Realized P&L
+$314
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
98.0%
Resolved
1,442
Trades
3,149
lifetime
Volume
$60.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.46K
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 09-25 19:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
70% 97% +$234
Politics
19% 96% +$71
Sports
7% 96% +$22
Crypto
3% 54% -$14
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +278 $277 98¢ $273 -$4 08-20 08:57
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$1 07-31 20:42
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +120 $119 97¢ $117 -$2 07-31 20:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +116 $115 100¢ $116 +$1 08-01 10:59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? No +111 $111 100¢ $111 +$0 07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 +$0 07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 +$0 07-30 21:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +65 $64 100¢ $64 +$0 07-26 12:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +65 $63 100¢ $64 +$1 07-26 12:20
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $44 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 $0 07-16 13:36
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 08-06 01:50
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? No +23 $20 100¢ $23 +$3 08-09 01:04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$0 08-03 15:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 07-30 22:52
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $14 98¢ $15 +$1 07-24 15:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +14 $14 98¢ $14 $0 08-03 10:45
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-06 01:50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-06 01:50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 07-24 15:13