Needy-Lunchmeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$202

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 10-24 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Sports

50% 62% +$15

Politics

33% 33% -$36

Other

18% 25% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes		+59	$10	3¢	$2	-$8	07-31 22:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
O/U 3.5 Rounds	3	$29	39	21	+18	Over	-$11	05-09 20:14
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$15	41	0	+41	No	-$15	07-15 19:18
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	2	$15	23	0	+23	Yes	-$15	04-24 20:34
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$10	20	0	+20	Alexander Volkanovski	+$10	10-24 12:45
Fight to Go the Distance?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	05-09 20:15
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	1	$10	59	0	+59	open	—	07-31 22:22
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$10	36	0	+36	Max Holloway	-$10	07-12 00:10
UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$10	15	0	+15	Alexander Volkov	+$5	10-24 18:53
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$6	10	0	+10	Alexander Volkov	+$4	05-08 20:43
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	07-12 00:09
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	-$5	04-24 20:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	500	0	+500	Yes	-$5	05-09 19:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	04-24 20:18
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$5	25	0	+25	Justin Gaethje	+$20	06-15 04:17
ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	1	$5	11	0	+11	Robert Whittaker	-$5	07-12 00:10
ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	1	$5	11	0	+11	Paddy Pimblett	+$6	07-12 00:10
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$5	8	0	+8	Petr Yan	+$3	10-24 11:37
will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in august 20260731154203515	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	07-31 22:29
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	05-08 20:49
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	04-24 20:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-24 20:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-24 20:21
will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	-$5	07-31 22:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	+$3	04-24 20:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$3	05-09 19:27
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	07-12 00:08
ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	1	$2	3	0	+3	Dricus Du Plessis	+$1	07-12 00:10
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	-$1	10-24 12:15
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	1	$1	12	0	+12	Yes	-$1	04-24 20:07
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	05-08 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 18:53:02	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x732d88…
10-24 12:45:06	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x92c20f…
10-24 12:45:02	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c3886…
10-24 12:15:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9c7458…
10-24 11:39:41	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaec012…
10-24 11:37:18	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0f1fe4…
07-31 22:29:23	will trump speak to volodymyr zelenskyy in august 20260731154203515	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5c15a8…
07-31 22:29:11	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x70be0a…
07-31 22:22:53	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x03106f…
07-15 19:18:13	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x500451…
07-12 00:10:53	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Dricus Du Plessis	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x78c00d…
07-12 00:10:38	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Nikita Krylov	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1159a8…
07-12 00:10:26	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7f012c…
07-12 00:10:20	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x220592…
07-12 00:09:10	Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbd53c7…
07-12 00:08:26	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa8f7f5…
06-15 04:17:51	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1657e4…
05-09 20:15:06	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa713d7…
05-09 20:14:52	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3a1091…
05-09 20:14:16	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0xe87d84…
05-09 20:12:20	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa7d1a1…
05-09 19:27:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xaed54c…
05-09 19:26:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x77d257…
05-09 19:24:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb4682f…
05-08 20:49:13	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1fb8ea…
05-08 20:49:04	Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfa0513…
05-08 20:48:55	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8c8246…
05-08 20:43:33	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1f078a…
05-08 20:43:23	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x23a4a2…
04-24 20:35:02	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x038a12…
04-24 20:34:36	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb69ec9…
04-24 20:24:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5c5576…
04-24 20:21:38	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x164305…
04-24 20:21:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x977fab…
04-24 20:18:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x976bd4…
04-24 20:15:20	Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x70d178…
04-24 20:09:36	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb1c838…
04-24 20:07:46	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9ceecb…
04-24 20:03:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x855c59…