Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$651

Unrealized P&L

-$357

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

Trades

464

lifetime

Volume

$118.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$254

Open exposure

$4.16K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-14 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Other

58% 80% +$1,270

Politics

41% 72% -$690

Sports

1% 33% +$58

Crypto

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+3,827	$2,750	89¢	$3.4K	+$658	10-14 15:54
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	-369	-$343	97¢	$-358	-$15	05-13 17:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,794	$771	13¢	$233	-$538	05-24 16:37
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	+1,470	$624	11¢	$162	-$462	08-29 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	2	$5.7K	2,920	2,920	+0	No	+$117	07-08 16:44
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	3	$5.5K	2,790	2,790	+0	Yes	+$11	07-02 15:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$5.3K	2,714	2,714	+0	Yes	+$68	03-14 03:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$5.2K	4,487	2,000	+2,487	Yes	+$963	07-26 17:03
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	4	$4.5K	2,362	2,362	+0	No	+$258	07-24 15:35
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	10	$4.2K	2,250	2,250	+0	Yes	+$260	06-19 02:17
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	1	$3.9K	4,300	0	+4,300	Yes	+$361	06-15 14:15
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	8	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$62	02-09 07:53
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	38	$3.8K	2,139	2,139	+0	No	+$346	06-29 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$3.4K	1,790	1,790	+0	No	+$97	06-28 03:37
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	31	$3.4K	4,300	0	+4,300	Yes	+$871	06-17 12:08
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$3.4K	4,005	0	+4,005	No	+$603	03-18 13:17
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	16	$3.2K	1,935	1,935	+0	No	-$259	03-13 09:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	8	$3.1K	3,663	0	+3,663	Yes	+$583	06-16 01:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$3.0K	3,206	0	+3,206	No	-$2,981	04-17 14:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	17	$2.7K	3,827	0	+3,827	open	—	10-14 15:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$2.6K	1,500	2,030	-530	Yes	+$971	06-17 01:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	8	$2.5K	3,629	0	+3,629	No	-$2,488	07-31 17:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	17	$2.2K	2,568	2,568	+0	No	-$567	06-27 04:03
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$8	06-30 03:48
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$1	06-28 03:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	4	$2.0K	0	2,051	-2,051	No	-$82	05-02 16:40
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	5	$1.9K	1,353	1,353	+0	No	-$524	06-21 07:32
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$1.8K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Yes	+$340	07-01 05:13
epl mac bri 2026 01 07 bri	11	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$280	01-07 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$100	04-07 15:50
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	4	$1.5K	1,590	0	+1,590	No	+$95	02-24 02:20
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	3	$1.4K	1,709	0	+1,709	No	+$266	01-29 21:08
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	6	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$68	02-09 13:14
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 560 579	4	$1.3K	1,418	0	+1,418	No	+$101	01-15 00:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 15:54:52	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,628	71¢	$1,161	0x1fec76…
10-14 15:45:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xc04289…
10-14 14:45:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x867e8e…
10-14 11:21:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x8fd72c…
10-14 11:21:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x2ac410…
10-14 10:39:20	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	71¢	$46	0xfc5def…
10-14 09:49:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x06c960…
10-13 20:34:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	71¢	$285	0x726d07…
10-13 20:34:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	71¢	$90	0xe32586…
10-13 20:34:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	71¢	$90	0xd52a9d…
10-13 20:34:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	71¢	$145	0xb6bf1c…
10-13 20:34:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xa3bfd8…
10-13 20:34:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	543	71¢	$387	0x6efa84…
10-13 20:34:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x193b1c…
10-13 20:34:16	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x126125…
10-11 06:58:17	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xa57876…
10-09 16:12:00	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	77	94¢	$73	0x84ba7b…
10-09 16:11:54	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xaf7870…
10-09 16:11:53	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	236	94¢	$223	0x3af680…
10-09 16:11:48	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$189	0xc481e1…
10-09 16:11:45	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x400567…
10-09 16:11:45	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x070e08…
10-04 07:30:11	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xd1eb4f…
10-02 05:37:57	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x614f42…
09-29 21:01:32	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x146908…
09-29 13:54:17	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x7a89a3…
09-29 01:46:57	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xd8024c…
09-28 18:49:56	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x58fc97…
09-28 13:10:20	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xbcf706…
09-27 14:18:20	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x47bfc3…
09-26 15:43:14	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$53	0xaf2808…
08-29 15:08:28	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0xf35113…
08-29 09:46:57	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x16d2f5…
08-29 03:32:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x9aaf95…
08-29 01:04:09	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x3bfd0a…
08-28 19:17:03	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xfde63d…
08-25 20:12:24	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	400	42¢	$168	0x9e626f…
08-25 20:11:52	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	368	43¢	$158	0xa1b361…
08-05 08:58:44	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	483	42¢	$203	0xdd152a…
08-05 08:45:12	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x56ed2c…
07-31 17:53:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	76	68¢	$52	0xc70dd0…
07-31 16:20:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0xe3ad31…
07-31 15:41:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0xa90e84…
07-31 15:35:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4ab9f9…
07-31 14:58:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5d499d…
07-31 14:27:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x2acd39…
07-30 17:01:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	1,500	69¢	$1,035	0x237f74…
07-30 16:51:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0x763a56…
07-26 17:03:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	213	82¢	$175	0xe122a5…
07-26 13:37:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	195	58¢	$113	0x224087…
07-26 13:30:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x2a5b51…
07-26 13:29:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	56	58¢	$33	0xc91352…
07-26 12:19:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	79	57¢	$45	0x9fd2a8…
07-26 12:17:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0xe55186…
07-26 12:17:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xaa3b7c…
07-26 12:17:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x4ee6ec…
07-26 12:14:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xe82d9a…
07-26 12:14:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0xc44da6…
07-26 12:14:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xa07c10…
07-26 12:14:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	36	57¢	$21	0x83b29f…
07-26 12:14:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x3b8665…
07-26 01:12:27	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	203	55¢	$112	0x680005…
07-26 01:03:33	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd84ea4…
07-26 01:03:33	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	89	55¢	$49	0x58092b…
07-25 19:32:07	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x05fe10…
07-25 16:32:01	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x3a87bd…
07-25 09:56:07	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdb73b2…
07-25 09:55:34	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xaf4450…
07-25 09:55:25	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	240	55¢	$132	0xced4c0…
07-25 09:55:03	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	417	55¢	$230	0x2882c4…
07-25 08:42:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xd9f97c…
07-25 08:34:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x1f0897…
07-25 08:30:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x21c2c2…
07-25 08:29:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x0fc125…
07-25 08:21:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x86a7c2…
07-25 03:41:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	72¢	$724	0x414e81…
07-24 15:35:19	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	2,362	100¢	$2,360	0x1e10ea…
07-14 13:24:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x387064…
07-08 16:44:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	2,920	99¢	$2,891	0x38e5ea…
07-04 07:28:13	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	725	87¢	$634	0x552141…
07-04 04:55:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	630	100¢	$629	0x2ef58d…
07-02 15:22:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	2,920	95¢	$2,774	0x9139c2…
07-02 15:19:23	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,790	99¢	$2,773	0xe796a1…
07-01 07:46:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	630	88¢	$554	0x5654e8…
07-01 05:13:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	56¢	$560	0xd95eff…
06-30 03:49:28	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1,117	89¢	$994	0x9ee2a1…
06-30 03:48:49	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$997	0x34c6e9…
06-30 03:23:13	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x6d86e3…
06-30 03:22:43	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1,200	89¢	$1,068	0x9af230…
06-29 16:43:55	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	881	98¢	$863	0xe162b4…
06-29 16:39:46	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x9dbe78…
06-29 16:38:46	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x07ef69…
06-29 14:57:11	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x982b1f…
06-29 14:30:14	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9d9200…
06-29 14:22:28	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1,100	98¢	$1,078	0xa24b6d…
06-28 04:24:58	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xf697b1…
06-28 04:21:55	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,790	99¢	$1,772	0xaeef22…
06-28 03:46:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0x49533e…
06-28 03:37:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,790	99¢	$1,765	0x05af05…
06-27 04:03:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	568	1¢	$8	0xabd13a…