Rapid-Draw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

305

Trades

1,322

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-16 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% $-2

Politics

3% 100% +$3

Other

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$42	40	40	+0	Down	+$38	05-06 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	8	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$24	29	29	+0	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	6	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$22	71	71	+0	open	—	05-01 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	11	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	6	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	04-30 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	05-01 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	5	$21	33	33	+0	open	—	05-03 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	7	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 17:52
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	7	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	04-26 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$16	14	9	+5	open	—	04-30 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	6	$15	54	6	+48	open	—	04-29 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$14	209	9	+200	open	—	04-30 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	5	$14	21	13	+8	open	—	05-01 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	8	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	12	$12	11	10	+1	open	—	04-30 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	11	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$12	14	11	+2	Down	+$2	05-07 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	10	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 09:36:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x033fd1…
05-15 17:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x976210…
05-15 14:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x182cf4…
05-15 13:56:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8e2c07…
05-15 13:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x908e6c…
05-15 13:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x21eb00…
05-15 13:02:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xae6022…
05-15 12:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa8e479…
05-15 11:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd5bb86…
05-12 11:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xde8017…
05-11 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7748f3…
05-11 14:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7e7de9…
05-11 14:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbb58d4…
05-11 13:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xe99a63…
05-11 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0f588f…
05-11 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xf67425…
05-11 13:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xf2bc16…
05-11 13:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x9dee6a…
05-11 13:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2d9b44…
05-11 13:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x86ac69…
05-11 13:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x201613…
05-11 13:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x65759b…
05-11 12:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xba64f9…
05-11 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x34db59…
05-11 12:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc96aba…
05-11 12:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8410c8…
05-11 12:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0ad7a4…
05-11 12:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xba6456…
05-11 11:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xa14072…
05-11 11:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x801e54…
05-10 11:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x111bdb…
05-10 11:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xe2eb84…
05-10 11:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf40a0b…
05-10 11:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x710313…
05-10 10:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9b27b8…
05-10 10:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xe6076f…
05-10 10:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2f6c6f…
05-10 10:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8cd128…
05-10 10:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6ce3fe…
05-10 09:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x1d7088…
05-10 09:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x2ab4b5…
05-10 09:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd6a84f…
05-10 09:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4060ee…
05-10 09:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x34edff…
05-10 09:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x4935b2…
05-10 09:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc13d18…
05-10 08:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xccda1a…
05-10 08:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x37b259…
05-10 08:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61d476…
05-10 08:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xae9b18…
05-10 08:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc43048…
05-10 08:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x61fd21…
05-10 08:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xd18003…
05-10 08:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd87567…
05-10 07:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x188a44…
05-10 07:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0117be…
05-10 07:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x075aaa…
05-10 07:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x3a25b7…
05-10 07:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb614f9…
05-09 18:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x199512…
05-09 18:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x9a11e0…
05-09 18:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x55f8b3…
05-09 18:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x287648…
05-09 18:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xa6f0cf…
05-09 18:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc7b0a5…
05-09 18:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x191a81…
05-09 18:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x36436b…
05-09 17:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xb04176…
05-09 17:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x35ccca…
05-09 17:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x70a437…
05-09 17:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf58180…
05-09 17:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x881ec0…
05-09 17:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xc71bf1…
05-09 17:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xff0eb6…
05-09 17:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xdf69a7…
05-09 17:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe49299…
05-09 17:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x336ec7…
05-09 17:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb9d486…
05-09 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x888652…
05-09 16:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf23ae0…
05-09 16:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9e6494…
05-09 16:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x91b3e0…
05-09 16:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8543e5…
05-09 15:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa9629f…
05-09 15:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x104ec0…
05-09 15:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4cb1cb…
05-09 15:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x885b13…
05-09 15:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3a16a6…
05-09 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x1158f1…
05-09 15:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f768e…
05-09 14:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x88b913…
05-09 14:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xeacae7…
05-09 14:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc74545…
05-09 14:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xa5966c…
05-09 14:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0xfe45a9…
05-09 14:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xd5efc1…
05-09 14:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3ae9e3…
05-09 14:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x45e53e…
05-09 14:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xdf7e83…
05-09 14:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x029465…