Skinny-Spark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$164

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$35	37	+37	Down	+$2	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$12	14	+14	open	—	05-05 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$11	12	+12	Down	+$1	05-04 22:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	05-05 20:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$6	8	+8	Up	$-6	05-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	05-05 15:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 19:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$6	19	+19	Down	$-6	05-04 22:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 14:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-05 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	$-6	05-05 00:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-04 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-04 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$4	18	+18	Down	$-4	05-04 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xba7d6b…
05-05 20:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xc7b8a8…
05-05 19:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xd184ff…
05-05 17:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xff2ff6…
05-05 16:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd014b0…
05-05 15:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x2ec879…
05-05 15:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x89e848…
05-05 14:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x6df9c1…
05-05 01:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x5f0e9c…
05-05 01:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x795400…
05-05 01:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xa65246…
05-05 00:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xda1cd9…
05-05 00:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xf4bac8…
05-05 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xedd7cd…
05-05 00:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xd6ac46…
05-05 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x26b641…
05-05 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x3b3d89…
05-04 23:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe0bd3c…
05-04 23:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x4cae78…
05-04 23:09:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb079f4…
05-04 22:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x9aa9e1…
05-04 22:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xcf0b6e…
05-04 22:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa83391…
05-04 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x3780bf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	17	$1.73K	47	05-05 20:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	17	$1.50K	86	05-05 21:19
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	8	$934	27	05-05 21:19
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	8	$591	21	05-05 21:19
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	7	$8.19K	7	05-05 21:20
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	7	$587	53	05-05 19:04
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	6	$1.02K	13	05-05 19:04
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	6	$731	15	05-05 19:04