Jagged-Weekender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 08-11 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

91% 0% $-4

Other

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	8	$85	56	56	+0	open	—	05-24 16:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$73	52	39	+13	open	—	05-11 11:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$68	61	61	+0	open	—	06-14 15:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$63	121	234	-113	open	—	07-07 21:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	5	$55	33	33	+0	open	—	05-04 17:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$53	35	65	-30	open	—	06-14 15:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$42	49	81	-31	open	—	06-14 15:12
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	6	$37	55	33	+22	open	—	06-14 18:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$37	24	24	+0	open	—	05-31 21:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$34	29	38	-9	open	—	06-14 17:01
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	6	$28	79	50	+29	open	—	06-14 18:29
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	06-07 20:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	6	$22	76	64	+11	open	—	05-24 16:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	05-12 18:41
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	06-07 19:41
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	4	$20	123	59	+64	open	—	07-13 20:31
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	2	$20	124	0	+124	open	—	07-22 20:39
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	07-18 18:46
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	06-07 19:24
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	2	$17	59	290	-231	open	—	06-14 15:58
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	06-07 20:04
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$16	68	62	+5	open	—	05-24 16:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	3	$15	557	172	+385	open	—	05-17 19:43
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	4	$15	47	47	+0	open	—	07-27 21:47
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	1	$13	0	59	-59	open	—	06-14 15:11
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-17 17:44
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	06-10 15:59
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	1	$10	110	0	+110	open	—	06-10 16:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-10 13:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-24 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:51:45	andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x1b16ee…
08-11 12:55:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x91eaa0…
08-08 17:38:33	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x548965…
08-03 20:43:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xb3b671…
08-03 20:43:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xa54273…
08-03 20:42:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x03d34f…
08-03 20:39:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x12cc1a…
08-03 20:38:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0xcbd377…
08-03 20:37:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x445c2c…
08-03 20:37:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xc4a100…
07-27 21:47:15	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x243798…
07-27 21:47:04	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x3838f9…
07-23 13:20:16	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x7c167d…
07-22 20:39:15	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x83f63d…
07-22 20:38:09	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd82a3e…
07-22 20:37:52	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x54d6c6…
07-22 20:37:40	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	52	7¢	$4	0xd1a324…
07-19 17:25:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xdbbe36…
07-19 17:09:33	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xdc7d97…
07-19 10:24:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0f50ef…
07-19 10:24:45	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x645f0a…
07-18 18:46:15	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x78e624…
07-17 14:34:04	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x512126…
07-14 20:24:55	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xfe5e85…
07-14 20:22:25	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$1	0xc2bb79…
07-14 20:22:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0x33db71…
07-14 20:21:28	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x1b2c5c…
07-13 20:39:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe6e407…
07-13 20:36:31	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7450d2…
07-13 20:36:23	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa5915a…
07-13 20:36:17	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x644227…
07-13 20:32:47	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	82	5¢	$4	0xa7d915…
07-13 20:31:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1766ab…
07-13 20:31:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x1c3d37…
07-08 12:34:13	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xbe111e…
07-08 07:44:43	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	59	9¢	$5	0xe8011b…
07-07 21:47:04	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0x4fe29e…
07-07 21:46:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x364f48…
07-07 21:46:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xaedf09…
06-26 17:47:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0xe2bdd2…
06-26 15:54:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0ed989…
06-22 18:28:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0xfb6342…
06-17 17:44:47	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x74e2d4…
06-17 17:44:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x6058db…
06-17 15:21:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xedb6ec…
06-17 15:17:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x937e4a…
06-16 18:57:02	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xe5b130…
06-14 18:45:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x174eb4…
06-14 18:45:24	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa9c349…
06-14 18:33:58	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	SELL	157	1¢	$1	0x79df8f…
06-14 18:29:09	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0xddad32…
06-14 18:28:45	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xef532d…
06-14 18:28:36	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x85d8eb…
06-14 18:16:49	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x5a6d2f…
06-14 18:08:18	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbea50c…
06-14 17:01:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x008d7b…
06-14 17:01:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xef910c…
06-14 17:01:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0xe305ab…
06-14 17:01:28	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xcba23b…
06-14 15:58:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	290	2¢	$7	0x3f7dec…
06-14 15:14:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x681d75…
06-14 15:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0x73f379…
06-14 15:12:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0x29c180…
06-14 15:11:58	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	23¢	$13	0x461aab…
06-14 15:11:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	41	71¢	$29	0x77fbe5…
06-14 13:58:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xb37153…
06-14 13:50:40	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xdc7fa8…
06-14 13:42:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x08530c…
06-14 13:41:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xba43e0…
06-14 13:36:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x946f40…
06-14 13:36:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x8c1e9d…
06-14 13:35:36	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0f61f3…
06-14 13:03:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x3a0615…
06-14 13:03:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb4c3a6…
06-14 13:03:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x99483c…
06-14 12:23:04	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xd9ee61…
06-14 05:28:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4df7ac…
06-13 20:18:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x344bda…
06-13 20:18:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3d9227…
06-13 18:53:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0xa45f10…
06-13 18:52:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	31	27¢	$8	0xb7f49c…
06-11 17:31:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	172	22¢	$38	0x04f68d…
06-10 21:23:28	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc60b98…
06-10 16:17:39	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xdc0e64…
06-10 16:17:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x9e6f69…
06-10 15:59:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4716a8…
06-10 13:31:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb1a08d…
06-07 20:05:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x421a89…
06-07 20:04:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0xb6aa95…
06-07 19:45:27	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x16de86…
06-07 19:41:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x5754ef…
06-07 19:27:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xbf98f4…
06-07 19:24:15	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xb35709…
06-07 19:24:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4caaa3…
06-07 19:24:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x172afe…
06-07 19:23:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x626b9e…
06-07 19:15:19	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xdeb84f…
06-07 19:11:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf4ae29…
06-07 19:10:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1fbd62…
05-31 21:16:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa57abc…