Dependent-Alpenglow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

318

Trades

699

lifetime

Volume

$91.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-18 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

90% 79% -$831

Politics

9% 83% -$258

Sports

1% 67% -$396

Crypto

0% 50% -$73

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	6	$2.4K	1,766	1,766	+0	Yes	+$40	05-11 16:43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	5	$2.1K	1,088	1,088	+0	No	+$53	05-08 14:10
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	4	$2.0K	1,039	1,039	+0	No	+$12	03-03 06:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	No	+$21	05-15 22:24
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	6	$1.9K	1,025	1,025	+0	Yes	+$28	03-07 15:27
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 65 89	6	$1.8K	921	921	+0	No	+$5	03-04 19:20
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	8	$1.5K	782	782	+0	No	+$1	05-19 10:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	6	$1.3K	727	727	+0	No	+$66	06-06 06:02
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	8	$1.3K	867	867	+0	Yes	+$28	02-27 16:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	4	$1.3K	781	781	+0	Yes	+$52	05-06 15:45
lol gx kc 2026 02 27 game3	9	$1.2K	921	921	+0	Karmine Corp	-$111	02-27 18:59
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	4	$1.2K	1,409	1,409	+0	No	-$403	03-06 13:41
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	2	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	+$35	06-17 22:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.1K	637	637	+0	No	+$129	05-30 22:38
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	2	$1.1K	583	583	+0	Yes	+$54	03-03 16:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	4	$1.0K	545	545	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$35	05-16 15:35
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	+$17	03-03 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	2	$1.0K	540	540	+0	Yes	+$45	06-17 15:23
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04	8	$1.0K	816	816	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$39	03-04 13:41
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$843	449	449	+0	No	+$46	05-05 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	3	$840	440	440	+0	No	+$30	05-06 10:06
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$804	405	405	+0	T1	+$4	05-16 10:45
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$801	402	402	+0	No	+$1	05-05 16:10
lol sen c9 2026 03 07 game3	2	$801	411	411	+0	Cloud9	+$20	03-07 22:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$792	449	449	+0	Yes	+$52	05-19 16:14
dota2 tundra navi 2026 03 07	5	$790	455	455	+0	Natus Vincere	+$43	03-07 21:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	2	$746	400	400	+0	No	+$46	05-04 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$745	474	474	+0	Yes	+$108	05-12 12:53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	2	$735	541	541	+0	Yes	+$112	06-08 12:56
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	2	$714	386	386	+0	No	+$12	02-25 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 10:58:44	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	696	93¢	$650	0x20a0d9…
06-17 22:20:17	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	654	91¢	$595	0x5e1699…
06-17 22:15:11	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	No	SELL	596	100¢	$595	0xefbcae…
06-17 20:17:40	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	596	94¢	$560	0x0474c1…
06-17 20:14:29	cs2 kol ill 2026 06 17	illwill	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa1207f…
06-17 15:47:17	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	575	93¢	$535	0x0bdc20…
06-17 15:23:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	540	99¢	$535	0x9c0d61…
06-17 05:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	91¢	$490	0xcd07f4…
06-13 07:53:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0x12d649…
06-13 07:50:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	617	85¢	$525	0x01ce7b…
06-13 07:08:58	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	89¢	$340	0xa489b9…
06-11 21:37:19	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x5eacdf…
06-11 00:43:28	mlb lad pit 2026 06 10	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	124	97¢	$120	0xcdbd25…
06-11 00:39:57	wta udvardy snigur 2026 06 10	Panna Udvardy	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x772c7e…
06-11 00:37:36	r6siege 5f ol1 2026 06 10	Five Fears	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0x2910ec…
06-10 22:33:15	r6siege 5f ol1 2026 06 10	Five Fears	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x17dd1d…
06-10 18:08:52	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10	Saigon Warriors	SELL	169	98¢	$165	0x535025…
06-10 10:15:31	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10	Saigon Warriors	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xfa0ff3…
06-10 06:26:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	62¢	$114	0x90d2b6…
06-10 06:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	62¢	$126	0xe93823…
06-10 06:24:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xbaa8dc…
06-10 01:18:48	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	93¢	$305	0xb6018d…
06-10 01:15:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xe44f20…
06-09 20:43:01	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0x20a45b…
06-09 20:42:31	Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	B8	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x42342a…
06-09 18:17:15	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 game2	B8	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xae2d59…
06-09 18:07:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0xe2cab3…
06-09 10:46:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	68¢	$135	0x58c80f…
06-08 23:08:36	wnba nyl conn 2026 06 08	New York Liberty	BUY	135	85¢	$115	0x7b01b3…
06-08 22:50:19	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	308	98¢	$300	0x34fb78…
06-08 12:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	541	78¢	$424	0xaf9b3f…
06-07 06:27:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	541	58¢	$312	0x67722b…
06-06 06:15:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	316	98¢	$310	0x1cf02c…
06-06 06:02:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	314	99¢	$311	0x84777f…
06-03 13:19:39	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xacf956…
06-03 13:12:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	105	96¢	$101	0xeb4dc2…
06-03 12:13:58	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	216	95¢	$205	0x401f54…
06-03 12:13:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	206	96¢	$199	0xca2f12…
06-02 20:24:48	LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winner	Bubliki	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xab35a7…
06-02 20:01:08	LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winner	Bubliki	BUY	129	70¢	$90	0x7bb318…
06-02 20:00:19	LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winner	Crusaders	SELL	77	17¢	$13	0xebd741…
06-02 19:58:40	LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winner	Crusaders	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0xbe0157…
06-02 19:49:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	102	94¢	$96	0x588f44…
05-31 08:04:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	148	88¢	$130	0xaabfa7…
05-31 08:00:59	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x5b9e16…
05-30 22:39:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	580	88¢	$510	0x534679…
05-30 22:38:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	529	97¢	$515	0x19ba66…
05-30 22:38:09	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-05-30?	No	BUY	133	90¢	$120	0xd6432a…
05-30 22:36:47	LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner	FlyQuest	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x6c21dd…
05-30 22:18:52	LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x34251c…
05-30 22:11:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	98¢	$106	0x4e542f…
05-27 16:10:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	198	84¢	$166	0xd870e8…
05-27 16:08:19	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	SELL	171	91¢	$155	0xb35653…
05-27 15:59:22	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	171	82¢	$140	0xe839d7…
05-26 10:06:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	439	74¢	$325	0x9a95d1…
05-26 09:49:41	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0x04e0e8…
05-25 04:17:38	ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Irem Kurt	Alana Subasic	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0xaf406a…
05-24 14:42:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x51ea51…
05-24 14:40:37	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs	JiJieHao	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xdc0dd5…
05-24 14:36:21	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Weibo Gaming	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x93c357…
05-24 14:31:17	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	LGD Gaming	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0xd33b26…
05-24 01:11:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x37e664…
05-24 01:07:34	Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xf4f4c0…
05-24 01:07:06	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x29eaf5…
05-24 01:05:40	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xfe6662…
05-24 01:04:54	Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xb8963b…
05-24 00:57:21	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Cloud9	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x50f64d…
05-24 00:57:14	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x4707d5…
05-23 22:30:51	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Cloud9	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xe976dd…
05-23 22:28:48	Will Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	109	37¢	$40	0xb61c15…
05-23 22:28:13	Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xf4b28e…
05-23 22:24:10	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xc60f63…
05-23 16:14:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	111	72¢	$80	0xea9d1a…
05-23 16:12:33	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x450aed…
05-23 16:11:01	Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x256e4a…
05-23 15:58:49	Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xfde394…
05-23 15:49:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	363	76¢	$275	0xdb10c0…
05-21 23:51:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0x490a9c…
05-21 17:57:56	LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x7700d3…
05-21 17:55:45	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner	Barcząca Esports	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x0e8212…
05-21 17:55:27	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner	Barcząca Esports	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x98ed5e…
05-21 17:51:26	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner	Barcząca Esports	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3ab555…
05-21 17:44:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	275	91¢	$250	0x1d7773…
05-21 17:42:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	236	98¢	$232	0x675541…
05-21 04:36:50	Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x98b8a5…
05-21 04:36:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x153f93…
05-20 13:15:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	119	88¢	$105	0xd3ad4b…
05-20 13:15:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$101	0xe7d7fb…
05-20 13:14:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	159	88¢	$140	0x2c3c4d…
05-19 23:54:17	Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xcbfba6…
05-19 23:52:34	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xa804bb…
05-19 23:51:05	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x3b8fd1…
05-19 23:48:03	Will CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x55a12a…
05-19 23:47:54	Will CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8e6ac8…
05-19 23:47:07	LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	paiN Gaming Academy	SELL	113	72¢	$82	0xb9dbff…
05-19 23:43:02	LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	paiN Gaming Academy	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x4f4f23…
05-19 23:36:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe80427…
05-19 23:31:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xf06a81…
05-19 23:30:10	LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	paiN Gaming Academy	BUY	113	26¢	$30	0x68527f…
05-19 23:25:33	Will CA Rosario Central vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x73c1ce…