Appropriate-Decade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$924

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

292

Trades

1,907

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-30 05:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 57% -$866

Other

10% 41% -$26

Politics

7% 24% -$31

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	86	$444	414	483	-69	No	-$23	05-17 19:05
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	56	$351	316	303	+12	No	$0	05-17 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	6	$346	202	152	+50	Down	-$1	05-03 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	8	$345	253	253	+0	Up	+$160	05-03 20:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	40	$312	240	263	-24	No	-$8	05-24 16:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	6	$300	301	0	+301	Up	+$2	05-03 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	7	$298	151	151	+0	Up	-$1	05-03 11:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	35	$288	261	261	+0	No	-$1	05-17 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1AM ET	7	$273	278	0	+278	Up	+$5	05-03 05:53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	40	$257	237	237	+0	No	+$0	05-18 03:47
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	48	$252	257	257	+0	Yes	-$4	05-17 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12AM ET	6	$248	252	0	+252	Down	+$4	05-03 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9AM ET	13	$224	231	0	+231	Down	+$7	05-03 13:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	20	$210	152	187	-34	No	-$8	05-17 06:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	40	$208	290	296	-6	Yes	-$6	05-18 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	14	$205	210	0	+210	Up	+$5	05-03 15:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	5	$200	201	0	+201	Up	+$1	05-03 06:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$200	201	0	+201	Up	+$1	05-03 10:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	5	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	12	$199	204	0	+204	Up	+$4	05-03 12:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$199	201	0	+201	Up	+$2	05-03 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	5	$199	202	0	+202	Down	+$3	05-03 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$199	202	0	+202	Up	+$3	05-03 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$199	202	0	+202	Up	+$3	05-03 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$199	202	0	+202	Up	+$3	05-03 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$199	201	0	+201	Up	+$3	05-03 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	7	$199	202	0	+202	Up	+$4	05-03 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	5	$199	202	0	+202	Up	+$3	05-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	5	$198	202	0	+202	Up	+$4	05-03 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	5	$198	202	0	+202	Up	+$4	05-03 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 05:12:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4495f0…
05-30 05:12:12	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x81a6db…
05-30 05:07:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xb6dca3…
05-24 16:04:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x3e5043…
05-24 16:02:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0xf4c73a…
05-23 22:44:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1be543…
05-23 22:39:06	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x670264…
05-23 22:38:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x36260f…
05-23 22:38:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x584049…
05-23 22:38:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xea50fc…
05-23 22:37:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xdc6ce6…
05-23 22:36:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x35042b…
05-18 03:47:32	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xd3f904…
05-18 03:47:32	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0xd2c7d4…
05-18 03:47:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xb17ae4…
05-18 03:47:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x8de98a…
05-18 03:47:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	71	67¢	$48	0x4e47fd…
05-18 03:47:32	Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x1a5a21…
05-18 03:40:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x10d8f9…
05-18 03:40:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x4f1e51…
05-18 03:35:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xec1e4a…
05-18 03:35:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x40e5cb…
05-18 03:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xe82c9d…
05-18 03:25:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4bf8b5…
05-18 03:21:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x5fb230…
05-18 03:02:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0x00a720…
05-18 02:58:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x86a696…
05-18 02:57:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xf6a267…
05-18 02:57:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xf6a267…
05-18 02:53:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x96eabf…
05-18 02:53:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xc4034b…
05-18 02:51:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xc65270…
05-18 02:51:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xdaabab…
05-18 02:47:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xecaf1f…
05-18 02:47:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xecaf1f…
05-18 02:36:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xc40757…
05-18 02:18:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x7aaa29…
05-18 02:05:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0xc8f7b8…
05-18 01:56:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0xe48f30…
05-18 01:56:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe48f30…
05-18 01:28:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xee9461…
05-18 01:28:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xee9461…
05-18 01:15:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xa2854f…
05-18 01:15:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x4fb64d…
05-18 01:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x48d591…
05-18 01:12:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x49cbf6…
05-18 01:07:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x728e9d…
05-18 00:57:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x57a5d7…
05-18 00:49:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xcfa5c7…
05-18 00:49:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xcfa5c7…
05-18 00:42:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1f6308…
05-18 00:32:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0570b0…
05-18 00:25:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x0ceb9f…
05-18 00:24:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x84a0fa…
05-18 00:17:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x8a4001…
05-18 00:16:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x9472e3…
05-18 00:14:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc4e092…
05-18 00:11:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x5dae37…
05-18 00:10:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xbaf689…
05-18 00:06:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x741788…
05-18 00:02:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x1a9198…
05-17 23:53:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xf36a4e…
05-17 23:52:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x71ef5b…
05-17 23:52:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x71af7f…
05-17 23:52:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x71af7f…
05-17 23:49:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x716ff4…
05-17 23:49:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xb2fe13…
05-17 23:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x703052…
05-17 23:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x426498…
05-17 23:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x426498…
05-17 23:42:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x115878…
05-17 23:42:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xb33e69…
05-17 23:41:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x8d9be0…
05-17 23:41:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3dbab4…
05-17 23:41:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x2c9de2…
05-17 23:41:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0xd3ac4e…
05-17 22:49:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xd44fea…
05-17 22:11:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xa83fed…
05-17 22:08:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xbc5a68…
05-17 22:04:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x979d7d…
05-17 22:02:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xe7a5ce…
05-17 19:38:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x1c458a…
05-17 19:33:30	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	SELL	39	94¢	$37	0xe67911…
05-17 19:31:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x6333a5…
05-17 19:19:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	32	69¢	$22	0x9e9aec…
05-17 19:13:51	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0xc2fafa…
05-17 19:05:09	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x74e06c…
05-17 18:42:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x5c397a…
05-17 18:33:55	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x2b7652…
05-17 18:25:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x74203b…
05-17 18:25:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xde9b3e…
05-17 18:20:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x797c28…
05-17 18:19:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xae4984…
05-17 18:18:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x176473…
05-17 18:16:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x7bd38c…
05-17 18:12:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x1d5b2e…
05-17 18:10:26	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x61d43a…
05-17 18:09:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x76875f…
05-17 18:07:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0x6a09a0…
05-17 18:01:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xa0e90a…