 -$9 07-26 13:59
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +45 $5 8¢ $4 -$1 08-29 11:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -119 -$7 3¢ $-4 +$3 06-27 14:56
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -36 -$3 8¢ $-3 $0 05-21 10:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +24 $4 12¢ $3 -$1 10-01 11:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +52 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 07-22 12:03
Iran leadership change by October 31? Yes +71 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 08-29 11:48